Skip to content
Trainer profile

H Fortineau

359 runners in the lifetime window · 45 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2024 94% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
17–359
Wins / Runs
4.7%
Strike rate
n=359
68 (19%)
Placed
1.05
n=357 · 0.87 incl. margin
−106.20
£1 level stake
n=358 at SP · −29.7%
£324k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05).

Deterministic profile computed from 359 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Aurelien Lemaitre: 2% from 50
The read

The record is strongest at Deauville (FR) (8.7%, n=103) and Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (7.7%, n=39) — all clear of the yard's 4.7% baseline. It is weakest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (1.5% over 66 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=101, Fair A/E 0.00). Aurelien Lemaitre rides 14% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (2% vs 4.7%, A/E 0.32). The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (10.3%, n=68). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 76 runners, 4.7pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−4.7
n=101 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −100.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.7
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.7
n=25 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −25.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.7
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.7
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=12 · A/E 1.70 · £1 +4.10
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3%−1.7
n=99 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −85.30
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 31-60-day break 10.3% vs 4.7% · n=68
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 4.7% · n=76
At Deauville (FR) 8.7% vs 4.7% · n=103
On Heavy going 0% vs 4.7% · n=34
At Saint-Cloud (FR) 1.5% vs 4.7% · n=66
At Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 7.7% vs 4.7% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 336 17 5.1% −84.20
Hurdle 18 0 0% −17.00
Chase 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 141 9 6.4% +17.90
Soft 79 3 3.8% −55.90
Good 61 2 3.3% −29.80
Good to Soft 44 3 6.8% −4.40
Heavy 34 0 0% −34.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 103 9 8.7% +5.20
Chantilly (FR) 77 3 3.9% +11.80
Saint-Cloud (FR) 66 1 1.5% −61.00
Longchamp (FR) 41 1 2.4% −37.40
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 39 3 7.7% +7.20
Auteuil (FR) 14 0 0% −14.00
Enghien (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Dieppe (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Clairefontaine 3 0 0% −3.00
Saint-Brieuc (FR) 1 0 0% —
Saint-Malo (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Vichy (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Chateaubriant (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 4 30.8% 1.61 +3.10
2nd–3rd fav 21 1 4.8% 0.41 −16.00
4th–6th fav 61 1 1.6% 0.22 −52.60
7th+ in betting 263 11 4.2% 1.64 −40.70
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Plenty City (FR)from N Milliere 59 3 24 17 Aug 24
Another Tune (FR) 38 4 10 5 Dec 18
Calaf (FR)from X Thomas-Demeaulte 35 2 10 28 Nov 20
Milreves (FR)from R Caget 28 3 5 29 Sep 14
Cold Play (FR)from Mme Stephanie Nigge · then J-V Toux 27 2 9 28 Dec 24
Ayana (FR)from H-A Pantall · then Caroline Auvray 12 0 2 6 Mar 21
Magic Cat (FR) 10 0 0 25 Oct 12
Plenty Coups (FR) 9 1 1 3 Jul 18
Wakiglote (FR) 8 1 1 12 Dec 14
Silver Feet (FR) 7 0 0 13 Oct 17
Eastern Promise (FR)from D Sepulchre · then T Poche 7 0 0 7 May 16
Miabeach (FR)from C Boutin 7 0 0 29 May 15
All 45 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 45 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from H-A Pantall (2) and Mme Christiane Head (2); 25 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Caroline Auvray (3); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00004341039011
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
14% of all rides
2% SR · A/E 0.32
RiderRWSR£1
Aurelien Lemaitre 50 1 2% −37.00
Mlle Coralie Pacaut 44 2 4.5% −35.40
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
17
Archived wins
£324k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 3 wins
Milreves (FR) — Prix D'Equemauville (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2013
£10,569
Wakiglote (FR) — Prix de la Route Manon (Prix Chantilly Jumping) (Handicap) (3yo) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2014
£9,583
Donavista (FR) — Prix de la Suisse Normande (Handicap) (3yo+) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2014
£9,583

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Elusive City (USA) 5.3% · 5–94
Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,432 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.
Green Tune (USA) 10.5% · 4–38
Progeny have won 10% of 1,943 runs since 2008 (227 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.6% from 265. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 457. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.1% from 244.
Milford Track (IRE) 10.7% · 3–28
Progeny have won 8.4% of 119 runs since 2008 (12 horses).
Wootton Bassett (GB) 7.4% · 2–27
Progeny have won 13% of 5,713 runs since 2015 (793 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 162.
Campanologist (USA) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 13% of 254 runs since 2016 (29 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 19.4% from 108.
High Yield (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.5% of 744 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 6.5% from 107.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 359 · newest first

The latest 50 of 359 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 April 2010 to 28 December 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is H Fortineau's strike rate?
H Fortineau has won 17 of 359 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does H Fortineau do best at?
Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 9 wins from 103 runners (8.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for H Fortineau?
Aurelien Lemaitre, with 50 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (2%).
What is H Fortineau's Fair A/E?
1.05, from 357 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).