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Trainer profile

Harry Dunlop

89 runners in the last 5 seasons · 16 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2022 93% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
9–89
Wins / Runs
10.1%
Strike rate
n=89
29 (33%)
Placed
0.83
Fair A/E
n=89 · 0.73 incl. margin
+15.20
£1 level stake
n=89 at SP · +17.1%
£270k
Prize money (window)

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−10.1
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−10.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−10.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−10.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
14.3%
n=7 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −4.80
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−10.1
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
20%+9.9
n=5 · A/E 4.95 · £1 +36.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Standard (AW) going 0% vs 10.1% · n=36
Off a 15-30-day break 14% vs 10.1% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 83 9 10.8% +21.20
Hurdle 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 36 0 0% −36.00
Good to Firm 19 3 15.8% −5.00
Good 18 3 16.7% +22.00
Soft 6 1 16.7% +1.00
Good to Soft 5 1 20% +36.00
Firm 3 1 33.3% −0.80
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 15 0 0% −15.00
Lingfield (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Nottingham 7 2 28.6% +4.50
Newbury 7 0 0% −7.00
Bath 4 1 25% −1.80
Windsor 4 0 0% −4.00
Goodwood 4 1 25% +19.00
Doncaster 4 1 25% +37.00
Salisbury 3 1 33.3% +1.50
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Uttoxeter 2 0 0% −2.00
Chepstow 2 1 50% +3.00
Newmarket 1 0 0% −1.00
Ayr 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 46 4 8.7% −27.80
Class 4 16 1 6.3% −11.00
Class 6 14 0 0% −14.00
Class 1 5 1 20% +36.00
Class 3 5 1 20% +18.00
Class 2 3 2 66.7% +14.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 8 2 25% 0.90 −0.80
2nd–3rd fav 24 2 8.3% 0.43 −14.50
4th–6th fav 39 3 7.7% 0.86 −15.50
7th+ in betting 18 2 11.1% 4.53 +46.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sea Of Charm (FR)then Barry Brennan 11 0 6 27 Oct 22
Adaay In Asia (GB) 10 4 4 7 Sep 22
Point Louise (GB)then Michael & David Easterby 9 0 4 10 Oct 22
Polly Pott (GB)then Ben Pauling 7 4 4 7 Oct 22
Entrancement (FR)then David Menuisier 6 1 2 12 Oct 22
Solar Prophet (GB)then George Boughey 6 0 0 11 Oct 22
Branson Missouri (IRE)from Colin Bowe · then Shaun Lycett 6 0 2 15 Jun 22
Maketh Believeth (IRE)then Amy Murphy 5 0 1 14 Oct 22
Magnificent Millie (GB) 5 0 0 17 Sep 22
Sky Blue Thinking (GB)from Adam West 5 0 0 7 Jul 22
Escape Free (IRE) 4 0 1 18 Oct 22
Bingley Crocker (IRE)then Ben Pauling 4 0 2 19 Aug 22
All 16 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 16 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Ben Pauling (2) and George Boughey (2); 4 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0000003033810··
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
George Rooke 13 0 0% −13.00
David Probert 8 2 25% −1.30
Dylan Hogan 8 3 37.5% +32.00
Christian Howarth 6 0 0% −6.00
Luke Morris 5 0 0% −5.00
Rob Hornby 5 2 40% +6.50
Sam Twiston-Davies 5 0 0% −5.00
Saffie Osborne 4 0 0% −4.00
Hector Crouch 4 0 0% −4.00
Charles Bishop 4 0 0% −4.00
Neil Callan 2 1 50% +3.00
Jason Watson 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
192
Archived wins
13
Pattern / graded wins
£2.64m
Prize money
2016
Best season · 19 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Knight To Behold (IRE) — Prix Guillaume d'Ornano Haras du Logis Saint-Germain (3yo) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2018 · Group 2
£201,770
Robin Of Navan (FR) — Criterium de Saint-Cloud (2yo Colts & Fillies) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Nov 2015 · Group 1
£110,736
Fighting Irish (IRE) — Criterium de Maisons-Laffitte (2yo) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · Oct 2017 · Group 2
£92,564
Notable horses
Adaay In Asia (GB) Viking Storm (GB) Early Morning (IRE) Rum Swizzle (GB) Saint Helena (IRE) Robin Of Navan (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Charm Spirit (IRE) 0% · 0–14
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,801 runs since 2008 (338 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.8% from 133. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 445.
Free Eagle (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,396 runs since 2008 (189 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.2% from 129.
Adaay (IRE) 40% · 4–10
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,954 runs since 2008 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 497.
Make Believe (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,589 runs since 2008 (296 horses).
Muhaarar (GB) 57.1% · 4–7
Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,770 runs since 2008 (410 horses).
Expert Eye (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 10% of 2,181 runs since 2008 (196 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13% from 400.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,568 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,568 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 November 2006 to 27 October 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
27 Oct 22 Lingfield (AW) Sea Of Charm (FR)J: Rob Hornby talkSPORT EBF River Eden Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed)Class 1 · 13f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 200/1
22 Oct 22 Newbury Charming Lily (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Conundrum Consulting EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Str)Class 4 · 8f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 22/1
18 Oct 22 Kempton (AW) Escape Free (IRE)J: David Probert Try Our New Price Boosts At Unibet Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 5th 10/3F
14 Oct 22 Haydock Maketh Believeth (IRE)J: George Rooke Get Daily Tips At racingtv.com HandicapClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 15/2
12 Oct 22 Nottingham Entrancement (FR)J: Rob Hornby Join Racing TV Now NurseryClass 5 · 8.5f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 6/1
11 Oct 22 Leicester Solar Prophet (GB)J: Rob Hornby Bet At racingtv.com Selling StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 11/4
11 Oct 22 Leicester Sea Of Charm (FR)J: Rose Dawes Visit racingtv.com Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 13/2
10 Oct 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Point Louise (GB)J: Christian Howarth At The Races App Expert Tips HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 10/3
07 Oct 22 Newmarket Polly Pott (GB)J: David Probert bet365 Fillies' Mile (Group 1)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 8 ran 4th 14/1
05 Oct 22 Nottingham Solar Prophet (GB)J: Neil Callan Watch On Racing TV Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 8.5f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 33/1
29 Sep 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Sea Of Charm (FR)J: Dylan Hogan At The Races App Expert Tips Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 9/2
29 Sep 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Entrancement (FR)J: Luke Morris Download The At The Races App NurseryClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 10/1
29 Sep 22 Lingfield (AW) Escape Free (IRE)J: Hector Crouch Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 8/1
28 Sep 22 Kempton (AW) Charming Lily (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 3rd 18/1
17 Sep 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Magnificent Millie (GB)J: Luke Morris At The Races App Market Movers Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 17/2
13 Sep 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Point Louise (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 5/1
08 Sep 22 Doncaster Polly Pott (GB)J: Daniel Tudhope Cazoo May Hill Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) (Str)Class 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 40/1
07 Sep 22 Kempton (AW) Escape Free (IRE)J: David Probert Unibet Support Safe Gambling Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 5 ran 4th 18/1
07 Sep 22 Kempton (AW) Entrancement (FR)J: David Probert Unibet Horserace Betting Operator Of The Year NurseryClass 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 3rd 12/1
07 Sep 22 Doncaster Adaay In Asia (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 7th 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Harry Dunlop's strike rate?
Harry Dunlop has won 9 of 89 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Harry Dunlop's Fair A/E?
0.83, from 89 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).