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Trainer profile

Michael J Hogan

47 runners in the lifetime window · 5 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2012 98% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–47
Wins / Runs
10.6%
Strike rate
n=47
14 (30%)
Placed
1.77
Fair A/E
n=47 · 1.33 incl. margin
+14.50
£1 level stake
n=47 at SP · +30.9%
£38,070
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−10.6
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−10.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−10.6
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.4%−1.2
n=32 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +6.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 30 3 10% +10.00
NH Flat 12 1 8.3% +3.00
Chase 4 1 25% +2.50
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 17 1 5.9% +0.00
Heavy 15 0 0% −15.00
Good 12 3 25% +17.50
Good to Firm 2 1 50% +13.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 9 0 0% −9.00
Cork 6 1 16.7% +11.00
Thurles 4 0 0% −4.00
Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00
Clonmel 3 0 0% −3.00
Downpatrick 3 2 66.7% +11.50
Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00
Tramore 3 2 66.7% +27.00
Ballinrobe 2 0 0% −2.00
Listowel 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00
Roscommon 1 0 0% −1.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00
Killarney 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 8 1 12.5% 1.05 −1.50
4th–6th fav 14 1 7.1% 0.98 −6.00
7th+ in betting 25 3 12% 3.47 +22.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.2% completed · 34 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 4 75% 0 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 30 90% 1 0 1 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mountain Heather (IRE) 34 5 9 29 Dec 12
Kaylas Charm (IRE) 9 0 3 7 Jun 12
Mountain Time (IRE) 2 0 1 14 Mar 09
Jimmy Be Good (IRE) 1 0 0 16 Jan 11
Tidy Zag (IRE)from Michael T Moran · then James Grace 1 0 1 3 Jan 11
All 5 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 5 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 4 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0005000040050020
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Andrew J McNamara 5 2 40% +18.00
Niall Kelly 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr Steven E Ryder 5 0 0% −5.00
John Cullen 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr C D Sharkey 4 1 25% +11.00
D G Hogan 4 1 25% +2.50
Martin Ferris 3 0 0% −3.00
Brian Hayes 3 0 0% −3.00
Paddy Kennedy 2 1 50% +15.00
Brian Cawley 1 0 0% −1.00
Miss J M Mangan 1 0 0% −1.00
Mikey Ennis 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£38,849
Prize money
2010
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Mountain Heather (IRE) — Ladbrokes Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Tramore · Aug 2011
£7,935
Mountain Heather (IRE) — Williamhill.com Best Odds Guaranteed Beginners Chase Downpatrick · Oct 2010
£5,865
Mountain Heather (IRE) — Saltan Properties (mares) Flat Race Tramore · Apr 2009
£5,528
Notable horses
Mountain Heather (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Luso (GB) 14.7% · 5–34
Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).
Garuda (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.5% of 262 runs since 2008 (30 horses).
Bishop of Cashel (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.7% of 701 runs since 2008 (69 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.8% from 105.
Pilsudski (IRE) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 6.3% of 605 runs since 2008 (75 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.5% from 199. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 209.
Zagreb (USA) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,455 runs since 2008 (150 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 55 · newest first

The latest 50 of 55 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 May 2005 to 29 December 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Dec 12 Limerick Mountain Heather (IRE)J: Martin Ferris Limerickraces.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-102)18f · Heavy · 12 ran 8th 20/1
07 Jun 12 Tipperary Kaylas Charm (IRE)J: Martin Ferris Tipperary Racecourse Supporters Club Maiden Hurdle24f · Soft · 18 ran 6th 16/1
25 May 12 Cork Kaylas Charm (IRE)J: Shane Butler Friday July 13th BBQ Maiden Hurdle24f · Good · 24 ran 5th 33/1
12 May 12 Kilbeggan Kaylas Charm (IRE)J: Martin Ferris Kinnegad Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 14/1
25 Jan 12 Limerick Kaylas Charm (IRE)J: Niall Kelly Adare Mares Flat Race16f · Heavy · 15 ran 2nd 7/1
15 Jan 12 Navan Kaylas Charm (IRE)J: Niall Kelly Trim (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 2nd 33/1
27 Dec 11 Limerick Kaylas Charm (IRE)J: Miss J M Mangan Holmes O'malley Sexton Mares Flat Race16f · Heavy · 18 ran 9th 16/1
15 Sep 11 Listowel Mountain Heather (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Devon Inn Hotel Handicap Hurdle24f · Soft · 16 ran 10th 20/1
29 Aug 11 Downpatrick Mountain Heather (IRE)J: Andrew J McNamara Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Handicap Hurdle (81-116)18f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 7/2
12 Aug 11 Tramore Mountain Heather (IRE)J: Andrew J McNamara Ladbrokes Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-109)21f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 1st 14/1
02 Aug 11 Roscommon Mountain Heather (IRE)J: Andrew J McNamara J. F. Hanley Handicap Hurdle (80-109)24f · Good · 18 ran 15th 20/1
21 Jul 11 Limerick Mountain Heather (IRE)J: Mikey Ennis Limerick Tri Nations Challenge (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-109)22f · Good · 9 ran F 5/1
15 May 11 Killarney Kaylas Charm (IRE)J: Niall Kelly Jim Ryan Racecourse Services (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good · 18 ran BD 8/1
09 Apr 11 Tramore Kaylas Charm (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Metal Man Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 15 ran 6th 8/1
17 Mar 11 Wexford Kaylas Charm (IRE)J: Niall Kelly Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Flat Race16f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 10/1
16 Jan 11 Fairyhouse Jimmy Be Good (IRE)J: Niall Kelly Rockview (Q.R.) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 12 ran 9th 25/1
16 Jan 11 Fairyhouse Mountain Heather (IRE)J: D G Hogan Tote Trifecta Rollover Handicap Chase (0-116)25f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 12/1
03 Jan 11 Cork Tidy Zag (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Mccarthy Insurance Group Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 11/1
03 Jan 11 Cork Mountain Heather (IRE)J: Paddy Kennedy Mccarthy Insurance Group Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran 4th 5/1
12 Dec 10 Cork Mountain Heather (IRE)J: Paddy Kennedy Newmarket Novice Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Soft · 18 ran 1st 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael J Hogan's strike rate?
Michael J Hogan has won 5 of 47 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Michael J Hogan's Fair A/E?
1.77, from 47 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).