Kate Buckett
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.7% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.36). The yard also read well in Chase races (13.2%, n=53) and off a 15-30-day break (12.5%, n=56). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 35 runners, 7.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.38 across 50 runners (2% strike, −16.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Upham Atom (GB) — 5 wins from 42 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2008→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 155 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 155 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 December 2008 to 12 April 2019.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Kate Buckett's strike rate?
- Kate Buckett has won 12 of 155 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Kate Buckett do best at?
- Fontwell by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 runners (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is Kate Buckett's Fair A/E?
- 0.97, from 155 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.