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Trainer profile

M Cesandri

518 runners in the lifetime window · 111 individual horses
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 4 days ago 91% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
50–518
Wins / Runs
9.7%
Strike rate
n=518
134 (26%)
Placed
1.17
Fair A/E
n=479 · 1.05 incl. margin
−15.37
£1 level stake
n=496 at SP · −3.1%
£1.19m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
17.9%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.17).

Deterministic profile computed from 518 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Mar–May 35.1% when favourite Dorian Provost: 15.4% from 65 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Auteuil (FR) (19.4%, n=31), clear of the yard's 9.7% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 3.2% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.61). Dorian Provost rides 13% of the entries and beats the yard's average (15.4% vs 9.7%, A/E 2.01) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Hurdle races (17.1%, n=41) and on Soft going (15.2%, n=132). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 2.9% over 68 runners, 6.8pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Minerve at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2023, £35,398). Seasonally, the yard fires Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.2%−2.5
n=195 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −23.20
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.4%−2.3
n=27 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −21.30
Debutants · first career start
8.5%−1.2
n=82 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −26.60
First-time headgear · true-first definition
5.7%−4.0
n=53 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −33.10
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.7
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
35.1%
n=37 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +37.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.2%−6.5
n=31 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −1.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
7.5%−2.2
n=40 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +2.60

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Auteuil (FR) 19.4% vs 9.7% · n=31
With Aurelien Lemaitre 17.5% vs 9.7% · n=40
Over 6f – 7f 2.9% vs 9.7% · n=68
In Hurdle races 17.1% vs 9.7% · n=41
On Soft going 15.2% vs 9.7% · n=132
With Dorian Provost 15.4% vs 9.7% · n=65
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 470 43 9.1% −24.47
Hurdle 41 7 17.1% +15.10
Chase 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 178 17 9.6% +14.00
Soft 132 20 15.2% +18.18
Good to Soft 84 5 6% −15.30
Good 72 3 4.2% −38.50
Heavy 49 5 10.2% +6.25
Firm 1 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (AW) 118 11 9.3% +18.65
Chantilly (FR) 91 7 7.7% −2.40
Saint-Cloud 88 7 8% −17.90
Longchamp (FR) 57 3 5.3% −24.20
Auteuil (FR) 31 6 19.4% +24.10
Lyon Parilly 28 4 14.3% −12.92
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 28 0 0% −28.00
Compiegne 16 0 0% −16.00
Vichy 12 1 8.3% −7.50
Cagnes-Sur-Mer 11 2 18.2% −1.10
Lyon-La Soie 9 3 33.3% +8.05
Enghien (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Vittel (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Toulouse (FR) 3 0 0% −2.00
Moulins (FR) 2 1 50% +13.70

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 40 3 7.5% +2.60
Class 4 11 3 27.3% −0.17
Class 3 8 0 0% −8.00
Class 2 6 1 16.7% +2.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 37 13 35.1% 1.34 +37.25
2nd–3rd fav 61 10 16.4% 1.24 −4.32
4th–6th fav 139 12 8.6% 1.11 −12.00
7th+ in betting 259 10 3.9% 1.06 −36.30
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Allurre (FR) 25 4 9 19 Oct 26
Favros (FR) 21 1 4 24 Nov 20
Refik (FR) 21 4 5 29 Oct 12
Colonel D'Aumont (FR)from P Chatelain 20 2 6 30 Apr 22
Captain De Cerisy (FR) 19 2 6 21 Oct 24
Saint Sacre (FR) 17 2 8 6 Apr 21
Monfrere (FR) 16 0 2 12 Aug 23
Joly Nelsa (FR) 15 2 4 5 Mar 12
Kutubo (FR) 12 1 6 10 Sep 14
Her Christopher (FR)from Y Barberot 11 2 5 19 Oct 26
Zasymoka (FR) 11 1 3 18 Oct 26
Elenya (IRE) 11 0 5 23 Oct 13
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 111 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P Chatelain (3); 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for F Belmont (3); 50 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
99131419461097105
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDorian Provost
13% of all rides
15.4% SR · A/E 2.01
RiderRWSR£1
Dorian Provost 65 10 15.4% +63.73
Aurelien Lemaitre 40 7 17.5% +55.20
Ioritz Mendizabal 40 3 7.5% −21.20
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
52
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£1.25m
Prize money
2026
Best season · 12 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Engaliwe (FR) — Prix Minerve (3yo Fillies) (Round Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2023 · Group 3
£35,398
Joly Nelsa (FR) — Prix Hubert D'Aillieres (Hurdle) () (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2011 · Listed
£35,172
A Beauregard (FR) — Morocco Cup - Handicap De La Manche Deauville (FR) · Aug 2026 · Class 2
£25,450
Notable horses
Allurre (FR) Refik (FR) Engaliwe (FR) Colonel D'Aumont (FR) Captain De Cerisy (FR) Saint Sacre (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Honolulu (IRE) 2.7% · 1–37
Progeny have won 8.8% of 341 runs since 2013 (48 horses).
Nickname (FR) 6.9% · 2–29
Progeny have won 16.6% of 857 runs since 2012 (95 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 21.2% from 104.
Anodin (IRE) 16% · 4–25
Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,433 runs since 2018 (275 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 116.
Hawker's News (IRE) 19% · 4–21
Progeny have won 15.2% of 33 runs since 2008 (4 horses).
Captain Marvelous (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 8.3% of 968 runs since 2012 (63 horses).
Simplex (FR) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 7.5% of 53 runs since 2013 (10 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 532 · newest first

The latest 50 of 532 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 May 2005 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Inventer (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Du Pays De Caux9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 12/1
31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Il Magistero (FR)J: Leonard Plommee Prix Du Pays De Bray9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 25/1
23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Rio Grande (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Des Pentes De La Croix-rousseClass 4 · 16f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 7/1
19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Her Christopher (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix De La Foret D'eawy9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 1st 13/2
19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Allurre (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix De La Foret De Lyons9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 9th 25/1
18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Zasymoka (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix De La Chaussee7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 100/30
18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Measter Owen (FR)J: Leonard Plommee Prix Rieussec15.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 11th 33/1
18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) A Beauregard (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Rieussec15.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 2nd 33/1
06 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Zasymoka (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Du Parc Borely8f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 6/1
02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Zilya (FR)J: Leonard Plommee Prix De VilleurbanneClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 11/4
02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Rio Grande (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Du BouscatClass 4 · 10.5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 12/1
02 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Inventer (FR)J: Leonard Plommee Prix Pietro9f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 10/1
29 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Her Christopher (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Du Salon VioletClass 3 · 9.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 9th 17/2
26 Sep 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Allurre (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix De L'esplanadeClass 4 · 10f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 100/30
26 Sep 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Vikthor (FR)J: Mr Jonathan Plassard Prix Des AmateursClass 4 · 15.5f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 11/4
25 Sep 26 Salon-de-Provence (FR) Derni Chop (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix D'arles12f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 5/4F
24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Zasymoka (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Du Vermandois7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 14/1
24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Il Magistero (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix De La Basse Automne8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 20/1
15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Rio Grande (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Des Bords De L'aisne14f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 22/1
15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) A Beauregard (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix Des Bords De L'oise14f · Soft · 16 ran 16th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Cesandri's strike rate?
M Cesandri has won 50 of 518 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Cesandri do best at?
Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 6 wins from 31 runners (19.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Cesandri?
Dorian Provost, with 65 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (15.4%).
Is M Cesandri in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M Cesandri's Fair A/E?
1.17, from 479 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 4 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).