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Trainer profile

Noel W O'Neill

48 runners in the lifetime window · 6 individual horses
As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2023 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
3–48
Wins / Runs
6.3%
Strike rate
n=48
11 (23%)
Placed
0.93
Fair A/E
n=48 · 0.76 incl. margin
−8.50
£1 level stake
n=48 at SP · −17.7%
£75,749
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
15.4%+9.1
n=13 · A/E 1.74 · £1 +11.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
100%+93.7
n=1 · A/E 4.45 · £1 +2.50
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
50%+43.7
n=2 · A/E 18.55 · £1 +19.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.8%+5.5
n=17 · A/E 1.46 · £1 +7.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
8.3%+2.0
n=12 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 23 3 13% +16.50
Chase 16 0 0% −16.00
NH Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 24 1 4.2% −9.00
Heavy 14 2 14.3% +10.50
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Good 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Naas 9 0 0% −9.00
Limerick 5 1 20% −1.50
Thurles 5 1 20% +10.00
Clonmel 4 0 0% −4.00
Tipperary 4 0 0% −4.00
Cork 3 1 33.3% +18.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Listowel 3 0 0% −3.00
Punchestown 3 0 0% −3.00
Fairyhouse 2 0 0% −2.00
Down Royal 1 0 0% −1.00
Galway 1 0 0% −1.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 12 1 8.3% +9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 12 1 8.3% 0.67 −8.50
4th–6th fav 14 1 7.1% 1.16 +1.00
7th+ in betting 21 1 4.8% 2.24 +0.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.1% completed · 39 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 16 81.3% 1 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 23 82.6% 0 0 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Ministerforsport (IRE)from Terence O'Brien 22 2 7 6 Nov 21
Ava Rose (IRE) 10 1 3 18 Jun 21
Madam Belle (IRE) 8 0 1 19 May 22
Thatwasthen (IRE) 4 0 0 8 Oct 18
Feron Lake (IRE) 2 0 0 10 Oct 23
Madam Baun (IRE) 2 0 0 1 Oct 23
All 6 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 6 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000500000017017
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Phillip Enright 14 1 7.1% +1.00
Donal McInerney 10 2 20% +14.50
L P Dempsey 4 0 0% −4.00
Hugh Morgan 3 0 0% −3.00
Denis O'Regan 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr Derek O'Connor 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr Pat Taaffe 2 0 0% −2.00
Richard Deegan 2 0 0% −2.00
Sean O'Keeffe 2 0 0% −2.00
Danny Mullins 1 0 0% −1.00
Peter Carberry 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr E P O'Brien 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
3
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£75,749
Prize money
2020
Best season · 1 win
Ministerforsport (IRE) — Fbd Insurance Handicap Hurdle (0-145) (grade B) Cork · Apr 2018 · Grade B
£29,500
Ministerforsport (IRE) — Frontline Security Maiden Hurdle Limerick · Dec 2017
£8,316
Ava Rose (IRE) — Thurles Mares Maiden Hurdle Thurles · Oct 2020
£5,900
Notable horses
Ministerforsport (IRE) Ava Rose (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dubai Destination (USA) 9.1% · 2–22
Progeny have won 11% of 6,951 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.
Shirocco (GER) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,199 runs since 2010 (926 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,892 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,017 runs since 2016 (1,033 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 48 archived runs · newest first

Every one of Noel W O'Neill's 48 archived runners, from 28 December 2017 to 10 October 2023, newest first — 3 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Oct 23 Punchestown Feron Lake (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Pubs Of Kildare Irish EBF Mares Flat Race16.5f · Yielding · 17 ran 11th 33/1
01 Oct 23 Killarney Madam Baun (IRE)J: Peter Carberry Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 12th 250/1
18 Sep 23 Listowel Madam Baun (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 16 ran 13th 200/1
21 Jul 23 Killarney Feron Lake (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Christy Lucey Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 8th 9/1
19 May 22 Tipperary Madam Belle (IRE)J: Phillip Enright tipperaryraces.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good · 14 ran 4th 25/1
05 May 22 Tipperary Madam Belle (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Hotel Minella Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 10th 10/1
16 Apr 22 Fairyhouse Madam Belle (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien Jetaway.ie Irish EBF Mares Flat Race20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 4th 9/1
13 Mar 22 Limerick Madam Belle (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Adare (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 40/1
17 Feb 22 Clonmel Madam Belle (IRE)J: Mikey Hamill Surehaul Race Day Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Heavy · 17 ran 6th 125/1
16 Nov 21 Limerick Madam Belle (IRE)J: Emma Twomey Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 6th 5/1
06 Nov 21 Naas Madam Belle (IRE)J: Mr Pat Taaffe Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Mares (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 3rd 11/2
06 Nov 21 Naas Ministerforsport (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Betvictor Brown Lad Handicap Hurdle (grade B)20f · Yielding · 18 ran PU 33/1
18 Jun 21 Down Royal Ava Rose (IRE)J: Hugh Morgan Future Ticketing Mares Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 4th 8/1
06 Jun 21 Kilbeggan (IRE) Ava Rose (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Mares Hurdle18.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 12/1
30 May 21 Punchestown Madam Belle (IRE)J: Mr Pat Taaffe Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 4th 16/1
09 May 21 Killarney Ava Rose (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Kelly Farm Modernisation Ltd Handicap Hurdle (Grade B)17f · Yielding · 18 ran 12th 33/1
14 Mar 21 Naas Ministerforsport (IRE)J: Phillip Enright BAR ONE RACING Directors Plate Novice Chase (Grade 3)20.5f · Soft To Heavy · 4 ran 3rd 15/2
28 Feb 21 Naas Ministerforsport (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Paddy Power 'From The Horse's Mouth' Podcast Novice Handicap Chase (Grade B)20.5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 12/1
03 Jan 21 Fairyhouse Ministerforsport (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Cavalor Equine Nutrition Beginners Chase21f · Heavy · 9 ran 4th 13/2
20 Dec 20 Thurles Ava Rose (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Irish Stallion Farms EBF Boreen Belle Mares Novice Hurdle (Listed)16f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Noel W O'Neill's strike rate?
Noel W O'Neill has won 3 of 48 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Noel W O'Neill's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 48 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 10 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).