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Trainer profile

Stephen Allen

51 runners in the lifetime window · 8 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–51
Wins / Runs
3.9%
Strike rate
n=51
6 (12%)
Placed
1.18
n=51 · 1.02 incl. margin
−30.00
£1 level stake
n=51 at SP · −58.8%
£19,578
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 4.3%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−3.9
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.9
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.3%+0.4
n=47 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −26.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 0% vs 3.9% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 31 0 0% −31.00
Chase 19 2 10.5% +2.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 42 2 4.8% −21.00
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00
Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Worcester 15 2 13.3% +6.00
Warwick 9 0 0% −9.00
Stratford 8 0 0% −8.00
Uttoxeter 8 0 0% −8.00
Huntingdon 5 0 0% −5.00
Hereford 4 0 0% −4.00
Ludlow 1 0 0% −1.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 26 0 0% −26.00
Class 5 20 2 10% +1.00
Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
4th–6th fav 17 2 11.8% 2.03 +4.00
7th+ in betting 32 0 0% 0.00 −32.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
58% completed · 50 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 19 73.7% 0 0 5 0 0
Hurdle 31 48.4% 0 1 15 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Grillon De Monty (FR)from Dan Skelton 16 2 5 22 Jul 26
Calagogo (IRE)from Gordon Elliott 13 0 0 2 Nov 25
Fenna's Loss (IRE)from Mark Walford 6 0 0 27 Jul 25
The Tide Turns (GB)from Gordon Elliott 5 0 0 3 Nov 26
Lucky Stripe (GB) 5 0 1 8 Oct 24
Haderach (GB)from Charlie Fellowes 4 0 0 12 Jul 26
Spotthestar (GB) 1 0 0 2 Jul 25
Flyover (IRE)from Tim Vaughan 1 0 0 31 Dec 24
All 8 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 8 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (2); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000009250000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Jamie Brace 19 2 10.5% +2.00
James Martin 11 0 0% −11.00
Lewis Stones 7 0 0% −7.00
Joe Anderson 5 0 0% −5.00
Tabitha Worsley 2 0 0% −2.00
Daire McConville 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr Sam Lee 1 0 0% −1.00
James Turner 1 0 0% −1.00
Toby McCain-Mitchell 1 0 0% −1.00
Fern O'Brien 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2024→
2
Archived wins
£19,578
Prize money
2025
Best season · 2 wins
Grillon De Monty (FR) — Neu-Servo Rapid Response Handicap Chase Worcester · Aug 2025 · Class 5
£3,248
Grillon De Monty (FR) — eventmasters.co.uk 40th Anniversary Handicap Chase Worcester · Jul 2025 · Class 5
£3,248
Notable horses

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Crillon (FR) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 14.2% of 981 runs since 2009 (97 horses).
Doyen (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,381 runs since 2009 (606 horses).
Sageburg (IRE) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 10% of 3,488 runs since 2012 (416 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.7% from 295. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.2% from 355.
Sea The Moon (GER) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 12% of 4,584 runs since 2018 (504 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15% from 814.
Yorgunnabelucky (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,083 runs since 2016 (97 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.4% from 257.
Cracksman (GB) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.4% of 1,822 runs since 2022 (239 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 105. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16% from 268.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 51 · newest first

The latest 50 of 51 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 June 2024 to 3 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Nov 25 Newbury The Tide Turns (GB)J: Jamie Brace OLBG Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stephen Allen's strike rate?
Stephen Allen has won 2 of 51 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Stephen Allen in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Stephen Allen's Fair A/E?
1.18, from 51 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).