1:24 Leicester
This Class 6 nursery handicap over 1m53y at Leicester on good to soft ground features a field of ten two-year-olds, most of them modest performers with limited experience at the trip. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Mulvaney's Return just heading the list on 52, followed closely by Golden Oasis, Ebt's Warrior, Adoramus and Notimetotakeoff. Several runners are dropping in class while others step up markedly in distance, and first-time headgear appears on three of them.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is tentative with only medium confidence. Golden Oasis is the most likely to make the running or race prominently, with Notimetotakeoff usually on or close to the pace from draw four. Most of the remainder, including the selection Mulvaney's Return, tend to be held up or race in mid-division, so the race may develop into a test of timing from off the speed. The key question is whether the prominent runners can get away with it on ground that may suit those coming from off the pace late.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Mulvaney's Return KTB Selection52/100
Mulvaney's Return is a modest performer who has shown little in three runs at this trip. First-time headgear is now fitted and the yard's Leicester record is respectable, though the jockey's strike rate at the track is equally ordinary. The Brian Meehan and David Egan combination has a 2/35 record with an A/E of 0.59. Data is only medium confidence with the horse still lightly raced overall. Dropping in class from an OR of 65, he is held up and usually produces his effort late, though that reading carries low confidence. He has had one run on good to soft with no win or place and has no course form on record.
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2Golden Oasis50/100
Golden Oasis is a modest performer who has shown some ability at this trip, finishing placed once in two starts. Recent form has been patchy with a win at this level sandwiched between lesser efforts and an unseated. The trainer has no previous runners at Leicester while the jockey operates at a modest 8% strike rate here from 48 rides. He tends to make the running or race on the pace, though that reading carries low confidence. Unproven on good to soft ground, he carries an OR of 65 and has no course form on record.
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3Ebt's Warrior49/100
Ebt's Warrior is a modest performer who has shown steady placed form in three starts, finishing third here on his most recent outing. He steps up to an untested 1m today which asks a fresh question of him. The Muir and Grassick yard have a 9% strike rate at Leicester from 43 runs while Lewis Edmunds is on 9% from 120 rides at the track. Their combined record reads 65/597 with an A/E of 0.89. Typically settling in midfield, he drops in class from an OR of 65 and remains unproven on good to soft ground.
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4Adoramus49/100
Adoramus has shown modest form in three runs to date, finishing third of six on debut before two lesser efforts. He steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question of him. The yard and jockey both hold modest records at Leicester, with the trainer on 8% from 12 runs and the jockey on 8% from 143 rides. Their combined record stands at 2/11 with an A/E of 2.08. Typically settling in midfield, though that reading carries low confidence, he drops in class from an OR of 64 and has had one run on good to soft with no win or place.
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5Notimetotakeoff47/100
Notimetotakeoff is a modest performer who has shown some ability in three runs, finishing third on the most recent start. Steps up in trip today having been placed once over this distance already, which looks a positive on pedigree. Trainer's modest record here is offset by the jockey's solid 17% strike rate at Leicester from 190 rides. Their combined record reads 9/61 with an A/E of 0.80. Usually racing handily on or close to the lead, he drops in class from an OR of 64 and remains unproven on good to soft ground.
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6Mr Montgomery44/100
Mr Montgomery is a modest performer on his three starts to date and has been well beaten on each occasion. Steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question of him. Trainer strikes at 14% here while the jockey is operating at a 6% strike rate from a large sample of rides. Usually held up and producing effort late, he drops in class from an OR of 61 and remains unproven on good to soft ground.
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7Banged Up43/100
Banged Up is a modest performer who has shown little in four runs to date and finished a well-beaten fourth last time. He has twice tried this trip without success and is now fitted with headgear for the first time. Trainer and jockey both hold a 10% strike rate at Leicester from sizeable samples. Usually held up and producing effort late, he carries an OR of 61 and remains unproven on good to soft ground.
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8Rule of The Agency39/100
Rule of The Agency is a modest performer who has shown little in four starts to date and looks up against it from stall nine. Tim Easterby has a 9% strike-rate at Leicester from 330 runs while Duran Fentiman is 4% from 70 rides here, so yard and rider bring limited encouragement. First-time headgear is tried but the horse remains a big question mark at this level from an OR of 60 and remains unproven on good to soft ground.
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9King of Persia39/100
King of Persia is a limited class performer who showed improved form to win last time out over today's trip. He has already been well beaten on his one run here and the yard and jockey both have modest strike rates at Leicester. Trip suits but the going remains an unknown on just five career runs from an OR of 58.
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10Waiting For Archie34/100
Waiting For Archie is a limited performer who has been well beaten in most of his six starts and showed only poor form when seventh of eight on his only visit to Leicester. He steps up in trip today having last run over 7f, which asks a fresh question. The yard has a modest 9% strike rate here from 11 runs while jockey Barry McHugh is operating at 5% from 73 rides at the track. Usually held up, he carries an OR of 56.
KTB verdict
Mulvaney's Return is the KTB selection. A modest performer who has shown little in three runs at this trip, he now tries first-time headgear while dropping in class. The yard's respectable Leicester record offers some encouragement even if the jockey's strike rate at the track is ordinary, and with the horse still lightly raced there remains scope for improvement. Main dangers are Golden Oasis, who has shown some ability at the trip and is likely to make the running, and Ebt's Warrior, who has already placed here and drops in class. Notimetotakeoff and Adoramus are others who can be involved if the step up in trip suits.
KTB Selection Mulvaney's Return
This is the narrative read of the 1:24 Leicester. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leicester racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Leicester results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Leicester racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is wearing first-time headgear?
Mulvaney's Return, Banged Up and Rule of The Agency are all fitted with first-time headgear.
Who is most likely to make the running?
Golden Oasis tends to make the running or race on the pace.
Which runners are dropping in class?
Mulvaney's Return, Ebt's Warrior, Adoramus, Notimetotakeoff and Mr Montgomery are all dropping in class.
Which horse has course form at Leicester?
Ebt's Warrior has one run here when third, King of Persia has one run here when eighth, and Waiting For Archie has one run here when seventh.
Who has the strongest jockey record at Leicester?
Rossa Ryan has a 17% strike rate at Leicester from 190 rides when riding for Charlie Johnston on Notimetotakeoff.
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