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Trainer profile

Miss M Harding

48 runners in the last 5 seasons · 14 individual horses
As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago 92% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
4–48
Wins / Runs
8.3%
Strike rate
n=48
16 (33%)
Placed
1.29
Fair A/E
n=48 · 1.05 incl. margin
−14.75
£1 level stake
n=48 at SP · −30.7%
£69,132
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.3%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8.3%+0.0
n=12 · A/E 1.59 · £1 +5.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.3
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.3
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.3%+0.0
n=36 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −19.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
25%+16.7
n=4 · A/E 4.99 · £1 +13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 12.1% vs 8.3% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 33 4 12.1% +0.25
Chase 6 0 0% −6.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00
Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 17 2 11.8% +6.50
Heavy 12 2 16.7% −2.25
Good 11 0 0% −11.00
Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 10 1 10% −6.25
Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00
Listowel 7 0 0% −7.00
Clonmel 4 2 50% +8.50
Tramore 4 0 0% −4.00
Thurles 3 0 0% −3.00
Bellewstown 2 0 0% −2.00
Punchestown 2 1 50% +15.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Killarney (IRE) 1 0 0% −1.00
Navan 1 0 0% −1.00
Wexford 1 0 0% −1.00
Kilbeggan 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 4 1 25% +13.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 9 2 22.2% 1.40 +0.75
4th–6th fav 14 2 14.3% 1.84 +9.50
7th+ in betting 25 0 0% 0.00 −25.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.2% completed · 39 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 6 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 33 84.8% 1 0 4 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lep Around (IRE) 13 1 5 18 Oct 26
Grainne A Chroi (IRE) 12 2 7 16 Jul 26
Gaelic Force (IRE)from Paul O'Flynn 5 0 0 23 Aug 22
Emily's Light (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell 4 0 1 8 Aug 25
Hunt Away (IRE) 3 0 2 1 Jun 26
Lissen To The Lady (IRE)from Sandy Forster · then Patrick Cronin 3 1 1 11 Jan 24
Bog Cross (IRE) 1 0 0 18 Oct 26
Chapel Gate (IRE) 1 0 0 15 Jun 26
The Mystery Man (IRE) 1 0 0 24 Sep 25
Desert Ian (IRE)from Declan Queally 1 0 0 2 Jun 25
Brave Endeavour (IRE)then Paul O'Flynn 1 0 0 3 Jun 24
Farmers Future (IRE) 1 0 0 1 Apr 24
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 14 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 9 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
502514000000000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
John Shinnick 18 3 16.7% +9.25
Mr E P O'Brien 7 0 0% −7.00
Miss J Walton 4 1 25% +2.00
Daniel King 3 0 0% −3.00
Shane Mulcahy 2 0 0% −2.00
Alan O'Sullivan 2 0 0% −2.00
Abbie Clancy 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr M C O'Donovan 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr E J Roche 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr Andrew Burke-Ott 1 0 0% −1.00
Philip Byrnes 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr M J O'Connor 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
8
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£156k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Grainne A Chroi (IRE) — Matchbook Betting Exchange Quevega Mares Hurdle (Grade 3) Punchestown · Feb 2026 · Grade 3
£22,125
Moscow Breeze (IRE) — O'Flynn Construction Beginners Chase Cork · Apr 2008
£11,056
Knuckahaduve (IRE) — Cavan Gaa Supporters Club Mares Beginners' Chase Fairyhouse · Oct 2007
£8,638
Notable horses
Grainne A Chroi (IRE) Moscow Breeze (IRE) Icantsay (IRE) Lep Around (IRE) Knuckahaduve (IRE) Chicamala (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Jet Away (GB) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,506 runs since 2008 (269 horses).
Mount Nelson (GB) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,259 runs since 2008 (538 horses).
Westerner (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,830 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Diamond Boy (FR) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 12% of 2,274 runs since 2008 (285 horses).
Fame And Glory (GB) 25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,204 runs since 2008 (504 horses).
Sans Frontieres (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,252 runs since 2008 (155 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.2% from 183.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 246 · newest first

The latest 50 of 246 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Lep Around (IRE)J: John Shinnick Limerick Show Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 10th 80/1
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Bog Cross (IRE)J: John Shinnick Irish Wire Products (C & G) Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 7th 100/1
16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Grainne A Chroi (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan D. Ivo O'Sullivan Memorial Irish EBF Mares Hurdle20.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 11/1
15 Jun 26 Kilbeggan Chapel Gate (IRE)J: Mr J G Murphy Midlands National On 10th July (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 25/1
01 Jun 26 Listowel Hunt Away (IRE)J: Mr Andrew Burke-Ott Beasley Engineering Hunters Chase23.5f · Yielding · 11 ran 2nd 13/2
30 May 26 Listowel Grainne A Chroi (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Anglo Printers Remembering John H. Kierans Mares Hurdle16.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/1
06 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Grainne A Chroi (IRE)J: John Shinnick Rathbarry & Glenview Studs Hurdle (Grade 2)20f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran PU 40/1
06 Apr 26 Cork Hunt Away (IRE)J: Mr M C O'Donovan John Thomas McNamara Series Maiden Hunters Chase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 2nd 9/4
19 Mar 26 Cork Lep Around (IRE)J: Mme Earine Dubourg Gentlemen's League Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle24f · Yielding · 11 ran F 7/1
05 Mar 26 Thurles Lep Around (IRE)J: John Shinnick Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Chase18f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 33/1
18 Feb 26 Punchestown Grainne A Chroi (IRE)J: John Shinnick Matchbook Betting Exchange Quevega Mares Hurdle (Grade 3)20f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 16/1
15 Feb 26 Punchestown Lep Around (IRE)J: Abbie Clancy Up The Yard Challenge Race16f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 33/1
24 Sep 25 Listowel The Mystery Man (IRE)J: John Shinnick McSweeney Brothers Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 18 ran 14th 300/1
21 Sep 25 Listowel Lep Around (IRE)J: John Shinnick Bloom Feeds Irish EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle18f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 12th 25/1
08 Aug 25 Wexford Emily's Light (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien BoyleSports Mares Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 25/1
04 Aug 25 Cork Emily's Light (IRE)J: John Shinnick Mallow Mares Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 17 ran 12th 50/1
13 Jul 25 Sligo Emily's Light (IRE)J: John Shinnick CT Electrical Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 7/1
10 Jun 25 Sligo Emily's Light (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Stephen Mullins & Sons Mares Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 15 ran 5th 33/1
02 Jun 25 Listowel Desert Ian (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien Beasley Engineering Hunters Chase24f · Good · 15 ran 8th 40/1
21 Apr 25 Cork Hunt Away (IRE)J: Mr M J O'Connor Pegus Horse Feed Point-To-Point Flat Race19f · Yielding · 14 ran 5th 4/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss M Harding's strike rate?
Miss M Harding has won 4 of 48 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Miss M Harding in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Miss M Harding's Fair A/E?
1.29, from 48 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 23 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).