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Trainer profile

Patrick Allen

130 runners in the lifetime window · 30 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2013
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
2–130
Wins / Runs
1.5%
Strike rate
n=130
7 (5%)
Placed
0.37
Fair A/E
n=130 · 0.27 incl. margin
−110.00
£1 level stake
n=130 at SP · −84.6%
£16,979
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.37).

Deterministic profile computed from 130 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 2.7%
The read

The yard also read well on Standard (AW) going (5.9%, n=34). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.65 across 66 runners (3% strike, −46.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 1.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.7%+1.2
n=37 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −30.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
5%+3.5
n=20 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −13.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−1.5
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−1.5
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
9.1%+7.6
n=11 · A/E 2.10 · £1 +2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.1%−0.4
n=88 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −81.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 1.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Standard (AW) going 5.9% vs 1.5% · n=34
In Flat races 3% vs 1.5% · n=66 · A/E 0.65
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 66 2 3% −46.00
Hurdle 49 0 0% −49.00
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 38 0 0% −38.00
Standard (AW) 34 2 5.9% −14.00
Good 19 0 0% −19.00
Good to Firm 18 0 0% −18.00
Heavy 8 0 0% −8.00
Good to Soft 7 0 0% −7.00
Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 23 2 8.7% −3.00
Down Royal 12 0 0% −12.00
Fairyhouse 10 0 0% −10.00
Downpatrick 9 0 0% −9.00
Navan 8 0 0% −8.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00
Sligo 6 0 0% −6.00
Bellewstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Galway 4 0 0% −4.00
Laytown (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00
Tramore 3 0 0% −3.00
Ballinrobe 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 7 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 5 1 20% 1.83 +2.00
4th–6th fav 26 0 0% 0.00 −26.00
7th+ in betting 99 1 1% 0.32 −86.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Swift Sailing (USA)from Eoin Griffin 25 0 1 20 Jul 10
View From The Top (GB)from Sir Mark Prescott Bt · then Patrick Martin 17 1 1 5 Sep 09
Not For Changing (IRE)then Gordon Elliott 8 0 1 9 Jan 13
Craig Lea (GB)from Howard Johnson 7 0 1 21 Dec 12
Newport Boy (IRE)from Ronald Harris · then Paul Stafford 7 0 0 25 Aug 08
Tims Hill (IRE) 5 0 0 9 Oct 08
Brocatello (IRE)from R J Osborne 5 0 0 22 Aug 08
Williamtown Lad (IRE)from Paul A Roche · then Jim Boyle 5 0 0 19 Apr 08
Luzhniki (IRE) 4 0 0 9 Nov 12
Shanghai Star (IRE)from Irene J Monaghan 4 0 0 19 Jul 10
Iklwa (IRE)from James M Barrett 4 0 0 1 Sep 09
Harry Days (IRE)from P J Lally 3 1 1 16 Jul 12
All 30 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 30 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from P J Lally (2); 9 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Gordon Elliott (2); 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000000250
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Ian McCarthy 14 0 0% −14.00
Robbie Egan 14 0 0% −14.00
S M McGovern 10 0 0% −10.00
Andrew P Thornton 9 0 0% −9.00
D J Moran 6 0 0% −6.00
Keith Donoghue 5 0 0% −5.00
Josh Byrne 4 0 0% −4.00
Emmet McNamara 4 0 0% −4.00
Declan Queally 4 0 0% −4.00
Stephen Gray 4 0 0% −4.00
Martin Harley 3 1 33.3% +4.00
Colm O'Donoghue 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
3
Archived wins
£39,955
Prize money
2010
Best season · 1 win
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Swift Sailing (USA) — Property Partners Fogarty Heterich Handicap (50-70) Tramore · Aug 2007
£7,601
View From The Top (GB) — O'Cofaigh Construction Handicap (45-60) Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2008
£6,219
Harry Days (IRE) — www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65) (Div 2) Dundalk (AW) · Nov 2010
£3,360
Notable horses
Swift Sailing (USA) View From The Top (GB) Harry Days (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Storm Cat (USA) 0% · 0–25
Progeny have won 11.9% of 511 runs since 2008 (72 horses).
Mujahid (USA) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,375 runs since 2008 (131 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 333.
Overbury (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Montjeu (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.
Where Or When (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.2% of 1,578 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.1% from 217. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 4.6% from 151.
Anshan (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 234 · newest first

The latest 50 of 234 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 June 2005 to 9 January 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
09 Jan 13 Fairyhouse Not For Changing (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Follow Fairyhouse On Twitter Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Heavy · 15 ran 6th 12/1
21 Dec 12 Dundalk (AW) Craig Lea (GB)J: Ian Brennan Happy Christmas To All Our Patrons Maiden (Div 2)8f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 40/1
08 Dec 12 Navan Not For Changing (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue Irish Stallion Owners E.B.F. Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 16 ran 7th 50/1
25 Nov 12 Navan Not For Changing (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue I.N.H. Stallion Owners E.B.F. Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 15 ran 7th 50/1
09 Nov 12 Dundalk (AW) Luzhniki (IRE)J: Colm O'Donoghue Crowne Plaza Hotel Race & Stay Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)6f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 33/1
29 Sep 12 Navan Not For Changing (IRE)J: Stephen Gray Navan Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 23 ran 19th 33/1
19 Sep 12 Listowel Not For Changing (IRE)J: Declan Queally McElligotts Tralee Ltd. Mercedes Benz, Flat Race20f · Heavy · 12 ran 7th 25/1
13 Sep 12 Laytown (AW) Truxton King (IRE)J: Mr Derek O'Connor Thetote.com New Website (Q.R.) Handicap (50-80)7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 25/1
13 Sep 12 Laytown (AW) Luzhniki (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Neptune Claiming Race7f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 33/1
04 Sep 12 Downpatrick Not For Changing (IRE)J: Miss K Harrington Supporting Marie Curie Cancer Care Ladies Flat Race18.5f · Good · 15 ran 8th 8/1
31 Aug 12 Down Royal Craig Lea (GB)J: Andrew P Thornton Procter & Gamble Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Soft · 20 ran 13th 25/1
24 Aug 12 Kilbeggan Not For Changing (IRE)J: Declan Queally Tom Birmingham Menswear Flat Race19f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 11/1
16 Jul 12 Dundalk (AW) Harry Days (IRE)J: Shane Gray Follow Dundalk On Facebook Handicap (47-65)7f · Standard · 14 ran UR 20/1
07 Jul 12 Bellewstown Not For Changing (IRE)J: Declan Queally Mcloughlin Oil Flat Race17f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 16/1
07 Jul 12 Bellewstown Truxton King (IRE)J: Keith Donoghue O'neills Sports Club Challenge Handicap Hurdle (80-109)17f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 25/1
05 Jul 12 Leopardstown Craig Lea (GB)J: Declan Queally Leopardstown Club Membership (Q.R.) Maiden14f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 50/1
10 Jan 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Crafty George (IRE)J: Ross Coakley Sponsor A Race By Calling 01902 390000 HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 10th 11/1
10 Dec 10 Dundalk (AW) Harry Days (IRE)J: Martin Harley Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)8f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 7/1
08 Dec 10 Dundalk (AW) Mac Tiernan (IRE)J: Martin Harley Bookings at dundalkstadium.com Rated Race8f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 7/1
26 Nov 10 Dundalk (AW) Harry Days (IRE)J: Martin Harley www.dundalkstadium.com Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)8f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Allen's strike rate?
Patrick Allen has won 2 of 130 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 1.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Patrick Allen's Fair A/E?
0.37, from 130 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).