Jack Morland
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94).
The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (16.3%, n=43), clear of the yard's 10.8% baseline. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.8% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.26). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (16%, n=119). The record reads poorly on Good going — 4.8% over 42 runners, 6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.65 across 50 runners (6% strike, −21.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the yard fires Jul–Aug.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.8% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2024→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 297 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 297 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 November 2024 to 17 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jack Morland's strike rate?
- Jack Morland has won 32 of 297 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jack Morland do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 43 runners (16.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Is Jack Morland in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Jack Morland's Fair A/E?
- 0.94, from 294 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.