P Journiac
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.79).
It is weakest at Compiegne (FR) (3.2% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.8% (n=53, Fair A/E 0.62). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 10.3% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.34 and +31.60 to a £1 stake over 117 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet debutants: 10.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.32 and −28.74 to a £1 stake over 106 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Olivier Jouin rides 19% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (4.8% vs 9.8%, A/E 0.57). The yard also reads well in Flat races (22.2%, n=36). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 4.7% over 106 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 340 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 340 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 April 2005 to 5 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is P Journiac's strike rate?
- P Journiac has won 33 of 337 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.8% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does P Journiac do best at?
- Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 12 wins from 176 runners (6.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for P Journiac?
- Olivier Jouin, with 63 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (4.8%).
- Is P Journiac in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is P Journiac's Fair A/E?
- 0.79, from 292 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.