What is Shane Shortall's strike rate?

Shane Shortall has won 71 of 1,034 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Shane Shortall do best at?

Limerick by strike rate: 8 wins from 66 rides (12.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Shane Shortall ride most for?

Joseph Patrick O'Brien, with 155 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (11.6%).

What is Shane Shortall's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 1,034 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Shane Shortall

1,034 rides in the lifetime window · 603 individual horses

As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Mar 2020 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

71–1,034

Wins / Runs

6.9%

Strike rate

n=1,034

237 (23%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=1,034 · 0.72 incl. margin

−468.19

£1 level stake

n=1,034 at SP · −45.3%

£1.08m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (70 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,034 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 7.4% 26.7% when favourite Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 11.6% from 155 First rides: 7.1% LTO winners: 20% Claiming: 7.1%

The read

It is weakest at Punchestown (0% over 46 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20% (n=70, Fair A/E 1.38), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 3% (n=67, Fair A/E 0.60). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 4.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −290.00 to a £1 stake over 527 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Joseph Patrick O'Brien supplied 15% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11.6% vs 6.9%, A/E 1.17) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the thetote.com Galway Plate at Galway (Jul 2014, £120,375). Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.1%+0.2

n=603 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −225.41

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20%+13.1

n=70 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +2.16

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.4%+0.5

n=215 · A/E 1.26 · £1 −43.50

When favourite

26.7%

n=60 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −15.43

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.1%+0.2

n=800 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −330.77

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.6%−2.3

n=527 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −290.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3%−3.9

n=67 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −46.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 20% vs 6.9% · n=70

At Punchestown 0% vs 6.9% · n=46

At Roscommon 0% vs 6.9% · n=34

At Thurles 0% vs 6.9% · n=33

At Naas 0% vs 6.9% · n=32

With Joseph Patrick O'Brien 11.6% vs 6.9% · n=155

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 774 58 7.5% −330.99

Chase 217 11 5.1% −113.00

NH Flat 35 1 2.9% −18.00

Flat 8 1 12.5% −6.20

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 349 29 8.3% −124.00

Soft 345 22 6.4% −158.29

Heavy 158 10 6.3% −75.75

Good to Soft 124 8 6.5% −56.15

Good to Firm 58 2 3.4% −54.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Limerick 66 8 12.1% +2.75

Cork 58 1 1.7% −45.00

Fairyhouse 54 3 5.6% −14.50

Leopardstown 50 2 4% −27.00

Ballinrobe 47 3 6.4% −22.75

Punchestown 46 0 0% −46.00

Down Royal 44 3 6.8% −24.25

Downpatrick 39 1 2.6% −37.27

Galway 38 4 10.5% −11.70

Kilbeggan 37 3 8.1% +4.50

Clonmel 37 4 10.8% −13.83

Wexford 37 4 10.8% −16.75

Tramore 36 4 11.1% +12.00

Roscommon 34 0 0% −34.00

Bellewstown 33 4 12.1% +8.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 69 2 2.9% −48.00

Class 4 54 5 9.3% −38.84

Class 5 29 3 10.3% −16.88

Class 3 20 2 10% −8.50

Class 6 13 0 0% −13.00

Class 2 7 1 14.3% +1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 78 21 26.9% 1.02 −11.52

2nd–3rd fav 178 21 11.8% 0.85 −59.67

4th–6th fav 273 18 6.6% 0.92 −66.00

7th+ in betting 505 11 2.2% 0.73 −331.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85.4% completed · 991 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 217 74.7% 18 6 28 2 1

Hurdle 774 88.4% 21 10 51 5 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Pires (GB) 13 1 4 30 Oct 15

Liclash (IRE) 12 2 2 10 Aug 19

Grey Waters (IRE) 8 2 2 8 Dec 19

Dawn In The Park (FR) 8 1 1 15 Nov 18

Rock On Rosie (IRE) 8 2 4 8 Sep 17

Traditional Dancer (IRE) 8 3 6 4 Feb 17

Supreme Vic (IRE) 8 2 5 16 Oct 14

Stoneham (GB) 7 0 3 1 Jan 17

Wandering Aengus (GB) 7 1 5 4 Aug 15

Chaparral Dream (IRE) 6 0 3 23 Jul 19

Theatre Run (IRE) 6 1 2 21 Mar 18

Heart O Annandale (IRE) 6 1 3 27 Jul 16

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 603 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

421087571211526

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJoseph Patrick O'Brien

15% of all rides
11.6% SR · A/E 1.17

TrainerRWSR£1

Joseph Patrick O'Brien 155 18 11.6% −7.58

A J Martin 127 11 8.7% −71.37

Iain Jardine 69 8 11.6% −34.34

Stephen Ryan 34 3 8.8% −0.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.08m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 18 wins

Road To Riches (IRE) — thetote.com Galway Plate (Grade A Handicap Chase) Galway · Jul 2014 · Grade A

£120,375

Space Ship (GB) — Tennent's Cup Scottish Champion Hurdle Trial Handicap Hurdle Ayr · Oct 2016 · Class 2

£16,245

All The Answers (GB) — Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Chase Cork · Nov 2018

£15,990

Notable horses

Traditional Dancer (IRE) Liclash (IRE) Grey Waters (IRE) Rock On Rosie (IRE) Supreme Vic (IRE) Mydor (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 3.1% · 1–32

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Old Vic (GB) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).

Galileo (IRE) 11.5% · 3–26

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,195 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 889.

Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–22

Progeny have won 11% of 20,050 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Flemensfirth (USA) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Milan (GB) 0% · 0–19

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,860 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,034 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,034 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 April 2010 to 8 March 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Mar 20 Naas Mise Raftaire (IRE)T: Brian Francis Cawley Expert Air, The International Express Delivery Experts Maiden Hurdle19f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 8th 80/1

05 Mar 20 Thurles The Wise Maid (IRE)T: J P Dempsey I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle23f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran PU 100/1

05 Mar 20 Thurles Charlie Bit Me (IRE)T: Madeleine Tylicki Killinan Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 9th 20/1

20 Feb 20 Thurles Missie's Boy (GB)T: Mrs Caroline McCaldin Killinan Maiden Hurdle21f · Soft · 17 ran PU 100/1

14 Jan 20 Fairyhouse Rossderrin (IRE)T: J P Dempsey 150th Irish Grand National Beginners Chase16f · Heavy · 11 ran 6th 50/1

09 Jan 20 Clonmel Lambikin (IRE)T: Colin Kidd Kilsheelan Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Heavy · 16 ran 14th 100/1

05 Jan 20 Naas Kalakhan (IRE)T: J P Dempsey I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 12th 100/1

01 Jan 20 Tramore Backonthehill (IRE)T: E Sheehy Knockenduff Stud Maiden Hurdle21f · Soft · 15 ran 11th 100/1

01 Jan 20 Tramore Rossderrin (IRE)T: J P Dempsey Go Power Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Soft · 13 ran 9th 25/1

01 Jan 20 Tramore Lambikin (IRE)T: Colin Kidd David Flynn Building Contractors Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 100/1

29 Dec 19 Limerick Global Equity (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Irish Independent Hurdle (Grade 3)16f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 18/1

28 Dec 19 Limerick Shady Operator (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Tim Duggan Memorial Handicap Chase (0-150) (Grade B)19.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 3rd 16/1

28 Dec 19 Limerick Ellipsism (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Cube Printing Handicap Hurdle24f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 16/1

27 Dec 19 Limerick Ricky Langford (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Convermax Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Heavy · 13 ran 5th 50/1

27 Dec 19 Limerick Lady Breffni (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Roches Feeds Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Heavy · 15 ran 2nd 15/2

27 Dec 19 Limerick Garrai Phaidin (IRE)T: Shane Ryder Goggin Buckley Veterans Handicap Chase22.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 4th 16/1

26 Dec 19 Limerick Miss Cognac (IRE)T: Noel Meade O'Kelly Brothers Demolition Mares Handicap Hurdle20f · Heavy · 13 ran 1st 12/1

26 Dec 19 Limerick Ozone (IRE)T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien Guinness 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 14 ran UR 10/3

16 Dec 19 Naas Pivotal Pursuit (GB)T: Kevin McDonagh Lawlor's Of Naas Feature Sponsor On January 5th Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19f · Soft · 25 ran 17th 66/1

16 Dec 19 Naas Mise Raftaire (IRE)T: Kevin McDonagh 2020 Naas Membership Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 24 ran 13th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Shane Shortall's strike rate?: Shane Shortall has won 71 of 1,034 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shane Shortall do best at?: Limerick by strike rate: 8 wins from 66 rides (12.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Shane Shortall ride most for?: Joseph Patrick O'Brien, with 155 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (11.6%).
What is Shane Shortall's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 1,034 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.