Ernesto (GER)
Ernesto (GER) is 3 from 34, all wins coming at Class 4 level. Hasn't won since Oct 2022. Every win has come on good or faster ground (0 from 9 on softer). Last raced off 91, 27lb below the career-high mark.
- 3–34Wins / Runs
- 8.8%Strike rate
- 6 (17.6%)Placed
- −23.00£1 level staken=34 at SP
- 0.98Fair A/E n=34 · 0.87 incl. margin
- 118Highest OR
- 35dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 121
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 9 | 134A | 109 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 120C | 111 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 135A | 101 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 6 | 135A | 109 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 5 | 134A | 109 | — |
| Over 3m | 3 | 120C | 111 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1 | — | — | — |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 6 | 118A | 95.5 | — |
| Good | 4 | 130C | 102 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 86C | 72.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 10 | 130C | 93 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 118A | 91 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 34 runs looked at, 5 have no figure: did not complete (3) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1) · no standard for this course, surface and code on the window (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 29 figures from 34 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.4% of 1,205 runs since Jan 2008 (146 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 3.8% from 104. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.9% from 101.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −8.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 58 | 7 | 12.1% | +3.7 | 2 from 9 |
| Good | 209 | 22 | 10.5% | +2.1 | 1 from 14 |
| Good to Soft | 182 | 16 | 8.8% | +0.4 | 0 from 4 |
| Soft | 246 | 17 | 6.9% | −1.5 | 0 from 5 |
| Heavy | 104 | 4 | 3.8% | −4.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 404 | 35 | 8.7% | +0.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 4 | 1 | 25% | +16.6 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 176 | 13 | 7.4% | −1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 258 | 15 | 5.8% | −2.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 383 | 31 | 8.1% | −0.3 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 215 | 21 | 9.8% | +1.4 | 0 from 12 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 101 | 13 | 12.9% | +4.5 | 2 from 9 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 59 | 6 | 10.2% | +1.8 | 0 from 7 |
| Over 3m | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | +2.7 | 1 from 5 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 13 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
8 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Edington (GER) (2 wins).
The wins came over 7½f–3m½f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Ephraim (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edington (GER) | 16 | 2 | 1m4f–1m4½f | — |
| Ephraim (GB) | 4 | 1 | 3m½f | Class 4 |
| Emelda (GER) | 3 | 1 | 7½f | — |
| Estrelle (GER) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
| Egerton (GER) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Enora (GER) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Ephigenie (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Erkan (GER) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 14 | 1 | 7% | −9.00 |
| Good to Firm | 9 | 2 | 22% | −3.00 |
| Soft | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 14 | 3 | 21% | −3.00 |
| Class 2 | 10 | 0 | 0% | −10.00 |
| Class 3 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Class 5 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warwick | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Ascot | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Uttoxeter | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| Doncaster | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newmarket | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ffos Las | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Worcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Exeter | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.25 |
| Market Rasen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 9 | 2 | 22% | −1.75 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Over 3m | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.25 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Dunne | 8 | 3 | 38% | +3.00 |
| Daire McConville | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Charlie Todd | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jim Crowley | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ben Curtis | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Trevor Whelan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Alice Stevens | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ben Sanderson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Theodore Ladd | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Egan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Buckley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dougie Costello | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mollie Phillips | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| William Buick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bryony Frost | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Probert | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Stevie Donohoe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie + visor | 11 | 1 | 9% | −7.25 |
| None | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 6 | 2 | 33% | +1.25 |
| Tongue tie | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2022 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −5.25 |
| 2021 | 13 | 2 | 15% | −5.75 |
| 2020 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 19 | 3 | 16% | −8.00 |
| Flat | 14 | 0 | 0% | −14.00 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Ernesto (GER) won?
- Ernesto (GER) won 3 of 34 archived starts between 2020 and 2023, a strike rate of 8.8%. Placed 6 times in total (17.6% of starts).
- Who trained Ernesto (GER)?
- Ernesto (GER) was trained by Ian Williams on the most recent run on record, at Newton Abbot on 22 August 2023.
- Who is Ernesto (GER)'s sire?
- Ernesto (GER) is by Reliable Man (GB) out of Enrica (GB), whose sire is Niniski.
- What going does Ernesto (GER) prefer?
- Ernesto (GER) has the best record on good to firm going: 2 wins from 9 starts (22.2%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Ernesto (GER)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 91, from the run on 22 August 2023. The highest on record is 118.
- What is Ernesto (GER)'s sire's record?
- Reliable Man (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.4% of 1,205 runs since Jan 2008 (146 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 3.8% from 104. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.9% from 101.
- Who are Ernesto (GER)'s siblings?
- Out of Enrica (GB), Ernesto (GER) has 8 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Edington (GER) (2). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Ephraim (GB)). The wins came over 7½f–3m½f. As at Oct 2026.