T Poche
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 40 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.92). The yard is quiet just now — 0 winners in the last fortnight, below its own baseline.
It is weakest at Auteuil (FR) (1.6% over 122 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 6.1% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.28 and +86.00 to a £1 stake over 229 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the yard is in a quiet spell: 0 from 17 runners in the last 14 days (0%, 4.7pts below the 4.7% baseline). Christopher Grosbois rides 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (4.6%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 8-14-day break (8.8%, n=102). The market has also underrated the yard in Chase races: Fair A/E 1.68 across 68 runners (7.4% strike, +5.40 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly in Class 3 — 0% over 31 runners, 4.7pts below the baseline.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Quiet spellWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 825 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 825 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 April 2005 to 2 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is T Poche's strike rate?
- T Poche has won 39 of 824 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does T Poche do best at?
- Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 8 wins from 114 runners (7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for T Poche?
- Christopher Grosbois, with 108 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (4.6%).
- Is T Poche in form?
- In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 0 winners, a strike rate of 0%. That is below the baseline of 4.7% since 2008.
- What is T Poche's Fair A/E?
- 0.92, from 800 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.