What is T M Walsh's strike rate?

T M Walsh has won 149 of 1,477 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does T M Walsh do best at?

Limerick by strike rate: 7 wins from 40 runners (17.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for T M Walsh?

Ms K Walsh, with 195 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (12.3%).

What is T M Walsh's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 1,477 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

T M Walsh

1,477 runners in the lifetime window · 118 individual horses

As at 8 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 16 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

149–1,477

Wins / Runs

10.1%

Strike rate

n=1,477

419 (28%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=1,477 · 0.77 incl. margin

−420.86

£1 level stake

n=1,477 at SP · −28.5%

£3.27m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,477 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 8 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 28.6% when favourite Ms K Walsh: 12.3% from 195 Sends off the favourite in 13% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Tramore (16.7%, n=66), clear of the yard's 10.1% baseline. It is weakest at Curragh (1.3% over 77 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 2.2% (n=89, Fair A/E 0.35). Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 9.8% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.17 and +2.83 to a £1 stake over 366 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 6.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.78 and −152.77 to a £1 stake over 300 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Ms K Walsh rides 13% of the entries and edges the yard's average (12.3% vs 10.1%, A/E 1.17) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 4.6% over 174 runners, 5.5pts below the baseline. 20 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Paddy Power Chase at Leopardstown (Dec 2012, £106,800). The stable star of the record: Foxrock (IRE) — 9 wins from 28 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.7%−3.4

n=300 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −152.77

New recruits · first run for the yard

8.3%−1.8

n=12 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −8.50

Debutants · first career start

2.2%−7.9

n=89 · A/E 0.35 · £1 −19.12

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.5%−5.6

n=66 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −56.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.9%−2.2

n=63 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −19.21

When favourite

28.6%

n=192 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −30.82

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.8%−0.3

n=366 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +2.83

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.8%−0.3

n=173 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −82.28

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.8% vs 10.1% · n=149

At Curragh 1.3% vs 10.1% · n=77

With debutants 2.2% vs 10.1% · n=89

With R Walsh 15.7% vs 10.1% · n=166

Over 6f – 7f 4.6% vs 10.1% · n=174

At Tramore 16.7% vs 10.1% · n=66

This filter uses derived form angles computed for 7.4% of the archive so far (as at 8 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 513 58 11.3% −106.90

Chase 445 52 11.7% −131.10

Flat 441 27 6.1% −168.91

NH Flat 78 12 15.4% −13.95

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 484 47 9.7% −122.04

Good 351 30 8.5% −156.87

Heavy 281 36 12.8% −79.67

Standard (AW) 135 8 5.9% −51.79

Good to Soft 129 14 10.9% −44.12

Good to Firm 89 12 13.5% +23.63

Firm 8 2 25% +10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 207 27 13% −15.01

Naas 136 8 5.9% −100.43

Fairyhouse 122 8 6.6% −82.52

Dundalk (AW) 119 7 5.9% −38.04

Leopardstown 114 16 14% −14.60

Navan 94 12 12.8% +41.68

Curragh 77 1 1.3% −56.00

Tramore 66 11 16.7% −2.03

Tipperary 46 3 6.5% −8.33

Downpatrick 43 4 9.3% −31.95

Bellewstown 43 5 11.6% +1.00

Limerick 40 7 17.5% −10.33

Kilbeggan 40 4 10% +10.37

Gowran Park 33 1 3% −31.83

Clonmel 28 4 14.3% −8.47

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 168 17 10.1% −77.28

Class 2 8 1 12.5% −1.00

Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 5 1 1 100% +1.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 226 65 28.8% 1.09 −19.07

2nd–3rd fav 319 44 13.8% 0.96 −51.29

4th–6th fav 446 32 7.2% 1.00 −107.50

7th+ in betting 486 8 1.6% 0.49 −243.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 389 48 12.3% −15.10

2m1f – 2m4f 384 41 10.7% −120.41

2m5f – 3m 271 35 12.9% −95.73

6f – 7f 174 8 4.6% −123.87

1m – 1m1f 101 8 7.9% +4.58

1m2f – 1m4f 76 4 5.3% −21.00

Over 3m 58 4 6.9% −37.33

Under 6f 24 1 4.2% −12.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 107 5 4.7% −77.00

2009 116 7 6% −66.00

2010 84 9 10.7% −10.87

2011 80 12 15% −13.99

2012 56 12 21.4% +4.88

2013 48 7 14.6% −14.15

2014 74 5 6.8% −62.91

2015 74 11 14.9% +39.55

2016 69 7 10.1% +18.37

2017 65 7 10.8% −29.76

2018 89 7 7.9% −27.38

2019 87 7 8% −48.10

2020 71 4 5.6% −57.95

2021 112 10 8.9% −39.62

2022 73 5 6.8% −45.00

2023 74 9 12.2% +30.13

2024 70 13 18.6% +5.83

2025 81 7 8.6% −23.27

2026 47 5 10.6% −3.62

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 661 64 9.7% −157.52

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 390 32 8.2% −174.91

11-13 runners 317 27 8.5% −99.83

17+ runners 306 19 6.2% −132.16

8-10 runners 287 43 15% +12.88

5-7 runners 165 26 15.8% −36.84

2-4 runners 12 2 16.7% +10.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

87.9% completed · 958 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 445 83.4% 21 13 35 4 1

Hurdle 513 91.8% 8 9 24 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ferrybank (GB) 53 5 17 6 Jun 26

Kildorrery (IRE) 47 4 11 4 Jul 23

Collingwood (IRE) 46 3 16 20 Jun 13

Any Second Now (IRE) 41 7 18 21 Apr 25

Paramount (FR)from N Clement 41 3 13 10 Aug 12

Castletownshend (IRE) 39 1 10 8 Sep 22

Colbert Station (IRE)then Jonjo O'Neill 39 5 9 24 Sep 16

Hardwired (IRE) 38 5 12 3 Mar 26

Approbare (IRE) 38 0 6 17 Nov 21

Battlefront (IRE) 37 3 9 4 Apr 13

Gaoth Chuil (IRE) 35 7 19 21 Aug 26

Batcio (FR) 35 5 12 14 Apr 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 118 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 9 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive; 54 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Alan Fleming (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

13111410512111077814

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMs K Walsh

13% of all rides
12.3% SR · A/E 1.17

RiderRWSR£1

Ms K Walsh 195 24 12.3% −19.55

R Walsh 166 26 15.7% −53.80

Mark Walsh 133 19 14.3% −45.47

Shane O'Callaghan 127 9 7.1% −74.79

W J Lee 71 6 8.5% −30.92

Wayne Lordan 51 3 5.9% −23.00

Chris Hayes 40 2 5% −34.74

Ian McCarthy 31 3 9.7% +41.65

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

180

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.02m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 13 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Colbert Station (IRE) — Paddy Power Chase (0-145) (Grade B Handicap) Leopardstown · Dec 2012 · Grade B

£106,800

Jack High (IRE) — Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Sandown · Apr 2005 · Class 1

£87,000

Foxrock (IRE) — Boylesports Handicap Chase (grade A) Leopardstown · Jan 2015 · Grade A

£60,000

Notable horses

Foxrock (IRE) Any Second Now (IRE) Gaoth Chuil (IRE) Seabass (IRE) Collingwood (IRE) Southern Vic (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cable Bay (IRE) 6.1% · 5–82

Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,727 runs since 2019 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 645. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.

Oscar (IRE) 15.8% · 12–76

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Equiano (FR) 4.6% · 3–65

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,543 runs since 2014 (549 horses).

Fame And Glory (GB) 13.6% · 8–59

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,212 runs since 2016 (504 horses).

Finsceal Fior (IRE) 16.4% · 9–55

Progeny have won 7.8% of 567 runs since 2016 (47 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 11.4% from 140. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.7% from 107.

Medicean (GB) 17.3% · 9–52

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 8 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,866 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,866 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Friary Road (IRE)J: Josh Williamson Abbey Haven Care Centre & Nursing Home Hurdle17.5f · Yielding · 5 ran 3rd 7/2

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Hee Hiles (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 6th 50/1

24 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Adrienne (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Listowel Races Supporters Club Lartigue Hurdle (Handicap) In Memory Of John Molyneaux (Listed)Class 1 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 5th 18/1

19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Hee Hiles (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Flat Race16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 100/1

15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Adrienne (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap9f · Good · 14 ran 13th 14/1

02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Friary Road (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Kilberry (Q.R.) Handicap16f · Good · 16 ran 7th 14/1

24 Aug 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Hee Hiles (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Flat Race16.5f · Good · 11 ran 7th 8/1

21 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Gaoth Chuil (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Kellihers Toyota Kingdom Gold Cup Handicap14.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 12/1

29 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Gaoth Chuil (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Bet With Tote.ie On Racing & Sports Handicap16.5f · Yielding · 19 ran 13th 11/2

23 Jul 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Friary Road (IRE)J: Sam Coen Turkish Jockey Club Handicap15f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 13/2

14 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Gaoth Chuil (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Rose Hotel Handicap17f · Good · 7 ran 1st 15/8F

09 Jul 26 Leopardstown Friary Road (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan Hurling For Cancer Research Supported By Centra On July 24th (Q.R.) Race15f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 6/1

30 Jun 26 Wexford Be Fierce (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Tintern Trails Handicap Chase16f · Good · 13 ran PU 18/1

18 Jun 26 Leopardstown Gaoth Chuil (IRE)J: Mr L P Shanahan BOYLE Sports Squad Builder (Q.R.) Maiden15f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 1st 7/1

07 Jun 26 Punchestown Are You There (IRE)J: Mr H C Swan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 6th 10/1

06 Jun 26 Punchestown Ferrybank (GB)J: Gavin Brouder Ladbrokes 'Big Daily Boosts On Racing' Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16.5f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran PU 80/1

06 Jun 26 Punchestown Be Fierce (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Ladbrokes 'That's Ladisfaction' Handicap Chase16f · Good · 10 ran 4th 14/1

29 May 26 Tramore Be Fierce (IRE)J: Shane O'Callaghan Walsh King Accountants Handicap Chase15.5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 10/1

19 May 26 Cork Gaoth Chuil (IRE)J: Colin Keane Mallow Fillies Maiden12f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 9th 20/1

01 May 26 Punchestown Shuffle The Deck (IRE)J: Mark Walsh QuinnBet Novice Handicap Chase (Listed)20f · Yielding · 22 ran 6th 9/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 23 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 23 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is T M Walsh's strike rate?: T M Walsh has won 149 of 1,477 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 8 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does T M Walsh do best at?: Limerick by strike rate: 7 wins from 40 runners (17.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for T M Walsh?: Ms K Walsh, with 195 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 24 (12.3%).
What is T M Walsh's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 1,477 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.