Brendan Maurice Walsh
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 80 runners a season, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.91).
The record is strongest at Thurles (9.1%, n=33), clear of the yard's 4.3% baseline. It is weakest at Clonmel (0% over 50 runners) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 2.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.67 and −92.00 to a £1 stake over 117 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Darragh O'Keeffe rides 19% of the entries and beats the yard's average (9.5% vs 4.3%, A/E 1.31) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Chase races (8%, n=87) and on Good to Soft going (7.7%, n=65). The stable star of the record: Rochestown (IRE) — 5 wins from 17 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 399 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 399 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 29 November 2022 to 5 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Brendan Maurice Walsh's strike rate?
- Brendan Maurice Walsh has won 17 of 399 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.3% (as at 7 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Brendan Maurice Walsh do best at?
- Thurles by strike rate: 3 wins from 33 runners (9.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Brendan Maurice Walsh?
- Darragh O'Keeffe, with 74 runners since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (9.5%).
- Is Brendan Maurice Walsh in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Brendan Maurice Walsh's Fair A/E?
- 0.91, from 399 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.