What is S Jesus's strike rate?

S Jesus has won 53 of 1,021 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does S Jesus do best at?

Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 15 wins from 177 runners (8.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for S Jesus?

Eddy Hardouin, with 192 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (3.1%).

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is S Jesus's Fair A/E?

0.77, from 996 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

S Jesus

1,021 runners in the lifetime window · 140 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 91% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

53–1,021

Wins / Runs

5.2%

Strike rate

n=1,021

191 (19%)

Placed

0.77

Fair A/E

n=996 · 0.66 incl. margin

−412.70

£1 level stake

n=1,006 at SP · −41.0%

£1.30m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.77). New recruits from other yards win at 8% first time out (50 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,021 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Dec 25% when favourite Eddy Hardouin: 3.1% from 192 New recruits: 8% Sends off the favourite in 3% of races

The read

It is weakest at Enghien (FR) (0% over 32 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=71, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −104.90 to a £1 stake over 272 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Eddy Hardouin rides 19% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (3.1% vs 5.2%, A/E 0.49). The stable star of the record: Athineos (FR) — 6 wins from 39 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.8%−0.4

n=272 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −104.90

New recruits · first run for the yard

8%+2.8

n=50 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −13.90

Debutants · first career start

2.2%−3.0

n=93 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −89.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

1.4%−3.8

n=71 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −68.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−5.2

n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00

When favourite

25%

n=32 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +2.20

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.3%−0.9

n=207 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −105.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.2

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 13.8% vs 5.2% · n=58

With C&D winners 10.7% vs 5.2% · n=131

With Gregory Benoist 12.1% vs 5.2% · n=33

With Marie Velon 10.9% vs 5.2% · n=55

With Nathan Kasztelan 0% vs 5.2% · n=37

At Enghien (FR) 0% vs 5.2% · n=32

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 929 50 5.4% −350.60

Hurdle 60 2 3.3% −32.10

Chase 32 1 3.1% −30.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 437 23 5.3% −129.70

Soft 200 10 5% −80.30

Good 142 6 4.2% −83.30

Good to Soft 140 10 7.1% −40.40

Heavy 100 4 4% −77.00

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (FR) 266 12 4.5% −117.30

Chantilly 264 14 5.3% −101.60

Saint-Cloud 177 15 8.5% −4.10

Longchamp (FR) 91 3 3.3% −52.70

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 73 3 4.1% −57.40

Auteuil (FR) 55 2 3.6% −44.10

Enghien (FR) 32 0 0% −32.00

Compiegne 12 1 8.3% −5.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 11 0 0% −11.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 9 1 11.1% +8.00

Fontainebleau 6 0 0% −5.00

Dieppe (FR) 6 1 16.7% +1.50

Lyon Parilly 5 0 0% −3.00

Vichy (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 3 25 1 4% −18.50

Class 4 9 1 11.1% −1.50

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 2 4 1 25% +3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 32 8 25% 1.21 +2.20

2nd–3rd fav 119 11 9.2% 0.74 −52.30

4th–6th fav 238 14 5.9% 0.67 −92.60

7th+ in betting 617 14 2.3% 0.73 −270.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m – 1m1f 367 22 6% −105.70

1m2f – 1m4f 322 14 4.3% −177.60

6f – 7f 140 7 5% −44.70

1m5f – 2m 93 7 7.5% −13.20

2m1f – 2m4f 78 2 2.6% −58.00

Under 6f 19 1 5.3% −11.50

2m5f – 3m 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2009 12 6 50% —

2010 53 2 3.8% −36.60

2011 51 0 0% −51.00

2012 57 1 1.8% −38.00

2013 43 1 2.3% −19.00

2014 60 1 1.7% −43.70

2015 55 2 3.6% −23.80

2016 55 3 5.5% −39.90

2017 58 1 1.7% −7.00

2018 49 0 0% −49.00

2019 61 1 1.6% −51.80

2020 42 0 0% −42.00

2021 30 0 0% −30.00

2022 31 1 3.2% −17.80

2023 52 6 11.5% +19.60

2024 93 9 9.7% +7.20

2025 104 11 10.6% +30.70

2026 115 8 7% −20.60

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 589 36 6.1% −126.80

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 477 21 4.4% −205.40

11-13 runners 214 16 7.5% −4.50

8-10 runners 133 5 3.8% −97.80

17+ runners 120 2 1.7% −98.30

5-7 runners 57 2 3.5% −15.70

2-4 runners 20 7 35% +9.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Waldenon (FR) 46 1 5 23 Jan 25

Papa Winner (FR) 41 0 12 10 Jul 23

Athineos (FR)from I Endaltsev 39 6 12 13 Oct 26

Nootka Bay (FR) 38 1 11 3 Nov 26

Princess Emma (FR) 37 1 5 26 Jun 20

Monika Jem (FR) 37 2 7 5 Jan 18

Belle Aumone (FR) 29 2 8 9 Jan 16

Zahyana (FR) 22 2 7 3 Nov 26

Day Off (FR) 22 3 5 1 May 25

Mister Goken (FR) 21 2 5 11 Aug 26

La Mere Beaude (FR) 18 0 2 5 Oct 16

Gaea (FR) 17 1 3 21 Oct 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 140 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M Rulec (3) and Glen Braem (2); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 53 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

064436657598

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderEddy Hardouin

19% of all rides
3.1% SR · A/E 0.49

RiderRWSR£1

Eddy Hardouin 192 6 3.1% −112.70

C Lecoeuvre 77 6 7.8% +38.50

Marie Velon 55 6 10.9% −19.90

Fabien Lefebvre 47 3 6.4% −4.70

Antoine Hamelin 46 3 6.5% +0.00

Rosario Mangione 40 4 10% −6.20

Nathan Kasztelan 37 0 0% −37.00

Gregory Benoist 33 4 12.1% −22.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

Archived wins

£1.30m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 11 wins

Saxon Village (IRE) — Personnel D'ecurie By Ag2r La Mondiale - Prix De La Vallee De L'oise Compiegne (FR) · Jul 2026 · Class 2

£25,450

Prince A Rio (FR) — Prix du Palio de Chantilly (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Mar 2024

£23,913

Agapi Mia (FR) — Prix Trillion (Handicap) (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Jun 2023

£23,451

Notable horses

Athineos (FR) Letty's Marvel (FR) Day Off (FR) Saxon Village (IRE) Monika Jem (FR) Belle Aumone (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Ski Chief (USA) 4.2% · 3–71

Progeny have won 6.1% of 605 runs since 2008 (69 horses).

Miesque's Son (USA) 4.3% · 2–47

Progeny have won 7.4% of 647 runs since 2008 (72 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.8% from 130.

Redback (GB) 4.3% · 2–47

Progeny have won 7.6% of 2,888 runs since 2008 (249 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 181.

Denon (USA) 2.2% · 1–46

Progeny have won 4.3% of 323 runs since 2009 (31 horses).

Salut Thomas (FR) 0% · 0–42

Progeny have won 0% of 42 runs since 2016 (2 horses).

George Vancouver (USA) 2.6% · 1–39

Progeny have won 5.9% of 1,177 runs since 2017 (132 horses). Weakest on Good going: 2.4% from 124.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,021 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,021 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 March 2009 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Nootka Bay (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix De Commeaux7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 11th 9/1

03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Zahyana (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Du Val Henry12.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 7th 12/1

02 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Jack O'boy (FR)J: Marie Velon Prix De La Croix Du Grand VeneurClass 3 · 8f · Soft · 15 ran 10th 18/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Mangas (GB)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Du Bray Normand9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 9/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Steel Drum (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Du Bray Normand9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 28/1

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Acclam (FR)J: Arthur Vilchien Prix D'audrieu9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 50/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Saxon Village (IRE)J: Marvin Grandin Prix De La Route BellevalClass 3 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 11/1

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Nootka Bay (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix De La Foret De Bord7.5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 10/1

16 Oct 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Don Gerasimos (GR)J: Glen Meury Prix Des Bouleaux8f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 50/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Steel Drum (FR)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix Du Chene Des Gres9f · Standard · 14 ran 13th 14/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Mangas (GB)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Du Chene Des Gres9f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 15/2

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Andartis (GB)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix De L'amante InquieteClass 3 · 6f · Good · 16 ran 6th 20/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Last Sinn (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix De Miromesnil12f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 6th 10/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Athineos (FR)J: Marie Velon Prix De Pre-saint-gervais12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 7th 15/2

09 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Jack O'boy (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Du Carrefour Du Fond PernantClass 3 · 7f · Very Soft · 15 ran 10th 14/1

07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Oshia (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix De Senlis6f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 8/1

07 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Nootka Bay (FR)J: Marie Velon Prix Du Bois Bourillon9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 10th 15/2

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) El Madar (GB)J: Marie Velon Prix De La SambreClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 14/1

05 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Andartis (GB)J: Marie Velon Prix Au-dela Des PistesClass 4 · 6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is S Jesus's strike rate?: S Jesus has won 53 of 1,021 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does S Jesus do best at?: Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 15 wins from 177 runners (8.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for S Jesus?: Eddy Hardouin, with 192 runners since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (3.1%).
Is S Jesus in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is S Jesus's Fair A/E?: 0.77, from 996 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.