12:30 Cork
This 2m maiden hurdle at Cork on yielding ground brings together an 11-runner field mixing lightly-raced types with Flat-bred pedigrees and a handful who have already shown some ability over hurdles or in bumpers. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Sierrascope, Marco Du Seuil and Pinkarizon all rated in the high 50s to low 60s, underlining a competitive opening to the card. Henry de Bromhead, Gordon Elliott and Willie Mullins are all represented among the principals, while the strong pace anticipated should play to those who can settle and come late.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners declared, the pace shape is strong and confidence in a genuine gallop is high. Sierrascope and Paidi's Pet both tend to make the running or race prominently, while Marco Du Seuil, Bacharach and Walkineezy like to race handily. That early speed could set the race up for hold-up performers, and the key question is whether the leaders will fold late enough to allow the likes of Pinkarizon and the fitted-headgear runners coming from off the pace to capitalise.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Sierrascope KTB Selection61/100
Sierrascope arrives with only two runs under his belt yet has already shown he belongs at this level with a placed effort at the trip. Half-brother to Grade 2 winner Songe, he comes from a dam who has produced four winners from five runners to race, giving him a strong family line. Henry de Bromhead's 14% strike rate at Cork from 531 runs sits in line with his overall record, while Darragh O'Keeffe has an 11% strike rate at the track from 207 rides. He has been placed once from one start on yielding ground and tends to make the running or race prominently, which will be significant given the expected strong pace. The selection goes into this with solid pedigree backing and scope for improvement.
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2Marco Du Seuil60/100
Marco Du Seuil has already won on debut and finished placed on his second start this year despite only three runs in total. He drops back to 2m, a trip at which he has been placed once from one start, and is half-brother to high-class Grade 2 winner Hercule Du Seuil out of a dam who has produced one winner from two runners to race. Gordon Elliott's 15% strike rate at Cork from 548 runs matches his record elsewhere, and Jack Kennedy brings a 15% strike rate at the venue from 197 rides. He has been placed once from one start on yielding ground and usually races prominently, so should be on the speed in a race where that could prove testing. His proven ability makes him a major player.
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3Pinkarizon59/100
Pinkarizon is a useful performer who has shown ability both on the Flat and over hurdles, with a placed effort at this trip to his name. His recent record is patchy, however, and he has failed to complete both starts at Cork. The trainer's 14% strike rate at the track from 14 runs is respectable, while Danny Mullins has a 9% strike rate at Cork from 345 rides overall though he has struck at 22% from a small recent sample of 41 rides. Unproven on yielding ground he remains a question mark, and his held-up run-style with high confidence could be ideally suited if the strong pace collapses late. He carries an official rating of 99.
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4Bacharach52/100
Bacharach remains lightly raced with only three career starts and a recent record of 0-25 that offers limited encouragement. He drops back to 2m, a trip at which he has placed once without winning, and is half-brother to high-class chaser Santini out of a dam who has produced three winners from six runners to race. Gavin Cromwell's 9% strike rate at Cork from 318 runs is in line with his record elsewhere, and Keith Donoghue has an 11% strike rate at the track from 135 rides. He has one run on yielding ground without placing and usually races prominently. The small sample and low data confidence leave his ability hard to pin down.
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5Mailloche51/100
Mailloche showed fair form when placed on both completed starts in bumpers last year but has been off the track since. He drops back to 2m, which poses a fresh question, and first-time headgear is now applied. Willie Mullins boasts a 27% strike rate at Cork from 812 runs, well above his 21% at other tracks, while Brian Hayes has an 8% strike rate at the venue from 269 rides with no established record. Unproven on yielding ground, he carries the powerful Mullins stable but has a modest family background with the dam producing no winners from three runners to race.
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6Drom Col Choille47/100
Drom Col Choille is a debutant and half-brother to Whatsyourstatus who won three of 31 starts, with the dam having produced two winners from two runners to race. First-time headgear is fitted; the yard has no Cork record from two runs overall while jockey Philip Donovan has a 4% strike rate at the track from 79 rides.
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7Liath Mor43/100
Liath Mor has been beaten a long way in both starts and showed no promise when unseating at the first on his latest outing. First-time headgear is now fitted; Gavin Cromwell's 9% strike rate at Cork from 318 runs is in line with his record elsewhere, the 7lb claimer operates at a similar level, and the dam has produced one other runner who failed to win. He is held up with medium confidence and remains unproven on yielding ground.
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8Alwaysgoinhome43/100
Alwaysgoinhome showed little on his sole start when pulled up over 2m. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 11 runs at Cork, the jockey has a 7% strike rate here from 163 rides, and he has one run on yielding ground without placing. He is held up with limited evidence and low data confidence so must be read with caution.
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9Blaze Of Honour43/100
Blaze Of Honour has shown little in two starts, finishing ninth then fifth. Half-brother to prolific winner Cinnodin, he is being asked a fresh question back at this trip today. The trainer has a 6% strike rate at Cork from 54 runs in line with his record elsewhere, the jockey is 0 from 7 at the track, and he is unproven on yielding ground while typically settling in midfield.
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10Walkineezy43/100
Walkineezy has shown little in four starts with a best effort of fourth on his latest run and has failed to place in three attempts at this trip. The dam has produced one other runner who failed to win; the trainer's 4% strike rate at Cork from 447 runs sits below his 7% at other tracks, the jockey has a 9% strike rate here from 103 rides, and he has one run on yielding ground without placing while usually racing prominently.
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11Paidi's Pet41/100
Paidi's Pet has shown little in two starts, finishing eighth and tenth without suggesting immediate promise. The yard has a 5% strike rate at Cork from 121 runs in line with its record elsewhere, he is lightly raced with a small sample overall, and he is unproven on yielding ground. He tends to make the running or race on the pace with medium confidence.
KTB verdict
Sierrascope is the KTB Selection. Lightly raced with just two runs and a placed effort at this trip, he is well-related as half-brother to Grade 2 winner Songe from a dam who has produced four winners from five runners to race, and his front-running style could prove an asset even in a race with a strong pace. The de Bromhead-O'Keeffe combination brings solid course stats, and his placed run on yielding ground removes one doubt. Main dangers are Marco Du Seuil, who has already won and been placed and brings strong Elliott-Kennedy form, and Pinkarizon, whose hold-up style looks well suited to the shape if his patchy record and Cork failures can be overcome. Bacharach and Mailloche add further depth but both come with questions over current form and trip or ground.
KTB Selection Sierrascope
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 12:03am, 1 Nov. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Sierrascope | 9/1 | Bet365, 12:03am |
| Marco Du Seuil | 15/8 | Bet365, 12:03am |
| Pinkarizon | 18/1 | Bet365, 12:03am |
| Bacharach | 7/1 | BetTom, 12:03am |
| Mailloche | evn | Bet365, 12:03am |
| Drom Col Choille | 33/1 | BetTom, 12:03am |
| Liath Mor | 150/1 | BoyleSports, 12:03am |
| Alwaysgoinhome | 150/1 | BoyleSports, 12:03am |
| Blaze Of Honour | 40/1 | BetTom, 12:03am |
| Walkineezy | 33/1 | BetTom, 12:03am |
| Paidi's Pet | 80/1 | BoyleSports, 12:03am |
This is the narrative read of the 12:30 Cork. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Cork racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Cork results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Cork racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is unproven on yielding ground yet has the highest trainer strike rate at Cork among the principals?
Mailloche, with Willie Mullins recording a 27% strike rate at Cork from 812 runs.
How many front-runners are highlighted in the pace shape and which two principals share that run-style?
Two or more habitual front-runners are declared; Sierrascope and Paidi's Pet both tend to make the running or race on the pace.
What is the family connection for the top two in the KTB Fit ranking?
Sierrascope is half-brother to Grade 2 winner Songe; Marco Du Seuil is half-brother to Grade 2 winner Hercule Du Seuil.
Which principal is held up with high confidence and has failed to complete both starts at Cork?
Pinkarizon.
Which horse carries first-time headgear and is a half-brother to Santini?
Bacharach.
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