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Trainer profile

Kate Buckett

155 runners in the lifetime window · 10 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Apr 2019 100% of runners over jumps
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
12–155
Wins / Runs
7.7%
Strike rate
n=155
36 (23%)
Placed
0.97
Fair A/E
n=155 · 0.84 incl. margin
+8.49
£1 level stake
n=155 at SP · +5.5%
£94,487
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97).

Deterministic profile computed from 155 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 8%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.7% (n=37, Fair A/E 0.36). The yard also read well in Chase races (13.2%, n=53) and off a 15-30-day break (12.5%, n=56). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 35 runners, 7.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.38 across 50 runners (2% strike, −16.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Upham Atom (GB) — 5 wins from 42 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.7%−5.0
n=37 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −20.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.7
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.7
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
25%+17.3
n=8 · A/E 2.38 · £1 −2.63
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.7
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
44.4%
n=9 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +1.49
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8%+0.3
n=75 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +43.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 7.7% · n=35
Over 2m5f – 3m 2% vs 7.7% · n=50
With Kieron Edgar 13.9% vs 7.7% · n=36
In Chase races 13.2% vs 7.7% · n=53
With a new jockey booking 2.1% vs 7.7% · n=47
Off a 15-30-day break 12.5% vs 7.7% · n=56
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 96 5 5.2% +20.00
Chase 53 7 13.2% −5.51
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 44 2 4.5% −24.25
Good 42 2 4.8% −16.00
Good to Soft 35 0 0% −35.00
Heavy 24 6 25% +80.12
Good to Firm 10 2 20% +3.62

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fontwell 30 3 10% −7.88
Wincanton 27 2 7.4% −13.38
Taunton 19 3 15.8% +41.75
Plumpton 11 0 0% −11.00
Newbury 10 0 0% −10.00
Lingfield 9 2 22.2% +32.00
Towcester 9 0 0% −9.00
Chepstow 7 0 0% −7.00
Warwick 6 0 0% −6.00
Exeter 6 1 16.7% +15.00
Kempton 6 0 0% −6.00
Cheltenham 4 0 0% −4.00
Folkestone 3 1 33.3% +2.00
Stratford 3 0 0% −3.00
Sandown 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 75 4 5.3% −20.50
Class 5 44 4 9.1% +33.62
Class 3 29 3 10.3% −0.38
Class 6 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 2 3 1 33.3% −0.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 4 40% 1.32 +0.49
2nd–3rd fav 26 3 11.5% 0.76 −7.00
4th–6th fav 48 1 2.1% 0.28 −14.00
7th+ in betting 71 4 5.6% 2.19 +29.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
80.5% completed · 149 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 53 71.7% 3 2 10 0 0
Hurdle 96 85.4% 1 1 12 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Upham Atom (GB)from Chris Gordon 42 5 12 12 Apr 16
Join The Navy (GB)from Seamus Mullins 28 5 11 9 Apr 18
Upham Running (IRE) 26 1 2 6 Mar 19
Boardwalk Empire (IRE) 17 1 2 15 Apr 18
Bellosguardo (GB)from Miss Chloe Boxall 6 0 3 29 Apr 13
Tractor Fred (IRE)then Jamie Snowden 5 0 2 13 Feb 19
Slip Duty (IRE) 4 0 0 15 Feb 11
Overbury Valentine (GB) 3 0 0 9 Apr 10
All 10 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 10 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 6 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard, most often for Jamie Snowden (2); 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
111510600···0010
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderKieron Edgar
23% of all rides
13.9% SR · A/E 1.76
RiderRWSR£1
Kieron Edgar 36 5 13.9% +80.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
12
Archived wins
£94,487
Prize money
2014
Best season · 3 wins
Upham Atom (GB) — Bathwick Tyres Veterans' Handicap Chase Taunton · Mar 2013 · Class 2
£12,972
Upham Atom (GB) — ladbrokes.com Kent National (Handicap Chase) Folkestone · Feb 2012 · Class 3
£9,747
Upham Atom (GB) — Haulfryn Holidays Marathon Handicap Chase Exeter · Apr 2014 · Class 3
£6,330

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Silver Patriarch (IRE) 11.9% · 5–42
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.
Sea Freedom (GB) 17.9% · 5–28
Progeny have won 13% of 77 runs since 2008 (9 horses).
Definite Article (GB) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Overbury (IRE) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Medicean (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 155 · newest first

The latest 50 of 155 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 December 2008 to 12 April 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Dec 18 Plumpton Upham Running (IRE)J: James Davies JH Builders Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 25/1
12 Apr 18 Taunton Upham Running (IRE)J: James Bowen toteplacepot Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 4th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kate Buckett's strike rate?
Kate Buckett has won 12 of 155 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kate Buckett do best at?
Fontwell by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 runners (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Kate Buckett's Fair A/E?
0.97, from 155 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).