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Trainer profile

P Vovcenko

136 runners in the lifetime window · 52 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 29 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
8–136
Wins / Runs
5.9%
Strike rate
n=136
15 (11%)
Placed
0.62
Fair A/E
n=121 · 0.62 incl. margin
−46.20
£1 level stake
n=123 at SP · −37.6%
£482k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.62). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 8% off breaks of two months or more (51 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 136 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.8%
The read

It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (2.8% over 36 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Debutants struggle at 2.6% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also reads well off a break of 180+ days (9.7%, n=31). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 0% over 35 runners, 5.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 1: Fair A/E 0.00 across 50 runners (4% strike, −40.40 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Lord Seymour at Longchamp (FR) (Apr 2008, £19,118).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.8%+1.9
n=51 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −8.40
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.1%+3.2
n=11 · A/E 2.31 · £1 +21.00
Debutants · first career start
2.6%−3.3
n=38 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −35.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10%+4.1
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 +3.60
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−5.9
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
4%−1.9
n=50 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −40.40

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 0% vs 5.9% · n=35
Off a break of 180+ days 9.7% vs 5.9% · n=31
With debutants 2.6% vs 5.9% · n=38
On Standard (AW) going 2.7% vs 5.9% · n=37
At Deauville (FR) 2.8% vs 5.9% · n=36
In Class 1 4% vs 5.9% · n=50 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 120 8 6.7% −30.20
Hurdle 15 0 0% −15.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 37 1 2.7% −29.70
Soft 35 0 0% −34.00
Good 28 4 14.3% −1.30
Good to Soft 20 1 5% −6.80
Heavy 15 2 13.3% +25.60
Good to Firm 1 0 0% —

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 36 1 2.8% −22.80
Chantilly (FR) 23 2 8.7% −14.70
Longchamp (FR) 21 2 9.5% −12.40
Saint-Cloud (FR) 14 0 0% −10.00
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 11 3 27.3% +41.70
Auteuil (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00
Clairefontaine (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer 4 0 0% −3.00
Dieppe (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Strasbourg 3 0 0% −3.00
Marseille Borely 2 0 0% −1.00
Curragh 2 0 0% −2.00
Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Nancy 1 0 0% —
Angers (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 50 2 4% −40.40

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 1 25% 0.00 +3.60
2nd–3rd fav 5 1 20% 1.65 +1.30
4th–6th fav 34 1 2.9% 0.45 −21.80
7th+ in betting 80 2 2.5% 0.84 −29.30
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Schang (GER) 13 0 0 12 Oct 21
Naruto (GER) 10 0 0 26 Sep 26
Waldadler (GER) 6 0 0 3 Oct 26
Lubiane (GER) 6 0 2 9 Nov 22
Yori (IRE) 6 1 1 21 Sep 18
Wurfgeist (GER)from Waldemar Hickst 5 1 1 11 Mar 25
Pangania (GER) 5 0 1 24 Apr 19
Fenella Rose (GB)from Stuart Williams 5 0 0 22 Dec 10
Mansour (GER)from T Potters 4 0 0 9 Jun 24
Mighty Mouse (GER) 4 0 1 2 Sep 12
Clever Man (GB)from Mick Channon 4 0 0 11 Aug 12
Indomito (GER)then A Wohler 4 0 0 8 Aug 10
All 52 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 52 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 41 had their first archived run for this yard.

8 have since run for another yard, most often for C Ferland (2); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
140090141157080
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Anthony Crastus 15 1 6.7% −2.80
Delphine Santiago 10 0 0% −6.00
Kevin Nabet 8 0 0% −8.00
Mlle Marie Velon 8 0 0% −8.00
Christophe Soumillon 7 1 14.3% +1.60
Hugo Boutin 7 1 14.3% −0.70
Ioritz Mendizabal 6 0 0% −6.00
Hugo Besnier 6 0 0% −6.00
Filip Minarik 5 1 20% −4.00
Davy Bonilla 5 1 20% +24.00
Thierry Thulliez 4 1 25% −2.00
Maxime Guyon 4 1 25% +17.70
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
10
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£496k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
It's Gino (GER) — Prix Lord Seymour () Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2008 · Listed
£19,118
Limatus (GER) — Prix La Moskowa () Chantilly (FR) · Jul 2008 · Listed
£19,118
Yori (IRE) — Prix de Pretreville (Maiden) (2yo Fillies) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2017
£11,538
Notable horses
Kasus (GER) It's Gino (GER) Yori (IRE) Wurfgeist (GER) Limatus (GER) Thorview (GER)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Contat (GER) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 0% of 13 runs since 2016 (1 horse). A small sample.
Counterattack (AUS) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 4.4% of 113 runs since 2022 (23 horses).
Adlerflug (GER) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 14.4% of 584 runs since 2013 (108 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 18.6% from 172. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.7% from 103.
Tai Chi (GER) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 7.5% of 134 runs since 2016 (36 horses).
Areion (GER) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10.6% of 1,315 runs since 2008 (177 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.6% from 144.
Authorized (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,030 runs since 2011 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,044. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 141 · newest first

The latest 50 of 141 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 25 June 2005 to 3 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Waldadler (GER)J: Cristian Demuro Qatar Prix du Cadran (Group 1)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 8th 125/1
26 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Naruto (GER)J: Kevin Nabet Prix GrandlieuClass 1 · 19.5f · Very Soft · 16 ran PU 11/1
17 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Naruto (GER)J: Kevin Nabet Prix Des Enfoires (Gde Course De Haies - Prix Guillaume D'ornano)18f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 10/1
17 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Naruto (GER)J: Kevin Nabet Prix Des Enfoires (Gde Course De Haies - Prix Guillaume D'ornano)18f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 10/1
14 Jul 26 Longchamp (FR) Waldadler (GER)J: Cristian Demuro Radio FG - Prix Maurice de Nieuil (Group 2)14f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 33/1
10 Jul 26 Dieppe (FR) Naruto (GER)J: Kevin Nabet Grande Course De Haies De Dieppe Handicap Hurdle19f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 14/1
10 Jul 26 Dieppe (FR) NarutoJ: Kevin Nabet Grande Course De Haies De Dieppe Handicap Hurdle19f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 14/1
17 May 26 Auteuil (FR) Naruto (GER)J: Kevin Nabet Geny.com (Prix Wild Risk) (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 18 ran PU 41/5
25 Apr 26 Auteuil (FR) Naruto (GER)J: Theo Chevillard Grande Course de Haies de Printemps (Hurdle) Handicap) (Turf)21.5f · Very Soft · 15 ran 4th 50/1
08 Jan 26 Deauville (FR) Prairie Mouse (GER)J: Anthony Crastus Prix de Douville (Claimer) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 31/1
08 Jan 26 Deauville (FR) Azamastam (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix du Val-de-Reuil (Conditions) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 36/1
27 Sep 25 Auteuil (FR) Naruto (GER)J: Kevin Nabet Prix Grandlieu (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (6yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 10th 11/1
14 Sep 25 Curragh Waldadler (GER)J: David Liska Comer Group International Irish St. Leger (Group 1)14f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 4th 100/1
09 Sep 25 Auteuil (FR) Naruto (GER)J: Kevin Nabet Prix Jean Bart (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 16 ran 5th 9/1
13 Jul 25 Longchamp (FR) Waldadler (GER)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Radio FG - Prix Maurice de Nieuil (4yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf)14f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 33/1
19 Jun 25 Dieppe (FR) Naruto (GER)J: Theo Chevillard Prix d'Acheres (Hurdle) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Soft · 16 ran 5th 13/1
08 May 25 Auteuil (FR) Naruto (GER)J: Hakim Tabet Prix Arthur Veil-Picard (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran PU 28/1
11 Mar 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Wurfgeist (GER)J: Hugo Boutin Prix Lavarede (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf)14f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 14/1
23 Feb 25 Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) Azamastam (FR)J: Anthony Crastus Prix des Mimosas (Handicap) (4yo+) (Polytrack)10f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 10/1
16 Feb 25 Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) Millionaire (GER)J: Maxime Guyon Prix des Lavandes (Claimer) (4yo+) (Polytrack)12f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 30/100F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P Vovcenko's strike rate?
P Vovcenko has won 8 of 136 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.9% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P Vovcenko do best at?
Deauville (FR) by strike rate: 1 wins from 36 runners (2.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is P Vovcenko's Fair A/E?
0.62, from 121 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).