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Trainer profile

Trevor Horgan

41 runners in the lifetime window · 11 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2011 95% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
3–41
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=41
7 (17%)
Placed
1.23
Fair A/E
n=41 · 0.94 incl. margin
−5.00
£1 level stake
n=41 at SP · −12.2%
£26,597
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−7.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.3
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
25%+17.7
n=4 · A/E 5.09 · £1 +11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
14.3%+7.0
n=14 · A/E 1.96 · £1 +7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 24 2 8.3% −3.00
Hurdle 9 0 0% −9.00
NH Flat 6 1 16.7% +9.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 16 0 0% −16.00
Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Firm 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Heavy 3 1 33.3% +12.00
Firm 2 1 50% +13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 6 0 0% −6.00
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00
Wexford 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 3 1 33.3% +12.00
Listowel 3 1 33.3% +3.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilbeggan 2 1 50% +13.00
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00
Downpatrick 2 0 0% −2.00
Clonmel 2 0 0% −2.00
Ballinrobe 2 0 0% −2.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Down Royal 1 0 0% −1.00
Roscommon 1 0 0% −1.00
Sligo 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 7 1 14.3% 1.08 −1.00
4th–6th fav 14 2 14.3% 2.46 +16.00
7th+ in betting 20 0 0% 0.00 −20.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78.8% completed · 33 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 24 70.8% 1 0 6 0 0
Hurdle 9 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Defying Gravity (IRE)from D T Hughes · then Caroline Fryer 8 1 2 8 Jun 11
Arctic Zone (IRE) 8 1 1 6 Aug 10
Some Touch (IRE) 7 0 0 2 Jun 11
Fourth In Line (IRE)then Anabel K Murphy 4 0 0 5 Oct 10
Seven Days (IRE)from W J Burke · then Philip Hobbs 3 0 1 2 Jun 11
Minella Class (IRE)then Nicky Henderson 3 1 2 14 Mar 10
Minella Bliss (IRE)then John J Nallen 3 0 0 14 Jul 09
Minella For Food (IRE)then Evan Williams 2 0 1 17 Jan 08
Eoins Appeal (IRE)from S Slevin 1 0 0 11 Jul 08
Beautox (IRE) 1 0 0 20 Mar 08
Mopheatadilis (IRE) 1 0 0 6 Jan 08
All 11 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 11 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 5 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0100000290000·0
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Niall P Madden 16 1 6.3% −1.00
M P Fogarty 8 2 25% +13.00
David Splaine 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr J J Codd 3 0 0% −3.00
B M Cash 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr B O'Neill 1 0 0% −1.00
Tom Doyle 1 0 0% −1.00
Sean Flanagan 1 0 0% −1.00
J R Barry 1 0 0% −1.00
Paul Townend 1 0 0% −1.00
D J Casey 1 0 0% −1.00
Paul Moloney 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
3
Archived wins
£35,491
Prize money
2010
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Minella Class (IRE) — Ladbrokes Cheltenham Bumper Series (pro/am) Flat Race Naas · Feb 2010
£7,935
Arctic Zone (IRE) — Loughnagore Beginners Chase Kilbeggan · Jun 2010
£5,865
Defying Gravity (IRE) — George Fitzmaurice Hunters Chase Listowel · Jun 2010
£4,830
Notable horses
Defying Gravity (IRE) Arctic Zone (IRE) Minella Class (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Old Vic (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Arctic Lord (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 5.5% of 795 runs since 2008 (82 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12% from 117. Weakest on Heavy going: 1.4% from 147.
Scribano (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.4% of 309 runs since 2008 (36 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 11% from 109.
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Indian Danehill (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,742 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.9% from 143.
Oscar (IRE) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 82 · newest first

The latest 50 of 82 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 8 June 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Jun 11 Clonmel Defying Gravity (IRE)J: Niall P Madden Jogforjockeys.ie Handicap Chase (0-102)20f · Yielding · 13 ran PU 14/1
02 Jun 11 Tipperary Seven Days (IRE)J: David Splaine www.tipperaryraces.ie Beginners Chase20f · Good · 11 ran 6th 20/1
02 Jun 11 Tipperary Some Touch (IRE)J: Niall P Madden Limerick Junction Chase17f · Good · 7 ran PU 50/1
22 May 11 Limerick Defying Gravity (IRE)J: Niall P Madden Twilight Evening Live Music 17th June Handicap Chase (0-109)24f · Good · 16 ran PU 20/1
22 May 11 Limerick Some Touch (IRE)J: David Splaine Supermacs Drive Thru Handicap Chase (0-123)19.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 16/1
19 May 11 Tipperary Seven Days (IRE)J: Niall P Madden Glenview And Rathbarry Studs Beginners Chase23f · Good · 14 ran 5th 11/2
27 Apr 11 Ballinrobe Seven Days (IRE)J: Niall P Madden Roundfort Stores Beginners Chase22f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 22/1
27 Apr 11 Ballinrobe Some Touch (IRE)J: David Splaine P & D Lydon Plant Hire Handicap Chase (0-123)17f · Good · 8 ran 5th 20/1
20 Mar 11 Cork Some Touch (IRE)J: J R Barry Easter Festival Handicap Chase20f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran PU 33/1
05 Oct 10 Tipperary Fourth In Line (IRE)J: Niall P Madden Tipperary Supporter's Club 25th Anniversary Dinner 3rd December Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 20 ran 15th 20/1
01 Oct 10 Gowran Park Some Touch (IRE)J: Niall P Madden Itba & Gain Horse Feeds Working For Irish Breeders Handicap Chase17f · Yielding To Soft · 10 ran PU 20/1
15 Sep 10 Listowel Fourth In Line (IRE)J: Mr J J Codd Mcelligotts Tralee Ltd., Mercedes Benz, Flat Race20f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 5th 8/1
20 Aug 10 Kilbeggan Defying Gravity (IRE)J: Niall P Madden Loughnagore Handicap Chase (0-109)25f · Good · 14 ran PU 16/1
06 Aug 10 Wexford Arctic Zone (IRE)J: Niall P Madden Rosslare Harbour Handicap Chase (0-109)25f · Good · 14 ran F 16/1
03 Aug 10 Ffos Las Defying Gravity (IRE)J: Paul Moloney Weatherbys Bloodstock Insurance Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 25.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 9/2
01 Aug 10 Galway Some Touch (IRE)J: Niall P Madden Connacht Tribune Handicap Chase18f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th 16/1
29 Jul 10 Galway Fourth In Line (IRE)J: M P Fogarty Guinness Storehouse (Pro/Am) Flat Race18f · Good To Firm · 20 ran 7th 8/1
22 Jul 10 Limerick Arctic Zone (IRE)J: Niall P Madden Limerick's Live 95FM Chase22f · Good · 9 ran 7th 12/1
18 Jul 10 Tipperary Defying Gravity (IRE)J: Niall P Madden www.thetote.com Galway Plate Trial Handicap Chase (0-130)20f · Good · 14 ran 9th 5/1
12 Jul 10 Killarney Fourth In Line (IRE)J: M P Fogarty Don't Forget Ladies Day This Thursday At Killarney Races Flat Race17f · Good · 8 ran 4th 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Trevor Horgan's strike rate?
Trevor Horgan has won 3 of 41 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Trevor Horgan's Fair A/E?
1.23, from 41 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).