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Trainer profile

Jamie Flynn

58 runners in the lifetime window · 2 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Runners today 97% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
4–58
Wins / Runs
6.9%
Strike rate
n=58
19 (33%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=58 · 0.67 incl. margin
−28.17
£1 level stake
n=58 at SP · −48.6%
£52,592
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.3%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 9.1%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.9
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.9
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
9.1%+2.2
n=33 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −16.17
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Dundalk (AW) 10.5% vs 6.9% · n=38
On Standard (AW) going 10.5% vs 6.9% · n=38
With claiming riders up 9.1% vs 6.9% · n=33
In Flat races 7.1% vs 6.9% · n=56 · A/E 0.85
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 56 4 7.1% −26.17
Hurdle 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 38 4 10.5% −8.17
Good 8 0 0% −8.00
Soft 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 38 4 10.5% −8.17
Leopardstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Navan 4 0 0% −4.00
Curragh 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse 2 0 0% −2.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Galway 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Wexford (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.97 −0.67
2nd–3rd fav 12 2 16.7% 1.13 +0.50
4th–6th fav 17 1 5.9% 0.73 −4.00
7th+ in betting 24 0 0% 0.00 −24.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Storm Eric (IRE)from Karl Thornton 52 4 19 13 Nov 26
Star Of Tara (IRE) 6 0 0 3 Nov 26
All 2 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 2 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 1 had its first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1100500000020100
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Adam Caffrey 13 1 7.7% −8.67
James Ryan 12 0 0% −12.00
Cian MacRedmond 8 1 12.5% −2.50
Adam Grant 8 1 12.5% −1.00
Robbie Colgan 7 1 14.3% +6.00
Rory Mulligan 3 0 0% −3.00
N G McCullagh 1 0 0% −1.00
Phillip Enright 1 0 0% −1.00
Conor Maxwell 1 0 0% −1.00
Mark Enright 1 0 0% −1.00
Keith Donoghue 1 0 0% −1.00
Scott McCullagh 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→
4
Archived wins
£52,592
Prize money
2023
Best season · 2 wins
Storm Eric (IRE) — 12th July Ladies Day At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-65) (Div 1) Dundalk (AW) · Apr 2023
£6,195
Storm Eric (IRE) — View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap Dundalk (AW) (IRE) · Oct 2026
£6,000
Storm Eric (IRE) — William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap (47-65) (Div 1) Dundalk (AW) · Jan 2025
£5,900
Notable horses
Storm Eric (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Estidhkaar (IRE) 7.7% · 4–52
Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,597 runs since 2020 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 119. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 229.
Poet's Word (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.3% of 766 runs since 2022 (151 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 13.9% from 108.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 58 · newest first

The latest 50 of 58 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 20 January 2023 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Adam Grant Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Apprentice Handicap12f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 13/2
06 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Adam Grant BAR 1 Betting 'Acca Boost' Apprentice Handicap12f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 11/1
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Star Of Tara (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Winter Festival 28th & 29th November 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 9th 150/1
30 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Adam Grant Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 11/2
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Adam Grant View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 6/1
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Adam Grant Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 4/1
18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Adam Grant SIS, Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 28/1
15 Aug 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Adam Grant Friday Night Lights Return Weekly From 18th September Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 11/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Think Print & Design Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 14 ran 13th 66/1
16 May 26 Navan Star Of Tara (IRE)J: James Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Yeats Stakes (Listed)13f · Yielding · 5 ran 5th 500/1
27 Mar 26 Dundalk (AW) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey Next Friday Fixture At Dundalk 10th April Handicap (0-60)10.5f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 2/1
20 Mar 26 Dundalk (AW) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey Dundalk Stadium Winter Series Awards Day Handicap10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 11/2
13 Mar 26 Dundalk (AW) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 8/1
20 Feb 26 Dundalk (AW) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Adam Grant DundalkStadium.com Apprentice Handicap (0-60)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 11/2
13 Jan 26 Dundalk (AW) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey Friday Night Lights Return To Dundalk Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 5/1
09 Jan 26 Dundalk (AW) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Scott McCullagh New Saddle Bar At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 14/1
19 Nov 25 Dundalk (AW) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Dundalk Stadium Gift Vouchers Available Online Handicap (0-60)7f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 66/1
29 Oct 25 Dundalk (AW) Storm Eric (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60)7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 40/1
17 Oct 25 Dundalk (AW) Storm Eric (IRE)J: James Ryan View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 50/1
28 Aug 25 Navan Storm Eric (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey Racing Next At Navan On Saturday September 6th Handicap (0-60)14f · Yielding · 15 ran 13th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jamie Flynn's strike rate?
Jamie Flynn has won 4 of 58 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jamie Flynn do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 38 runners (10.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Jamie Flynn in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jamie Flynn's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 58 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).