Patrick Cronin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84).
The record is strongest at Killarney (9.7%, n=31), clear of the yard's 4.9% baseline. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −167.87 to a £1 stake over 287 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Pierce Gallagher rides 42% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.8%, A/E 1.00) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (10%, n=40) and on Good going (8.2%, n=134). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 0% over 81 runners, 4.9pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2008→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 327 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 327 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 December 2008 to 10 July 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Patrick Cronin's strike rate?
- Patrick Cronin has won 16 of 327 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Patrick Cronin do best at?
- Killarney by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Patrick Cronin?
- Pierce Gallagher, with 138 runners since 2008 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5.8%).
- What is Patrick Cronin's Fair A/E?
- 0.84, from 327 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.