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Trainer profile

Mrs Denise Foster

312 runners in the last 5 seasons · 31 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
19–312
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=312
67 (22%)
Placed
1.15
Fair A/E
n=312 · 0.90 incl. margin
−70.50
£1 level stake
n=312 at SP · −22.6%
£224k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.2%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.15). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 11% off breaks of two months or more (57 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 312 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul Fresh horses: 10.5%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 10.5% (n=57, Fair A/E 2.64). The yard also reads well off a 61-180-day break (12.8%, n=39) and over 2m5f – 3m (9.4%, n=53). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 2.5% over 80 runners, 3.6pts below the baseline. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betway Aintree Hurdle at Aintree (Apr 2021, £104,984). The stable star of the record: Tipped Up Harry (GB) — 7 wins from 44 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
10.5%+4.4
n=57 · A/E 2.64 · £1 +39.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.1
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.1
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
6.7%+0.6
n=15 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −7.50
When favourite
0%
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.9%−0.2
n=101 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −18.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 61-180-day break 12.8% vs 6.1% · n=39
Off a 31-60-day break 2.5% vs 6.1% · n=80
Over 2m5f – 3m 9.4% vs 6.1% · n=53
At Navan 3.2% vs 6.1% · n=31
On Heavy going 8.5% vs 6.1% · n=47
Off a 8-14-day break 8.5% vs 6.1% · n=47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 147 10 6.8% +8.00
Flat 137 8 5.8% −60.50
Chase 25 1 4% −15.00
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 113 6 5.3% −37.00
Good 90 6 6.7% −26.00
Heavy 47 4 8.5% +7.00
Good to Soft 40 2 5% +0.00
Standard (AW) 20 1 5% −12.50
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 38 3 7.9% +17.00
Navan 31 1 3.2% −21.00
Fairyhouse 27 4 14.8% +21.00
Naas 25 0 0% −25.00
Gowran Park 22 2 9.1% −5.00
Dundalk (AW) 20 1 5% −12.50
Ballinrobe 18 2 11.1% +5.50
Leopardstown 15 1 6.7% −6.00
Curragh 14 0 0% −14.00
Limerick 13 1 7.7% +8.00
Roscommon 12 0 0% −12.00
Down Royal 10 0 0% −10.00
Tipperary 9 0 0% −9.00
Cork 8 0 0% −8.00
Thurles 8 2 25% +23.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 0 0% 0.00 −10.00
2nd–3rd fav 27 3 11.1% 0.93 −6.50
4th–6th fav 76 9 11.8% 1.61 +22.00
7th+ in betting 199 7 3.5% 1.27 −76.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Flier (GB) 28 2 8 13 Aug 25
Smackwater Jack (IRE)from Olly Murphy 24 3 7 13 Oct 26
Rideau Canal (IRE)from Alan King 24 1 4 4 Aug 26
Dragon's Pass (IRE) 23 2 8 7 Jun 25
Desert Friend (IRE)from Philip M Byrne · then P J F Murphy 22 1 4 31 Aug 25
Banada Bridge (IRE) 22 0 7 18 Aug 24
Petit Dejeuner (IRE) 19 1 3 23 Jan 25
Memory Of Youth (IRE) 14 2 7 6 May 23
Frank Pickle (IRE) 13 1 2 15 Sep 26
Molly's Gamble (IRE)then Paul O'Flynn 13 2 5 5 Aug 23
Duchess Anne (IRE) 11 0 3 8 Oct 26
Pike County (IRE) 11 2 3 8 Sep 23
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 31 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Paul O'Flynn (2); 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
714303139009210
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mark Enright 24 2 8.3% +2.50
Sean Flanagan 22 3 13.6% +15.00
Danny Gilligan 21 3 14.3% +6.50
Ben Coen 18 2 11.1% −2.50
G. F. Carroll 17 1 5.9% −9.50
Darragh O'Keeffe 16 0 0% −16.00
E Walsh 13 1 7.7% +4.00
Jake Coen 10 1 10% +11.00
Ricky Doyle 9 0 0% −9.00
James Ryan 9 0 0% −9.00
Sam Ewing 8 1 12.5% +13.00
Jordan Gainford 8 0 0% −8.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
113
Archived wins
7
Pattern / graded wins
£2.06m
Prize money
2021
Best season · 59 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Abacadabras (FR) — Betway Aintree Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2021 · Grade 1
£104,984
Black Tears (GB) — Close Brothers Mares' Hurdle (Registered As The David Nicholson Mares' Hurdle) (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2021 · Grade 1
£50,643
The Big Lense (IRE) — AXA Smart Farm Insurance Midlands National Handicap Chase Kilbeggan · Jul 2021
£44,250
Notable horses
Tipped Up Harry (GB) Not For Burning (IRE) Dragon's Pass (IRE) Miles To Memphis (IRE) Pike County (IRE) Lily's Rainbow (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dragon Pulse (IRE) 6.7% · 2–30
Progeny have won 8.9% of 4,260 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.3% from 570. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5% from 363.
Cable Bay (IRE) 7.1% · 2–28
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,711 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 641. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
Flemensfirth (USA) 12.5% · 3–24
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Robin Des Champs (FR) 4.2% · 1–24
Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,006 runs since 2008 (425 horses).
Shantou (USA) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,819 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Universal (IRE) 4.5% · 1–22
Progeny have won 11% of 971 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.3% from 137. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 8% from 188.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,732 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,732 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2005 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Checkered (GB)J: Ben Coen Leopardstown Golf, Padel And Range Maiden9f · Good · 15 ran 5th 150/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Smackwater Jack (IRE)J: Daniel King William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good · 18 ran 8th 18/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Duchess Anne (IRE)J: Orla Tynan BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 10th 6/1
05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Smackwater Jack (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Winter Festival November 28th & 29th Handicap Hurdle24f · Good · 13 ran 1st 10/1
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Pettus Bridge (FR)J: Patrick McGettigan Pravha Handicap (Div I)11f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 5th 12/1
15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Duchess Anne (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Festival 2027 On Sale Soon Handicap (Div I)9f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 8/1
15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Frank Pickle (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Punchestown Jumps Opener October 13th Handicap8f · Good · 14 ran 10th 11/1
03 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Smackwater Jack (IRE)J: Ricky Doyle Clarke's Bar Mullingar Handicap Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 20/1
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Frank Pickle (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Handicap8f · Good · 15 ran 7th 10/1
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Pettus Bridge (FR)J: Patrick McGettigan Navan Handicap (Div II)8f · Good · 16 ran 6th 40/1
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Duchess Anne (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Navan Handicap (Div I)8f · Good · 16 ran 8th 9/2
25 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Pettus Bridge (FR)J: Ben Coen Ploughman Bar & Grill Handicap (Div I)8f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran SU 50/1
04 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Rideau Canal (IRE)J: Ethan O'Sullivan Kepak Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Soft · 13 ran PU 40/1
04 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Smackwater Jack (IRE)J: Ethan O'Sullivan DNG Ivan Connaughton Handicap Hurdle24f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 9th 12/1
28 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Pettus Bridge (FR)J: Patrick McGettigan Caulfield Industrial Irish EBF Maiden7f · Yielding · 14 ran 9th 300/1
25 Jul 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Duchess Anne (IRE)J: Orla Tynan Tote Apprentice Handicap9.5f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 9/2
25 Jul 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Frank Pickle (IRE)J: Ben Coen Highway Safety Developments Handicap8f · Good · 9 ran 8th 15/2
22 Jul 26 Naas (IRE) Duchess Anne (IRE)J: Orla Tynan O'Neill & Co. Apprentice Handicap8f · Good · 18 ran 4th 22/1
21 Jul 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Smackwater Jack (IRE)J: Ethan O'Sullivan Sweeney Oil Handicap Hurdle (Div II)22f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 14/1
09 Jul 26 Leopardstown Frank Pickle (IRE)J: Ben Coen Harry Meighan Memorial Handicap8f · Good · 13 ran 1st 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs Denise Foster's strike rate?
Mrs Denise Foster has won 19 of 312 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mrs Denise Foster do best at?
Punchestown by strike rate: 3 wins from 38 runners (7.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Mrs Denise Foster in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Mrs Denise Foster's Fair A/E?
1.15, from 312 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).