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Trainer profile

J Michal

179 runners in the lifetime window · 29 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2022
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
11–179
Wins / Runs
6.1%
Strike rate
n=179
35 (20%)
Placed
1.36
Fair A/E
n=179 · 1.14 incl. margin
−8.30
£1 level stake
n=179 at SP · −4.6%
£255k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.36).

Deterministic profile computed from 179 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Sebastien Maillot: 8% from 87
The read

The record is strongest at Chantilly (FR) (13.2%, n=38), clear of the yard's 6.1% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.7% (n=58, Fair A/E 0.46). Sebastien Maillot rides 49% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8%, A/E 1.67) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (12.3%, n=57) and on Soft going (10.8%, n=65). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 2.4% over 42 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de la Chartreuse at Chantilly (FR) (May 2014, £20,367).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
1.7%−4.4
n=58 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −31.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.1
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.1
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.1
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
0%
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.1%+3.0
n=22 · A/E 1.89 · £1 −4.40
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
11.1%+5.0
n=9 · A/E 1.86 · £1 +5.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Chantilly (FR) 13.2% vs 6.1% · n=38
Off a 15-30-day break 12.3% vs 6.1% · n=57
On Soft going 10.8% vs 6.1% · n=65
Off a 61-180-day break 2.4% vs 6.1% · n=42
On Good going 2.5% vs 6.1% · n=40
On Heavy going 3% vs 6.1% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 144 10 6.9% +14.90
Hurdle 25 0 0% −25.00
Chase 10 1 10% +1.80

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 65 7 10.8% +58.40
Good 40 1 2.5% −15.60
Heavy 33 1 3% −27.20
Standard (AW) 22 2 9.1% −4.90
Good to Soft 19 0 0% −19.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Saint-Cloud (FR) 53 3 5.7% +4.20
Chantilly (FR) 38 5 13.2% +41.70
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 36 2 5.6% −14.00
Auteuil (FR) 27 1 3.7% −15.20
Longchamp (FR) 13 0 0% −13.00
Enghien (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Compiegne (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Deauville (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 9 1 11.1% +5.70

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 20 3 15% 1.12 +2.90
4th–6th fav 23 4 17.4% 2.67 +25.50
7th+ in betting 134 4 3% 1.10 −34.70
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Numero Treize (FR) 30 1 7 23 Nov 18
Settler's Son (IRE) 16 4 5 10 Oct 17
Bobik (FR)then M Rulec 15 0 3 24 Jun 22
All By Myself (GB)from Robert Collet 14 2 3 18 Oct 17
Tiara Man (FR) 14 1 2 27 Jun 16
Nimo (FR)from E Caroux 12 0 1 31 Oct 20
Renny Storm (CZE) 10 2 5 25 Nov 14
Adventurer (FR)from C Boutin · then C Boutin 9 0 2 16 Jun 17
Dane Dancer (IRE)from Robert Collet 9 1 3 23 Jun 15
Heaven's Night (FR)then M Seror 7 0 2 1 Jun 19
Cocooner (FR)then Robert Collet 7 0 1 24 Nov 17
Zip Code (FR)from Robert Collet · then L Cendra 5 0 1 5 Jul 18
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 29 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Robert Collet (6) and C Boutin (2); 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard; 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
··04940·0147·
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSebastien Maillot
49% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 1.67
RiderRWSR£1
Sebastien Maillot 87 7 8% +27.60
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
11
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£255k
Prize money
2015
Best season · 5 wins
Renny Storm (CZE) — Prix de la Chartreuse (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · May 2014
£20,367
Settler's Son (IRE) — Prix la Moskowa () (4yo+) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2016 · Listed
£19,118
Settler's Son (IRE) — Prix de Provence (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Apr 2015
£18,946
Notable horses
Settler's Son (IRE) All By Myself (GB) Renny Storm (CZE) Numero Treize (FR) Tiara Man (FR) Dane Dancer (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Stormy River (FR) 3.3% · 1–30
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,229 runs since 2011 (253 horses).
Muhtathir (GB) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,717 runs since 2008 (494 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.9% from 967.
Whipper (USA) 20% · 4–20
Progeny have won 9.8% of 4,601 runs since 2009 (397 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.6% from 516. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.6% from 1,128.
Dabirsim (FR) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,156 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 256. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 145.
Galileo (IRE) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,200 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.
Stormy Jail (IRE) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 6.7% of 30 runs since 2013 (3 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 179 · newest first

The latest 50 of 179 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 June 2013 to 24 June 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Jun 22 Saint-Cloud (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix du Domaine de Fouilleuse (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)6.5f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 8th 9/1
10 May 22 Chantilly (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix de la Fontaine Rocaille (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 63/10
06 Apr 22 Chantilly (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix de la Rue de la Faisanderie (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 37/1
02 Nov 21 Chantilly (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Gerald Mosse Prix de la Madone d'Orleans (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 17 ran 4th 68/10
13 Oct 21 Chantilly (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Gerald Mosse Prix de Saint-Witz (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 13/1
24 Sep 21 Chantilly (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Stephane Breux Prix de la Bergenrie (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 16 ran 8th 61/1
27 May 21 Longchamp (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Gerald Mosse Prix des Batignolles (Handicap) (3yo) (Moyenne Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)10.5f · Very Soft · 13 ran 10th 51/1
06 May 21 Longchamp (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Sebastien Maillot Prix du Bois de Boulogne (Handicap) (3yo) (Moyenne Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)10.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 48/1
27 Nov 20 Saint-Cloud (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Sebastien Maillot Prix de la Fontaine (Handicap) (2yo) (Turf)8f · Heavy · 17 ran 8th 33/1
17 Nov 20 Saint-Cloud (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Mme Perrine Cheyer Prix Kantar (Maiden) (2yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)10f · Heavy · 12 ran 8th 21/1
06 Nov 20 Chantilly (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Sebastien Maillot Prix de Montpensier (Handicap) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 16/1
31 Oct 20 Chantilly (FR) Nimo (FR)J: Mme Clemence Le Gland Prix de l'Histoire d'Esther (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf)6f · Heavy · 13 ran 12th 76/1
25 Oct 20 Longchamp (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Sebastien Maillot Prix du Parc des Princes (Handicap) (2yo) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)8f · Heavy · 13 ran 8th 20/1
03 Oct 20 Longchamp (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Sebastien Maillot Haras de Bouquetot - Criterium de la Vente d'Octobre Arqana (Conditions) (2yo) (Grande Course)(Turf)8f · Heavy · 17 ran 9th 48/1
06 Sep 20 Longchamp (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Ioritz Mendizabal Prix du Val Vauvert (Maiden) (2yo Colts & Geldings) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)8f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 37/1
04 Sep 20 Auteuil (FR) Berluca (FR)J: Alexandre Seigneul Prix de Gien (Hurdle) (Claimer) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)15f · Very Soft · 9 ran PU 76/1
17 Jul 20 Chantilly (FR) Nimo (FR)J: Sebastien Maillot Prix de la Pelouse (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf)6f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 16th 50/1
17 Jul 20 Chantilly (FR) Bobik (FR)J: Sebastien Maillot Prix de Thimecourt (Maiden) (Unraced 2yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 50/1
29 Oct 19 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Nimo (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix de l'Hotel Royal (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)6f · Heavy · 13 ran 12th 9/1
12 Oct 19 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Nimo (FR)J: Mme Laura Grosso Prix de Tursan (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf)6f · Very Soft · 17 ran 4th 17/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J Michal's strike rate?
J Michal has won 11 of 179 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J Michal do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 5 wins from 38 runners (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J Michal?
Sebastien Maillot, with 87 runners since 2008 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (8%).
What is J Michal's Fair A/E?
1.36, from 179 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).