What is James Grace's strike rate?

James Grace has won 15 of 226 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Grace do best at?

Clonmel by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is James Grace's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 226 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

James Grace

226 runners in the lifetime window · 21 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 91 days ago 100% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

15–226

Wins / Runs

6.6%

Strike rate

n=226

53 (24%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=226 · 0.81 incl. margin

−91.75

£1 level stake

n=226 at SP · −40.6%

£215k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03).

Deterministic profile computed from 226 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 6.7%

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.1% (n=64, Fair A/E 0.61). The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (13.2%, n=38) and on Heavy going (10.8%, n=93). The record reads poorly on Good going — 0% over 30 runners, 6.6pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tim Duggan Memorial Handicap Chase at Limerick (Dec 2017, £29,500). The stable star of the record: De Benno (IRE) — 5 wins from 43 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.1%−3.5

n=64 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −43.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

20%+13.4

n=5 · A/E 4.71 · £1 +7.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.6

n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.1%+4.5

n=9 · A/E 2.20 · £1 −3.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

20%+13.4

n=5 · A/E 3.58 · £1 +10.00

When favourite

20%

n=10 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −3.75

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.7%+0.1

n=150 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −45.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.5%+5.9

n=8 · A/E 2.02 · £1 +4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 8-14-day break 13.2% vs 6.6% · n=38

On Good going 0% vs 6.6% · n=30

On Heavy going 10.8% vs 6.6% · n=93

With Trevor Ryan 11.8% vs 6.6% · n=34

With horses switching code 2.5% vs 6.6% · n=40

With Philip Donovan 2.6% vs 6.6% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 182 12 6.6% −79.75

Chase 33 2 6.1% −13.00

NH Flat 10 1 10% +2.00

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Heavy 93 10 10.8% −3.00

Soft 84 4 4.8% −43.00

Good 30 0 0% −30.00

Good to Soft 17 1 5.9% −13.75

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Clonmel 31 3 9.7% −9.00

Cork 26 2 7.7% −8.00

Punchestown 19 0 0% −19.00

Limerick 19 1 5.3% −7.00

Fairyhouse 18 2 11.1% +3.00

Naas 18 3 16.7% +7.00

Thurles 16 1 6.3% −4.00

Ballinrobe 12 0 0% −12.00

Navan 11 2 18.2% −3.75

Tipperary 10 0 0% −10.00

Wexford 8 0 0% −8.00

Sligo 6 1 16.7% +11.00

Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00

Roscommon 5 0 0% −5.00

Tramore 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 8 1 12.5% +4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 14 3 21.4% 0.98 −3.75

2nd–3rd fav 26 3 11.5% 0.92 −3.00

4th–6th fav 63 7 11.1% 1.51 +11.00

7th+ in betting 123 2 1.6% 0.56 −96.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

92.1% completed · 215 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 33 93.9% 0 1 1 0 0

Hurdle 182 91.8% 2 1 12 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

De Benno (IRE) 43 5 14 20 Feb 20

Go Gill Go (IRE) 36 1 9 20 Apr 26

Mick The Boyo (IRE) 31 3 6 7 Nov 19

De Bennette (IRE) 26 1 4 11 Mar 21

Go Paddy Go (IRE) 25 3 13 12 Mar 17

She'llbeallright (IRE) 11 1 2 22 Feb 17

Barely Made It (IRE)then Colin Bowe 6 0 0 6 Apr 23

Match The Man (IRE) 6 0 0 14 Apr 22

De Milano (IRE) 6 0 1 19 Jan 21

Meet The Man (IRE) 6 0 0 11 Jun 19

Go Anna Go (IRE) 5 0 1 31 Jan 15

Gentle Anna (IRE) 4 0 1 5 Mar 24

All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 21 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C A Murphy (2); 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

198030020000216

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPhilip Donovan

17% of all rides
2.6% SR · A/E 0.62

RiderRWSR£1

Philip Donovan 38 1 2.6% −21.00

Trevor Ryan 34 4 11.8% −5.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£215k

Prize money

2018

Best season · 3 wins

De Benno (IRE) — Tim Duggan Memorial Handicap Chase (0-145) (Grade B) Limerick · Dec 2017 · Grade B

£29,500

De Benno (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle Navan · Feb 2018

£11,396

Go Paddy Go (IRE) — Follow Naas On Facebook Handicap Hurdle Naas · Jan 2016

£11,040

Notable horses

De Benno (IRE) Mick The Boyo (IRE) Go Paddy Go (IRE) Go Gill Go (IRE) De Bennette (IRE) She'llbeallright (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Flemensfirth (USA) 9.6% · 7–73

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,287 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Beneficial (GB) 8.7% · 6–69

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,045 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 2.8% · 1–36

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,493 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Barely A Moment (AUS) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 3.1% of 129 runs since 2019 (19 horses).

Califet (FR) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,802 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Milan (GB) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,871 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 226 · newest first

The latest 50 of 226 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 December 2009 to 6 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

06 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Boltlander (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan SIS Handicap Hurdle18f · Good · 16 ran 16th 22/1

05 Jun 26 Clonmel Boltlander (IRE)J: Kieren Buckley Bulmers Berries Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)16.5f · Good · 15 ran PU 100/1

27 May 26 Wexford Boltlander (IRE)J: Daniel King Treo Eile Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)17f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 50/1

20 Apr 26 Tramore Go Gill Go (IRE)J: Daniel King O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 9th 25/1

20 Jan 26 Down Royal Go Gill Go (IRE)J: Danny Gilligan Pravha Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 18/1

31 Dec 25 Punchestown Go Gill Go (IRE)J: Conor Clarke Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16.5f · Yielding · 18 ran 7th 12/1

11 Jul 25 Cork Go Gill Go (IRE)J: Sean Flanagan Mallow Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Good · 17 ran 11th 12/1

06 Jun 25 Clonmel Go Gill Go (IRE)J: Conor Clarke Bulmers Zero Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 7th 12/1

13 May 25 Sligo Go Gill Go (IRE)J: Conor Clarke Strandhill Caravan Park Handicap Hurdle (0-100)18f · Good · 13 ran 12th 8/1

27 Feb 25 Clonmel Go Gill Go (IRE)J: Daniel King Cloneen Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Heavy · 16 ran 12th 7/1

13 Feb 25 Clonmel Go Gill Go (IRE)J: Daniel King Minorstown Handicap Hurdle (0-100)16f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 16/1

22 Nov 24 Tipperary Go Gill Go (IRE)J: Daniel King Follow Us On Facebook Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Soft · 19 ran 16th 12/1

18 Apr 24 Clonmel Go Gill Go (IRE)J: Jack Kennedy Cannonwood Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 13/2

05 Mar 24 Thurles Gentle Anna (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Holycross Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 20/1

30 Jan 24 Limerick Go Gill Go (IRE)J: Conor Clarke Follow Limerick Racecourse On Instagram Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 11/1

12 Jan 24 Naas Gentle Anna (IRE)J: Philip Donovan Matt Britton Irish EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 25 ran 16th 250/1

14 Dec 23 Naas Go Gill Go (IRE)J: Mr P Lake John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)16f · Soft · 15 ran F 14/1

10 Dec 23 Cork Gentle Anna (IRE)J: Conor Clarke Bar One Racing 'Guaranteed Multiples All Shops' Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft To Heavy · 24 ran 20th 200/1

26 Nov 23 Cork Gentle Anna (IRE)J: Philip Donovan I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 17 ran 13th 125/1

26 Oct 23 Clonmel Go Gill Go (IRE)J: Mr P Lake Kilclooney Woods (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 11th 9/2C

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Grace's strike rate?: James Grace has won 15 of 226 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Grace do best at?: Clonmel by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is James Grace's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 226 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.