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Jockey profile

Mr Pat Taaffe

134 rides in the last 5 seasons · 102 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride May 2024
from 1 Jan 2022
9–134
Wins / Runs
6.7%
Strike rate
n=134
32 (24%)
Placed
0.81
Fair A/E
n=134 · 0.66 incl. margin
−69.65
£1 level stake
n=134 at SP · −52.0%
£163k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81).

Deterministic profile computed from 134 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming: 6.8%
The read

First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 3.2% (n=95, Fair A/E 0.49). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 6.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −58.15 to a £1 stake over 117 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The record reads poorly on Soft going — 2.6% over 76 rides, 4.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in NH Flat races: Fair A/E 0.73 across 79 rides (5.1% strike, −56.38 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Weatherbys General Stud Book Irish Ebf Mares Flat Race at Punchestown (Apr 2022, £23,600).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.2%−3.5
n=95 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −81.38
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
22.2%+15.5
n=9 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −2.17
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
13.8%+7.1
n=29 · A/E 1.68 · £1 +8.40
When favourite
42.9%
n=7 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −2.65
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.8%+0.1
n=117 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −58.15
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.7%−3.0
n=54 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −41.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
8.3%+1.6
n=12 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −6.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 2.6% vs 6.7% · n=76
On first rides for the horse 3.2% vs 6.7% · n=95
With horses switching code 2.6% vs 6.7% · n=38
With debutants 4.4% vs 6.7% · n=45
In NH Flat races 5.1% vs 6.7% · n=79 · A/E 0.73
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 79 4 5.1% −56.38
Flat 30 2 6.7% −20.10
Hurdle 13 2 15.4% −7.17
Chase 12 1 8.3% +14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 76 2 2.6% −46.50
Good to Soft 22 3 13.6% +4.00
Good 19 3 15.8% −11.77
Heavy 16 1 6.3% −14.38
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 27 2 7.4% +4.50
Naas 10 0 0% −10.00
Down Royal 9 1 11.1% −7.38
Fairyhouse 9 1 11.1% −7.60
Galway 9 1 11.1% −5.50
Thurles 8 0 0% −8.00
Kilbeggan 7 1 14.3% −5.67
Leopardstown 7 0 0% −7.00
Ballinrobe 6 1 16.7% +6.00
Clonmel 6 1 16.7% +2.50
Downpatrick 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 4 0 0% −4.00
Cork 4 1 25% +0.50
Limerick 3 0 0% −3.00
Tipperary 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 12 1 8.3% −6.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 3 42.9% 0.98 −2.65
2nd–3rd fav 25 4 16% 1.04 −3.00
4th–6th fav 46 0 0% 0.00 −46.00
7th+ in betting 56 2 3.6% 1.46 −18.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
72% completed · 25 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 12 58.3% 3 0 1 0 1
Hurdle 13 84.6% 0 0 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Fr Gilligansvoyge (GB) 4 1 1 3 May 24
Champagne Problem (IRE) 4 2 3 4 Nov 22
Fad Eadrainn (IRE) 3 0 2 19 Oct 23
Fermoyle (IRE) 3 0 0 18 Jul 23
Cuta Des As (FR) 3 1 3 26 Apr 23
Brianna Lily (IRE) 3 1 2 12 Mar 23
Housemartin (IRE) 3 0 1 3 Nov 22
Francis Marion (IRE) 3 0 0 29 Apr 22
Hansard (IRE) 3 1 1 8 Apr 22
Cullig (IRE) 2 0 0 28 Jan 24
Slieve Carran (IRE) 2 0 1 12 Dec 23
Howdoyalikeherhome (IRE) 2 0 0 28 Oct 23
The 60 most-raced of 102 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0071101491001500
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Noel Meade 20 3 15% −9.60
W P Mullins 17 3 17.6% −9.55
Patrick T Foley 14 1 7.1% −5.50
E J O'Grady 13 0 0% −13.00
Charles O'Brien 6 1 16.7% +6.00
Joseph G Murphy 5 0 0% −5.00
John G Carr 5 1 20% +21.00
Mrs Lorna Fowler 3 0 0% −3.00
John Patrick Ryan 3 0 0% −3.00
R K Watson 3 0 0% −3.00
Gordon Elliott 3 0 0% −3.00
Thomas Cooper 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→
20
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£288k
Prize money
2021
Best season · 8 wins
The Model Kingdom (IRE) — Weatherbys General Stud Book Irish Ebf Mares Flat Race (grade 3) Punchestown · Apr 2022 · Grade 3
£23,600
The Model Kingdom (IRE) — Coolmore N.H. Sires In Swoop Irish EBF Mares Flat Race (Listed) Navan · Nov 2021 · Listed
£19,175
Champagne Problem (IRE) — Tote Guarantee On Irish & UK Races Novice Hurdle Kilbeggan · Aug 2022
£9,440

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fame And Glory (GB) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,200 runs since 2008 (504 horses).
Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,915 runs since 2008 (685 horses).
Champs Elysees (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,115 runs since 2008 (520 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.
Shirocco (GER) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,154 runs since 2008 (920 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.
Yeats (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,804 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,267 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 235 · newest first

The latest 50 of 235 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 March 2018 to 4 May 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Apr 24 Punchestown W B Easy (IRE)T: A L T Moore Goffs Defender Bumper16.5f · Yielding · 25 ran 5th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr Pat Taaffe's strike rate?
Mr Pat Taaffe has won 9 of 134 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr Pat Taaffe's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 134 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).