Horse profile
Carnival Day (IRE)
by Invincible Spirit (IRE) out of Mardie Gras (GB) (Galileo)
27 runs · 14 courses · from Nov 2023
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
4 wins · 4 courses
Last run 14 Oct 2026 · 9th of 13
Last raced off OR 77
KTB Profile
Carnival Day (IRE) is 4 from 27. All 4 wins have come on turf — 0 from 4 on the all-weather. All 4 wins have come over 1m2f – 1m4f.
Based on 27 archived runs · run-style from 20 commented runs since Sep 2024 · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
All wins on turf
- 4–27Wins / Runs
- 14.8%Strike rate
- 10 (37%)Placed
- −12.67£1 level staken=27 at SP
- 1.05Fair A/E n=27 · 0.90 incl. margin
- 81Highest OR
- 27dBetween runs (median)longest 182 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating77↓ 4lb off peak
77
67–81
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 101
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 9 | 119C | 97 | 4 runs · 117 / 96.5 |
| Soft | 6 | 107A | 86.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 83B | 79.5 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 101A | 90.5 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 119A | 88.5 | 2 runs · 98 / 88.5 |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 24 | 119A | 94 | 7 runs · 117 / 95 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 98B | 60 | 1 run · — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 27 figures from 27 runs · as at 22 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 20 analysed runs since Sep 2024
- Mid-division 9 (45%) · 2 wins
- Prominent 7 (35%) · 2 wins
- Held up 3 (15%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (5%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Invincible Spirit (IRE)
Progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 20,858 runs since Jan 2008 (1,574 horses).
Strongest on firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 161 | 26 | 16.1% | +4.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3,582 | 463 | 12.9% | +1 | 0 from 4 |
| Good | 4,530 | 487 | 10.8% | −1.1 | 1 from 9 |
| Good to Soft | 2,133 | 254 | 11.9% | 0 | 2 from 4 |
| Soft | 2,770 | 303 | 10.9% | −1 | 1 from 6 |
| Heavy | 795 | 78 | 9.8% | −2.1 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 6,886 | 867 | 12.6% | +0.7 | 0 from 4 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 3,057 | 399 | 13.1% | +1.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 9,848 | 1,180 | 12% | +0.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4,509 | 543 | 12% | +0.1 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2,142 | 249 | 11.6% | −0.3 | 4 from 24 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 844 | 66 | 7.8% | −4.1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 362 | 33 | 9.1% | −2.8 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 89 | 8 | 9% | −2.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | +2.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Mardie Gras (GB) (Galileo)
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Shamardalah (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m4f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamardalah (GB) | 8 | 1 | 1m4f | — |
| Carnival Lad (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Graciousandplenty (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 9 | 1 | 11% | −5.25 |
| Soft | 6 | 1 | 17% | −1.67 |
| Standard (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 2 | 50% | +2.25 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 17 | 1 | 6% | −13.25 |
| Class 5 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +4.58 |
| Class 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandown | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.25 |
| Epsom Downs | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.25 |
| Epsom | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.50 |
| Brighton | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.33 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Salisbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Windsor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 24 | 4 | 17% | −9.67 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Cosgrave | 12 | 2 | 17% | −4.75 |
| Hayley Turner | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Luke Catton | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.75 |
| Miss Amy Collier | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paddy Bradley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hector Crouch | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Billy Loughnane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Saffie Osborne | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Joe Leavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hollie Doyle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.33 |
| Tom Eaves | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Callum Shepherd | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 25 | 4 | 16% | −10.67 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −4.50 |
| 2025 | 10 | 1 | 10% | −7.25 |
| 2024 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +1.08 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 14 Oct 26+17d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race) Prominent early - urged along over 2f out then outpaced soon after - made no more headway inside final furlong to finish 9th | 9/13 | 2¾ | 9-1 | 77 | 83B | 70A | Pat Cosgrave | 25/1 |
| 27 Sep 26+17d | Epsom | Betfred 'Bet Builder' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Settled third early - closed on the pace two out - progressed on the rail from the final furlong - claimed second close home but no match for winner | 2/5 | 5½ | 8-12 | 77 | 94C | 87B | Pat Cosgrave | 11/2 |
| 10 Sep 26+13d | Epsom | Chigwell Group - The Trade's Front Runner Handicap Stakes Settled midway - slipped back through field around halfway - urged forward to improve position from 3f out - drifted right on nearing front group 2f out - locked in battle up front inside final furlong - got up close home to prevail | 1/9 | 9-8 | 74 | 101A | 93A | Pat Cosgrave | 5/2F | |
| 28 Aug 26+16d | Sandown | Killik Family Handicap Stakes Fought for control early - settled mid-pack - pushed into third 2f out - squeezed for space inside final furlong but stayed on to finish third | 3/8 | 1½ | 9-11 | 75 | 95B | 80A | Pat Cosgrave | 9/2 |
| 12 Aug 26+27d | Salisbury | Champagne Joseph Perrier Handicap Stakes Sat behind the leading duo - urged forward with 3f remaining - lost ground inside the final furlong - finished 5th | 5/6 | 1¾ | 9-1 | 77 | 98B | 74B | Pat Cosgrave | 9/2 |
| 16 Jul 26+34d | Epsom | Betfred Ladies' Derby Handicap Stakes (For Female Amateur Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race) Raced handily in the early stages - came under pressure 2f out and was bumped and dropped back entering the final furlong - continued at an even gallop | 4/7 | 1 | 10-9 | 78 | 79B | 89A | Miss Amy Collier | 2/1F |
| 12 Jun 26+45d | Sandown | Molson Coors Handicap Settled in the pack - nudged into contention over 2f out but boxed in as pace quickened a furlong later - lost touch inside the final 110 yards to finish seventh | 7/14 | 4¾ | 8-12 | 79 | 117C | 75A | Paddy Bradley | 14/1 |
| 28 Apr 26+182d | Epsom Downs | Betfred 'In Celebration Of Mark Friar' Handicap Settled in the pack early - improved into contention and closed on the front two soon after the furlong pole - kept battling but came home 1.75 lengths adrift in third | 3/10 | 1 | 9-3 | 79 | 98B | 94A | Hector Crouch | 15/2 |
| 2025 · 10 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Oct 25+30d | Leicester | Stevie Stretch Bookmaker 60 Today Handicap Slow to break - settled towards back - pushed along and improved wide from over 2f out into 4th while drifting right - unable to threaten the leaders late | 4/8 | 7 | 9-10 | 79 | 60A | 80A | Kieran Shoemark | 3/1F |
| 28 Sep 25+16d | Epsom Downs | Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Held up early on the wide side - stayed off the pace through the middle stages - improved wide of rivals approaching 2f out and moved into second - drifted left in the closing stages and could not trouble the winner | 2/10 | 4¼ | 8-12 | 79 | 93A | 80A | Luke Catton | 11/1 |
| 12 Sep 25+14d | Sandown | Aspall Handicap Awkward start - settled among the pack - pushed along 2f out then faded inside final furlong | 6/12 | 5½ | 10-2 | 80 | 79C | 74C | Pat Cosgrave | 6/1 |
| 29 Aug 25+4d | Sandown | National Racehorse Week Handicap Sat close to the front pack early - urged forward with two furlongs left - driven out but stayed at one level from inside the final furlong - finished fourth | 4/11 | 1 | 10-3 | 81 | 94B | 91A | Pat Cosgrave | 5/1 |
| 25 Aug 25+25d | Epsom Downs | Robin Grossmith Memorial Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Went straight to front - lost advantage after 2f - held place close up - tracking front-runners from 3f out - urged along under pressure with 2f left - kept going but couldn't match front two at the finish - third | 3/8 | ½ | 10-3 | 81 | 94A | 90A | Pat Cosgrave | 7/2 |
| 31 Jul 25+7d | Epsom Downs | Sporting Times Sri Lanka Apprentice Handicap Settled among the front group early - made ground on the pace by 2f - fought for the advantage into the straight - hit the front over 2f out - pushed clear inside the final furlong - well clear and allowed to idle to the line - comfortable winner | 1/5 | 9-11 | 75 | 88C | 95B | Luke Catton | 7/4 | |
| 24 Jul 25+66d | Yarmouth | Racing League Race 1 Handicap (Trainers Registered to Racing League) (GBBPlus Race) Settled in the pack - urged forward 3f out - drifted left approaching 2f out - asked for effort and hung with head high inside final furlong - stayed on but not troubling the front rank | 4/12 | 1 | 9-2 | 75 | 65A | 80A | Billy Loughnane | 6/1 |
| 19 May 25+27d | Windsor | Knightsbridge Circle Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Travelled strongly early - close up behind the pace before drifting left under pressure from 2f out - faded in the closing furlong to finish 7th | 7/12 | ½ | 9-7 | 76 | 119A | 78A | Pat Cosgrave | 9/2 |
| 22 Apr 25+10d | Epsom Downs | Weatherbys Global Stallions App Great Metropolitan Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Held up in rear towards the back - drifted markedly left on the slope with two furlongs left - rallied under a furlong out though still drifting left - edged out for third and never a threat to the winner | 4/11 | hd | 8-6 | 78 | 103A | 80A | Saffie Osborne | 11/1 |
| 12 Apr 25+173d | Brighton | John Charles Heal Memorial Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled in the pack early - closed on the front group with 4f left - moved into second 3f out - pushed along with a furlong to travel - faded in the closing stages to finish third | 3/7 | 3¾ | 9-9 | 78 | 77A | 84A | Pat Cosgrave | 4/1 |
| 2024 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 21 Oct 24+33d | Bath | On Course Values Online DragonBet Handicap Handy early - slipped back through the pack - lost touch under pressure 4f out - stayed on late to grab second inside the final furlong | 2/7 | 8½ | 9-3 | 78 | 106A | 82A | Joe Leavy | 11/10F |
| 18 Sep 24+9d | Sandown | Hwfa Williams Handicap Settled off the pace in the pack - moved across to the left approaching 3f out - made progress from 2f out - improved into second and drifted right inside the final furlong - hit the front soon after - opened up a big advantage before the finish and kept going to the line | 1/8 | 9-2 | 67 | 97A | 78A | Pat Cosgrave | 11/4F | |
| 09 Sep 24+45d | Brighton | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 'Confined' Handicap Handy early - eased into contention 3f out and hit the front under pressure - stayed on into the last furlong - drew away close home | 1/8 | 9-7 | 67 | 107A | 89A | Hollie Doyle | 10/3 | |
| 26 Jul 24+36d | Sandown | Freed From Desire Handicap | 5/7 | ½ | 8-12 | 69 | 87B | 65A | Pat Cosgrave | 14/1 |
| 20 Jun 24+10d | Ripon | Masons ''Who Dares, Gins'' Handicap | 3/6 | 1½ | 9-7 | 70 | 87A | 68B | Tom Eaves | 14/1 |
| 10 Jun 24+121d | Carlisle | Every Race Live On RacingTV Handicap | 4/5 | ¾ | 9-7 | 70 | 119C | 72B | Hayley Turner | 18/1 |
| 10 Feb 24+63d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Stay Golden With Betmgm Safer Gambling Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 5/7 | hd | 9-7 | — | 76A | 64A | Hayley Turner | 20/1 |
| 2023 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 09 Dec 23+28d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Boost Your Acca With BetMGM EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 8/12 | nk | 9-7 | — | 59A | 62A | Hayley Turner | 150/1 |
| 11 Nov 23 | Chelmsford City (AW) | Lookers Ford Sponsorship EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 7/9 | 1 | 9-4 | — | 83A | 61A | Callum Shepherd | 50/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Carnival Day won?
- Carnival Day (IRE) won 4 of 27 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 14.8%. Placed 10 times in total (37% of starts).
- Who trains Carnival Day?
- Carnival Day (IRE) is trained by Jim Boyle, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 14 October 2026.
- Who is Carnival Day's sire?
- Carnival Day (IRE) is by Invincible Spirit (IRE) out of Mardie Gras (GB), whose sire is Galileo.
- What going does Carnival Day prefer?
- Carnival Day (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Carnival Day's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 77, from the run on 14 October 2026. The highest on record is 81.
- What is Carnival Day's sire's record?
- Invincible Spirit (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.9% of 20,858 runs since Jan 2008 (1,574 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.
- Who are Carnival Day's siblings?
- Out of Mardie Gras (GB), Carnival Day (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Shamardalah (GB) (1). The wins came over 1m4f. As at Nov 2026.