No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
15–126
Wins / Runs
11.9%
Strike rate
n=126
20 (16%)
Placed
0.21
Fair A/E
n=91 · 0.84 incl. margin
−55.00
£1 level stake
n=103 at SP · −53.4%
£245k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.7%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 12% of them. The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 16% off breaks of two months or more (56 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 126 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 16.1%
The read
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 16.1% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.52), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 3.2% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.53). The yard also read well in Chase races (20%, n=30) and off a break of 180+ days (18.4%, n=38). The record read poorly on Standard (AW) going — 0% over 31 runners, 11.9pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 11.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
16.1%+4.2
n=56 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −18.70
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.7%−4.2
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Debutants · first career start
6.3%−5.6
n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.30
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−11.9
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−11.9
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
16.7%
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.20
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.2%−8.7
n=31 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −26.70
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−11.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On Standard (AW) going0% vs 11.9% · n=31
With claiming riders up3.2% vs 11.9% · n=31
In Chase races20% vs 11.9% · n=30
Off a break of 180+ days18.4% vs 11.9% · n=38
With debutants6.3% vs 11.9% · n=32
Over 2m1f – 2m4f15.2% vs 11.9% · n=46
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat75810.7%−47.00
Chase30620%+4.30
Hurdle2114.8%−12.30
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft48714.6%−4.00
Standard (AW)3100%−30.00
Good17317.6%−7.00
Heavy16212.5%−5.00
Good to Soft13323.1%−9.00
Good to Firm100%—
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR)24312.5%−16.70
Deauville (FR)2200%−21.00
Enghien (FR)1700%−17.00
Chantilly (FR)1516.7%−11.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR)12325%−5.00
Longchamp (FR)10220%−6.00
Saint-Cloud (FR)900%−9.00
Argentan2150%−1.00
Nantes2150%+6.20
Chateaubriant2150%+9.00
Pornichet-La Baule200%−2.00
Strasbourg2150%+5.70
Fontainebleau11100%+16.00
Moulins11100%+0.80
Saint-Malo100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 1200%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite6116.7%0.00−4.20
2nd–3rd fav15426.7%0.92+20.20
4th–6th fav1915.3%0.00−8.00
7th+ in betting6300%0.00−63.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f46715.2%−0.20
1m2f – 1m4f4149.8%−31.00
1m – 1m1f1800%−17.00
1m5f – 2m13323.1%−8.00
2m5f – 3m5120%+3.20
6f – 7f300%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200810440%—
20099444.4%—
20102414.2%−15.30
20111300%−13.00
20121516.7%−6.80
20132428.3%−21.20
201418211.1%−3.70
20151317.7%+5.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps5647.1%−41.30
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners3600%−35.00
2-4 runners311341.9%+31.70
17+ runners2613.8%−24.00
11-13 runners2000%−20.00
8-10 runners10110%−6.70
5-7 runners300%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 50 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 50 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Robert Collet (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.
11 have since run for another yard, most often for N Paysan (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0083302917072200
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Coralhasi (FR) — Prix Francoise de Ganay (Handicap Hurdle) Auteuil (FR) · Dec 2007
£24,324
Quentin Des Pres (FR) — Prix Mitsouko III (Chase) (Non-Thoroughbreds) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2009
£23,301
Coralhasi (FR) — Prix Maurice de Nexon (Chase) Auteuil (FR) · Jun 2008
Progeny have won 13.3% of 4,006 runs since 2008 (425 horses).
Kouroun (FR)0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 6.8% of 323 runs since 2008 (49 horses).
Valanour (IRE)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9% of 210 runs since 2008 (32 horses).
Gold Away (IRE)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,477 runs since 2008 (206 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.6% from 328. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.3% from 177.
Zamindar (USA)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,521 runs since 2008 (359 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.7% from 164.
Equerry (USA)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7.9% of 366 runs since 2008 (56 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.3% from 120.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 145 · newest first
The latest 50 of 145 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 April 2005 to 7 June 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is P Lefevre's strike rate?
P Lefevre has won 15 of 126 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 11.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is P Lefevre's Fair A/E?
0.21, from 91 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
P Lefevre·SR 11.9%·A/E 0.21
KTB
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