Mr Pat Taaffe
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 30 times a season, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.81).
First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 3.2% (n=95, Fair A/E 0.49). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 6.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −58.15 to a £1 stake over 117 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The record reads poorly on Soft going — 2.6% over 76 rides, 4.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in NH Flat races: Fair A/E 0.73 across 79 rides (5.1% strike, −56.38 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Weatherbys General Stud Book Irish Ebf Mares Flat Race at Punchestown (Apr 2022, £23,600).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2018→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 235 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 235 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 March 2018 to 4 May 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mr Pat Taaffe's strike rate?
- Mr Pat Taaffe has won 9 of 134 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- What is Mr Pat Taaffe's Fair A/E?
- 0.81, from 134 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.