H Fortineau
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05).
The record is strongest at Deauville (FR) (8.7%, n=103) and Maisons-Laffitte (FR) (7.7%, n=39) — all clear of the yard's 4.7% baseline. It is weakest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (1.5% over 66 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=101, Fair A/E 0.00). Aurelien Lemaitre rides 14% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (2% vs 4.7%, A/E 0.32). The yard also reads well off a 31-60-day break (10.3%, n=68). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 76 runners, 4.7pts below the baseline.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2010→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 359 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 359 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 April 2010 to 28 December 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is H Fortineau's strike rate?
- H Fortineau has won 17 of 359 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does H Fortineau do best at?
- Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 9 wins from 103 runners (8.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for H Fortineau?
- Aurelien Lemaitre, with 50 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 1 (2%).
- What is H Fortineau's Fair A/E?
- 1.05, from 357 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.