What is Johnny Murtagh's strike rate?

Johnny Murtagh has won 536 of 2,665 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 20.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Johnny Murtagh do best at?

Tipperary by strike rate: 30 wins from 108 rides (27.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Johnny Murtagh ride most for?

A P O'Brien, with 686 rides since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 191 (27.8%).

What is Johnny Murtagh's Fair A/E?

1.15, from 2,662 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Johnny Murtagh

2,665 rides in the lifetime window · 1,290 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2015 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

536–2,665

Wins / Runs

20.1%

Strike rate

n=2,665

1,221 (46%)

Placed

1.15

Fair A/E

n=2,662 · 0.91 incl. margin

−236.72

£1 level stake

n=2,664 at SP · −8.9%

£28.5m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 330 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 20% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 27% (476 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,665 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jul–Aug 36.1% when favourite A P O'Brien: 27.8% from 686 LTO winners: 26.9% Group/Graded: 22.1% Rode the favourite in 28% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newmarket (10.4% over 115 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 26.9% (n=476, Fair A/E 1.27), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 16.4% (n=1,096, Fair A/E 1.24). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 22.1% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.22 and +26.46 to a £1 stake over 802 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. A P O'Brien supplied 26% of the rides and beats the rider's average (27.8% vs 20.1%, A/E 1.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 225 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby at Curragh (Jun 2009, £843,000). The standout partner of the record was Fame And Glory (GB) — 7 wins from 12 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 20.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

17.8%−2.3

n=1,210 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −141.26

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

26.9%+6.8

n=476 · A/E 1.27 · £1 +34.65

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

19.8%−0.3

n=484 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −1.03

When favourite

36.1%

n=750 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −50.11

Big fields · 14+ runners

16.4%−3.7

n=1,096 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −107.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

22.1%+2.0

n=802 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +26.46

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 20.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With A J Martin 3.3% vs 20.1% · n=30

With A P O'Brien 27.8% vs 20.1% · n=686

With headgear back on 7.7% vs 20.1% · n=52

At Newmarket 10.4% vs 20.1% · n=115

With new recruits 8.5% vs 20.1% · n=47

On last-time-out winners 26.9% vs 20.1% · n=476

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 572 133 23.3% +71.77

Good 569 100 17.6% −92.06

Soft 536 105 19.6% −63.14

Standard (AW) 514 94 18.3% −136.73

Good to Soft 236 49 20.8% −15.40

Heavy 206 46 22.3% +2.68

Firm 32 9 28.1% −3.84

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk 510 92 18% −136.19

Curragh 489 100 20.4% −62.20

Leopardstown 325 72 22.2% −8.83

Ascot 152 29 19.1% +23.70

Naas 142 34 23.9% +20.88

Newmarket 115 12 10.4% −40.64

Tipperary 108 30 27.8% −6.38

Navan 100 23 23% −10.91

Fairyhouse 68 14 20.6% +0.90

Gowran Park 56 9 16.1% −31.99

Cork 54 10 18.5% −2.17

York 49 5 10.2% −15.75

Doncaster 45 10 22.2% +7.03

Longchamp (FR) 44 4 9.1% −17.70

Galway 40 11 27.5% +4.70

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 802 177 22.1% +26.46

Class 2 136 17 12.5% +11.48

Class 4 39 7 17.9% −4.47

Class 3 21 2 9.5% −16.30

Class 5 9 1 11.1% −7.64

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 849 295 34.7% 1.16 −42.11

2nd–3rd fav 998 166 16.6% 1.09 −169.11

4th–6th fav 581 60 10.3% 1.25 −30.50

7th+ in betting 236 15 6.4% 1.44 +5.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Iron Major (IRE) 14 4 9 27 Nov 13

Fame And Glory (GB) 12 7 9 3 Oct 10

Bewitched (IRE) 11 6 8 2 Oct 11

Rip Van Winkle (IRE) 11 5 7 25 Sep 10

Snaefell (IRE) 10 2 4 25 Sep 11

Finicius (USA) 10 2 3 28 Apr 11

Royal Diamond (IRE) 9 4 6 19 Oct 13

Balmont Mast (IRE) 9 4 6 19 Oct 13

Sole Power (GB) 9 3 5 6 Oct 13

Lillie Langtry (IRE) 9 5 6 4 Sep 10

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 9 7 7 2 Oct 09

Georgebernardshaw (IRE) 9 2 5 3 Aug 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,290 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

22718182220252415181911

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardA P O'Brien

26% of all rides
27.8% SR · A/E 1.14

TrainerRWSR£1

A P O'Brien 686 191 27.8% −88.73

John M Oxx 276 59 21.4% −69.03

G M Lyons 246 51 20.7% −9.36

M Halford 175 28 16% −49.45

David Wachman 137 26 19% −33.59

Edward Lynam 128 23 18% −19.89

William Haggas 67 13 19.4% +22.30

J P Murtagh 55 10 18.2% +38.42

Thomas Carmody 49 6 12.2% −1.75

Charles O'Brien 43 9 20.9% +9.31

Jeremy Noseda 39 10 25.6% +12.72

Eoin Griffin 36 4 11.1% −14.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

760

Archived wins

225

Pattern / graded wins

£39.1m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 112 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Fame And Glory (GB) — Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (group 1) Curragh · Jun 2009 · Group 1

£843,000

Cape Blanco (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (group 1) Curragh · Jun 2010 · Group 1

£725,000

Motivator (GB) — Vodafone Derby Stakes (Group 1) Epsom Downs · Jun 2005 · Group 1

£725,000

Notable horses

Fame And Glory (GB) Mastercraftsman (IRE) Bewitched (IRE) Rip Van Winkle (IRE) Lillie Langtry (IRE) Duke Of Marmalade (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Danehill Dancer (IRE) 23.5% · 56–238

Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.

Galileo (IRE) 28.7% · 48–167

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,195 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 889.

Montjeu (IRE) 31.1% · 38–122

Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.

Sadler's Wells (USA) 22.2% · 26–117

Progeny have won 11.3% of 4,636 runs since 2008 (370 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.7% from 107.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 25.6% · 20–78

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,840 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Dansili (GB) 26.7% · 16–60

Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,307 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,307 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 March 2005 to 9 September 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Sep 15 Doncaster Commissar (GB)T: Ian Williams Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 16 ran 11th 5/1

11 Dec 13 Dundalk (AW) Lean And Keen (IRE)T: Sean Byrne Dundalk Stadium - Light Up Your Night Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 2/1C

11 Dec 13 Dundalk (AW) Majestic Timeline (IRE)T: Adrian Brendan Joyce Christmas Party Packages At Dundalk Stadium Handicap5f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 11/4

27 Nov 13 Dundalk Carried (IRE)T: Mrs Prunella Dobbs Fund Raising Made Easy At Dundalk Handicap (50-75)Class 5 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 3/1

27 Nov 13 Dundalk Iron Major (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Rated Race8f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 5/2

27 Nov 13 Dundalk Majestic Timeline (IRE)T: Adrian Brendan Joyce DKIT Students Union Race Night Handicap5f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 7/4F

03 Nov 13 Leopardstown Sir Ector (USA)T: J J Lambe Movember Handicap (Premier Handicap)14f · Soft · 18 ran 1st 14/1

03 Nov 13 Leopardstown Red Dubawi (IRE)T: David Marnane Knockaire Stakes (listed)7f · Soft · 16 ran 10th 8/1

03 Nov 13 Leopardstown Yulong Xiangying (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. (c & G) Maiden7f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 16/1

01 Nov 13 Dundalk (AW) Maontri (IRE)T: M J Tynan Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Handicap (47-65) Div 18f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 8/1

01 Nov 13 Dundalk (AW) Pearl Of Africa (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Cooley Fillies Stakes (Listed)8f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 3/1

01 Nov 13 Dundalk (AW) Yulong Baoju (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Dundalk Stadium - Light Up Your Night Handicap6f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 4/1

26 Oct 13 Doncaster Altruistic (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Racing Post Trophy (Group 1) (Str)Class 1 · 8f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 14/1

26 Oct 13 Doncaster Take Cover (GB)T: David C Griffiths Bet Through The Racing Post Mobile App HandicapClass 2 · 5f · Soft · 19 ran 15th 9/2F

26 Oct 13 Doncaster Highland Castle (GB)T: David Elsworth Download The Racing Post Mobile App HandicapClass 2 · 12f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 16/1

25 Oct 13 Dundalk (AW) Yulong Baoju (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Mercury Stakes (Listed)5f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 9/2

25 Oct 13 Dundalk (AW) Captain Cullen (IRE)T: Gerard Keane Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Handicap (70-100)7f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 7/1

23 Oct 13 Navan Zip Wire (IRE)T: Edward Lynam Tote Mobile Betting Handicap13f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 11/4F

19 Oct 13 Ascot Gordon Lord Byron (IRE)T: T Hogan Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco) (British Champions Mile) (Group 1) (Str)Class 1 · 8f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 8/1

19 Oct 13 Ascot Belle de Crecy (IRE)T: J P Murtagh Qipco British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 12f · Soft · 8 ran 2nd 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Johnny Murtagh's strike rate?: Johnny Murtagh has won 536 of 2,665 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 20.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Johnny Murtagh do best at?: Tipperary by strike rate: 30 wins from 108 rides (27.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Johnny Murtagh ride most for?: A P O'Brien, with 686 rides since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 191 (27.8%).
What is Johnny Murtagh's Fair A/E?: 1.15, from 2,662 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.