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Jockey profile

Alan Persse

870 rides in the lifetime window · 472 individual horses
As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 9 days ago 100% of rides on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
31–870
Wins / Runs
3.6%
Strike rate
n=870
113 (13%)
Placed
0.84
Fair A/E
n=868 · 0.66 incl. margin
−372.25
£1 level stake
n=870 at SP · −42.8%
£454k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.6%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 10% (41 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 870 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 13 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 8% from 137 LTO winners: 9.8%
The read

It is weakest at Naas (0% over 45 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 9.8% (n=41, Fair A/E 0.94). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 2.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.61 and −311.25 to a £1 stake over 472 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Joseph Patrick O'Brien supplies 16% of the rides and edges the rider's average (8% vs 3.6%, A/E 1.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (7.3%, n=191).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
2.3%−1.3
n=472 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −311.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
9.8%+6.2
n=41 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −8.50
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
2.2%−1.4
n=185 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −103.00
When favourite
20%
n=10 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −4.25
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
3.6%+0.0
n=859 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −361.25
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.8%−0.8
n=532 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −341.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 9.8% vs 3.6% · n=41
With Joseph Patrick O'Brien 8% vs 3.6% · n=137
Off a 8-14-day break 7.3% vs 3.6% · n=191
With headgear back on 0% vs 3.6% · n=54
At Naas 0% vs 3.6% · n=45
At Limerick 0% vs 3.6% · n=38
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 312 15 4.8% −51.75
Good 203 3 1.5% −155.00
Soft 183 8 4.4% −84.50
Good to Firm 62 1 1.6% −36.00
Heavy 58 2 3.4% −30.00
Good to Soft 52 2 3.8% −15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 297 14 4.7% −44.75
Gowran Park 81 1 1.2% −55.00
Curragh 57 3 5.3% −22.00
Cork 48 1 2.1% −42.50
Navan 47 3 6.4% −4.00
Naas 45 0 0% −45.00
Leopardstown 43 2 4.7% −26.00
Limerick 38 0 0% −38.00
Killarney 26 2 7.7% +2.00
Tipperary 26 1 3.8% +0.00
Fairyhouse 20 0 0% −20.00
Bellewstown 17 0 0% −17.00
Roscommon 16 2 12.5% +36.00
Listowel 14 1 7.1% −9.00
Down Royal 14 0 0% −14.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 12 1 8.3% −4.00
Class 6 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 4 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 15 2 13.3% 0.63 −9.25
2nd–3rd fav 58 6 10.3% 0.82 −18.00
4th–6th fav 136 10 7.4% 1.08 −17.00
7th+ in betting 661 13 2% 0.76 −328.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Hinemoa (FR) 16 2 6 3 Jul 24
Lady Of Luxury (IRE) 14 2 5 23 Sep 22
My Lark (IRE) 12 1 3 15 Jan 21
Akeela (GB) 11 0 3 21 May 25
Jake Peter (IRE) 10 1 1 17 Aug 24
Happenstance (IRE) 10 1 1 1 Nov 23
Windsor Diamond (IRE) 10 0 1 7 Jul 21
Duke Otto (IRE) 9 0 1 26 Nov 25
Bardo Contiguo (IRE) 9 0 1 8 Nov 23
Dancing Doll (IRE) 9 0 1 24 May 22
Monsieur Piquer (FR) 8 0 0 15 Aug 22
Surviving Murmansk (IRE) 7 0 0 7 Jul 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 472 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
723731227180
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJoseph Patrick O'Brien
16% of all rides
8% SR · A/E 1.14
TrainerRWSR£1
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 137 11 8% −21.25
Patrick J Flynn 126 5 4% −57.00
M A Cahill 82 5 6.1% +15.00
Eoin Doyle 41 2 4.9% −21.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→
31
Archived wins
£454k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 6 wins
Key Witness (IRE) — 1xBet.ie Proudly Supporting Irish Racing Mile Handicap Curragh · Apr 2026
£29,450
Damselfly (IRE) — TheTote.com Irish EBF Fillies Nursery (Plus 10) Leopardstown · Oct 2017
£19,988
Key Witness (IRE) — Book Tickets Online At CorkRacecourse.ie Handicap Cork · May 2026
£14,725
Notable horses
Key Witness (IRE) Hinemoa (FR) Lady Of Luxury (IRE) My Lark (IRE) Jake Peter (IRE) Happenstance (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Free Eagle (IRE) 0% · 0–28
Progeny have won 10.6% of 2,420 runs since 2019 (190 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.1% from 132.
Requinto (IRE) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,459 runs since 2016 (162 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.5% from 223.
Camacho (GB) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,327 runs since 2009 (596 horses).
Rip Van Winkle (IRE) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,947 runs since 2014 (324 horses).
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,875 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.
Canford Cliffs (IRE) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,091 runs since 2015 (314 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 263.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 870 · newest first

The latest 50 of 870 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 July 2017 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Lolapipa (IRE)T: M A Cahill Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Median Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 200/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Lolapipa (IRE)T: M A Cahill Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 125/1
28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Auguste Gusteau (IRE)T: M A Cahill Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)7f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 25/1
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Key Witness (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Naas Racecourse Handicap7f · Soft · 10 ran 2nd 14/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Mothel Abbey (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 9th 200/1
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Tears I Nevercried (IRE)T: M A Cahill Spin Southwest Maiden11f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 150/1
29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Jordan Breeze (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn WTW Willis Handicap6f · Soft · 19 ran 8th 16/1
29 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Lolapipa (IRE)T: M A Cahill Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 11th 200/1
21 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Mothel Abbey (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Tote, Never Beaten By SP Maiden8f · Yielding · 14 ran 10th 125/1
30 Aug 26 Cork (IRE) Hurleys Hill (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Cork Maiden6f · Yielding · 16 ran 16th 300/1
12 Aug 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Highlander Addict (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden9.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th 125/1
06 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Imperial Dream (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Carnival de Leop Handicap7f · Good · 17 ran 15th 18/1
06 Aug 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Mothel Abbey (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden9f · Good · 14 ran 8th 250/1
31 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Ocean Fire (IRE)T: R P Cody Guinness Irish EBF Fillies Maiden12f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 5th 250/1
24 Jul 26 Cork (IRE) Niobite (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Follow Us On Social Media Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 19 ran 17th 50/1
18 Jul 26 Curragh (IRE) Imperial Dream (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn WTW Willis Handicap5f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 15th 50/1
11 Jul 26 Limerick Ocean Fire (IRE)T: R P Cody Conference & Banqueting Facilities At Limerick Median Auction Fillies Maiden12.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 50/1
08 Jul 26 Fairyhouse Imperial Dream (IRE)T: Patrick J Flynn Racing Again September 21st Handicap7f · Good · 15 ran 13th 66/1
07 Jul 26 Tramore Surviving Murmansk (IRE)T: James M Barcoe Tote Tramore Derby Handicap (0-60)12f · Good · 12 ran 10th 40/1
04 Jul 26 Naas Jewels Legacy (IRE)T: M A Cahill Care At Home Handicap (0-60)11f · Good · 16 ran 16th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 10 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Alan Persse's strike rate?
Alan Persse has won 31 of 870 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.6% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alan Persse do best at?
Navan by strike rate: 3 wins from 47 rides (6.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Alan Persse ride most for?
Joseph Patrick O'Brien, with 137 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 11 (8%).
Is Alan Persse in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alan Persse's Fair A/E?
0.84, from 868 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 13 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).