What is Mollie Phillips's strike rate?

Mollie Phillips has won 44 of 473 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mollie Phillips do best at?

Brighton by strike rate: 8 wins from 59 rides (13.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Mollie Phillips ride most for?

Tony Carroll, with 342 rides since 2022 — 72% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (8.8%).

What is Mollie Phillips's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 471 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mollie Phillips

473 rides in the last 5 seasons · 171 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2023 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)

from 1 Jan 2022

44–473

Wins / Runs

9.3%

Strike rate

n=473

127 (27%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=471 · 0.88 incl. margin

−51.11

£1 level stake

n=473 at SP · −10.8%

£379k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (41 rides). Rides mostly for Tony Carroll — 72% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 473 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb Tony Carroll: 8.8% from 342 LTO winners: 17.1%

The read

The record is strongest at Brighton (13.6%, n=59), clear of the rider's 9.3% baseline. It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (3.3% over 30 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.1% (n=41, Fair A/E 1.00), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 6.3% (n=64, Fair A/E 1.30). Tony Carroll supplies 72% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.8%, A/E 0.94). The rider also reads well on Good to Firm going (14.3%, n=91) and off a 31-60-day break (14.3%, n=91). The standout partner of the record: Cherish (FR) — 7 wins from 18 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.3% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.3%−1.0

n=133 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −40.22

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17.1%+7.8

n=41 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −6.89

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.3%−3.0

n=64 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +0.00

When favourite

30.8%

n=26 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −2.64

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.9%−0.4

n=436 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −90.11

Big fields · 14+ runners

8.1%−1.2

n=37 · A/E 1.61 · £1 −1.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.1% vs 9.3% · n=41

On Good to Firm going 14.3% vs 9.3% · n=91

Off a 31-60-day break 14.3% vs 9.3% · n=91

Off a 0-7-day break 15% vs 9.3% · n=40

At Kempton (AW) 3.3% vs 9.3% · n=30

At Brighton 13.6% vs 9.3% · n=59

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 223 16 7.2% −67.01

Good to Firm 91 13 14.3% −7.26

Good 76 7 9.2% −10.42

Good to Soft 45 3 6.7% −10.00

Soft 32 4 12.5% +46.58

Firm 5 1 20% −2.00

Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 87 10 11.5% +37.37

Brighton 59 8 13.6% −20.59

Lingfield (AW) 55 3 5.5% −34.00

Chepstow 47 4 8.5% +3.20

Bath 33 2 6.1% −5.67

Kempton (AW) 30 1 3.3% −26.25

Windsor 30 3 10% −16.50

Chelmsford City (AW) 29 2 6.9% −22.13

Southwell (AW) 22 0 0% −22.00

Leicester 21 3 14.3% +2.75

Ffos Las 11 1 9.1% +0.00

Goodwood 11 0 0% −11.00

Salisbury 7 2 28.6% +4.50

Nottingham 5 0 0% −5.00

Chester 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 266 24 9% −68.26

Class 5 131 12 9.2% +40.20

Class 4 57 5 8.8% −16.55

Class 2 10 2 20% +0.00

Class 3 9 1 11.1% −6.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 30 10 33.3% 1.22 +2.69

2nd–3rd fav 88 17 19.3% 1.14 −9.80

4th–6th fav 166 9 5.4% 0.67 −64.00

7th+ in betting 189 8 4.2% 1.27 +20.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Poetic Force (IRE) 22 3 9 19 Oct 23

Under Curfew (GB) 20 0 5 30 Sep 23

Fieldsman (USA) 17 1 6 10 Aug 23

Temur Khan (GB) 13 2 4 11 Sep 23

Winnetka (IRE) 11 2 4 29 Mar 23

Eastern Star (IRE) 11 1 6 24 Feb 23

Our Man In Havana (GB) 10 1 2 8 Aug 23

Mintana (GB) 10 2 4 12 Jul 23

Doc Sportello (IRE) 9 0 1 27 Oct 23

Destinado (GB) 9 1 5 18 Apr 23

Cherish (FR) 9 1 5 11 Jan 23

Be Fair (GB) 8 1 5 4 Mar 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 171 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1516099762183110

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardTony Carroll

72% of all rides
8.8% SR · A/E 0.94

TrainerRWSR£1

Tony Carroll 342 30 8.8% −86.90

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→

Archived wins

£574k

Prize money

2021

Best season · 27 wins

Dream Composer (FR) — Peroni Nastro Azzurro Handicap Ascot · Oct 2022 · Class 2

£16,200

Resilience (GB) — Fitzdares Sprint Series Qualifier Handicap Windsor · May 2022 · Class 2

£10,468

Kensington Agent (FR) — Fairwood Brasserie Fillies' Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Feb 2023 · Class 4

£7,066

Notable horses

Cherish (FR) Under Curfew (GB) Fieldsman (USA) Poetic Force (IRE) Winnetka (IRE) Temur Khan (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lope De Vega (IRE) 11.4% · 4–35

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,219 runs since 2014 (1,108 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 960.

Stimulation (IRE) 0% · 0–20

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,725 runs since 2014 (100 horses). Strongest on Good going: 11.4% from 368. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.3% from 146.

Hard Spun (USA) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 12.2% of 1,389 runs since 2011 (120 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 8.2% from 147. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 15.3% from 476. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 9.2% from 282.

Camacho (GB) 12.5% · 2–16

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,325 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Coach House (IRE) 0% · 0–15

Progeny have won 8.6% of 2,481 runs since 2018 (145 horses).

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 13.3% · 2–15

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,493 runs since 2011 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 735 · newest first

The latest 50 of 735 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 May 2019 to 27 October 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 Oct 23 Lingfield (AW) Doc Sportello (IRE)T: Tony Carroll BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 7th 14/1

26 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Al Kherb (GB)T: Tony Carroll Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 80/1

21 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Savannah Song (GB)T: Tony Carroll Build Your Acca With BetUK Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 250/1

21 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Doc Sportello (IRE)T: Tony Carroll BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 50/1

21 Oct 23 Wolverhampton (AW) Boujee Gold (GB)T: Tony Carroll Win 2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 20/1

19 Oct 23 Brighton Poetic Force (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 14/1

19 Oct 23 Brighton Send In The Clouds (GB)T: Tony Carroll At The Races App Market Movers Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 10f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 4/1

18 Oct 23 Kempton (AW) Snow Boots (GB)T: Tony Carroll Unibet Horserace Betting-Operator Of The Year NurseryClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 11th 14/1

10 Oct 23 Southwell (AW) Sugar Hill Babe (IRE)T: Lisa Williamson Southwell Golf Course Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 6/1

09 Oct 23 Windsor Pride Of Hawridge (IRE)T: Stuart Edmunds At The Races App Form Study Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 11.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 33/1

07 Oct 23 Newmarket Caradonna (GB)T: Derek Shaw 150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 6f · Good To Firm · 22 ran 22nd 250/1

05 Oct 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Maid For Harry (GB)T: William Stone Remembrance Raceday 11th November Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 50/1

30 Sep 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Under Curfew (GB)T: Tony Carroll Firework Spectacular At Chelmsford City Racecourse Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 9/4F

30 Sep 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Sassy Redhead (GB)T: William Stone Chelmsford City Racecourse Membership HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 28/1

25 Sep 23 Leicester Holbache (GB)T: Tony Carroll Hi-chrome Lift Services HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 8th 9/1

25 Sep 23 Leicester Local Bay (GB)T: Tony Carroll Join Racing TV Today Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 7th 10/1

21 Sep 23 Chelmsford City (AW) Young Winston (GB)T: Tony Carroll Betsi HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 4/1

18 Sep 23 Brighton Doc Sportello (IRE)T: Tony Carroll Sky Sports Racing Hd Virgin 519 HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 28/1

18 Sep 23 Brighton Send In The Clouds (GB)T: Tony Carroll At The Races App Form Study Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 4/1J

16 Sep 23 Bath You Are Everything (FR)T: Tony Carroll Neil Kellar 60th Birthday HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mollie Phillips's strike rate?: Mollie Phillips has won 44 of 473 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mollie Phillips do best at?: Brighton by strike rate: 8 wins from 59 rides (13.6%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mollie Phillips ride most for?: Tony Carroll, with 342 rides since 2022 — 72% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (8.8%).
What is Mollie Phillips's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 471 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.