What is Ben Robinson's strike rate?

Ben Robinson has won 286 of 3,301 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ben Robinson do best at?

Hamilton by strike rate: 12 wins from 91 rides (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ben Robinson ride most for?

Brian Ellison, with 1,720 rides since 2008 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 171 (9.9%).

What is Ben Robinson's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 3,280 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ben Robinson

3,301 rides in the lifetime window · 1,152 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 87 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

286–3,301

Wins / Runs

8.7%

Strike rate

n=3,301

880 (27%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=3,280 · 0.85 incl. margin

−813.75

£1 level stake

n=3,301 at SP · −24.7%

£3.26m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 170 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (256 rides). Rides mostly for Brian Ellison — 52% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,301 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 32.5% when favourite Brian Ellison: 9.9% from 1,720 LTO winners: 16.8% Claiming: 9.9% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

It is weakest at Haydock (0% over 52 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.8% (n=256, Fair A/E 0.98), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 0% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.59 and −230.42 to a £1 stake over 459 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Brian Ellison supplies 52% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.9%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (16%, n=238). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 36 rides, 8.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.39 across 190 rides (2.1% strike, −137.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The standout partner of the record: Northern Spirit (GB) — 6 wins from 32 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7%−1.7

n=1,152 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −171.10

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.8%+8.1

n=256 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −35.12

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.9%−4.8

n=459 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −230.42

When favourite

32.5%

n=209 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −4.01

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.9%+1.2

n=885 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −203.87

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.6%−3.1

n=480 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −164.68

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.7

n=36 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −36.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.8% vs 8.7% · n=256

Off a 0-7-day break 16% vs 8.7% · n=238

Off a break of 180+ days 2.1% vs 8.7% · n=190

At Haydock 0% vs 8.7% · n=52

In Class 1 0% vs 8.7% · n=36

In Group / Graded races 0% vs 8.7% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,290 284 8.6% −810.08

NH Flat 11 2 18.2% −3.67

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,380 132 9.6% −132.16

Good 650 46 7.1% −172.53

Good to Firm 599 54 9% −231.19

Good to Soft 324 27 8.3% −122.51

Soft 265 20 7.5% −134.94

Heavy 73 7 9.6% −10.42

Firm 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 774 76 9.8% −132.05

Wolverhampton (AW) 300 27 9% +15.77

Beverley 256 18 7% −34.56

Southwell (AW) 225 19 8.4% −32.84

Thirsk 180 9 5% −132.20

Redcar 156 12 7.7% −81.79

Catterick 153 18 11.8% −30.99

Musselburgh 148 16 10.8% −45.33

Ayr 139 13 9.4% −22.50

York 118 8 6.8% +9.33

Doncaster 110 7 6.4% −23.50

Pontefract 95 7 7.4% −49.00

Hamilton 91 12 13.2% +1.79

Nottingham 82 8 9.8% −17.00

Ripon 61 3 4.9% −47.88

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,189 127 10.7% −109.45

Class 5 1,085 89 8.2% −350.27

Class 4 601 44 7.3% −206.85

Class 3 197 18 9.1% −32.18

Class 2 169 6 3.6% −84.50

Class 1 36 0 0% −36.00

Class 7 17 2 11.8% +12.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 258 78 30.2% 1.14 −12.93

2nd–3rd fav 591 91 15.4% 0.97 −96.82

4th–6th fav 1,037 82 7.9% 1.00 −210.00

7th+ in betting 1,415 35 2.5% 0.78 −494.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Northern Spirit (GB) 32 6 14 12 Apr 26

Reclaim Victory (IRE) 28 2 12 17 Jan 24

Onesmoothoperator (USA) 25 2 9 23 Aug 25

Freddy Robinson (GB) 24 1 14 27 May 26

Tashkhan (IRE) 21 1 6 8 Nov 25

Christmas Night (GB) 21 1 10 4 Jun 21

The Dancing Poet (GB) 20 3 8 13 Apr 25

Chillhi (IRE) 19 2 3 12 Mar 25

Paddy Elliott (IRE) 19 1 4 14 Jun 22

Callianassa (IRE) 17 2 6 6 Mar 26

Oscar Doodle (GB) 16 4 9 26 Apr 24

Nicholas T (GB) 16 4 8 2 Mar 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,152 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

10101149711997118

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardBrian Ellison

52% of all rides
9.9% SR · A/E 1.02

TrainerRWSR£1

Brian Ellison 1,720 171 9.9% −452.00

Ollie Pears 258 23 8.9% −105.52

David O'Meara 194 14 7.2% −37.17

Paul Midgley 161 10 6.2% −55.13

Linda Perratt 87 7 8% −30.00

Jim Goldie 86 9 10.5% +19.50

John O'Shea 61 8 13.1% +4.50

Tim Easterby 48 6 12.5% +2.83

John Quinn 47 6 12.8% −11.42

David Barron 30 1 3.3% −25.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

286

Archived wins

£3.26m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 38 wins

Nicholas T (GB) — William Hill Northumberland Plate Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Newcastle (AW) · Jun 2021 · Class 2

£81,000

Tashkhan (IRE) — Watergate Cup Handicap Chester · Sep 2023 · Class 2

£40,768

Onesmoothoperator (USA) — Virgin Bet November Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Nov 2023 · Class 2

£36,078

Notable horses

Northern Spirit (GB) Oscar Doodle (GB) Nicholas T (GB) Little Jo (GB) Major Valentine (GB) Pallas Dancer (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 12.2% · 12–98

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (929 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Adaay (IRE) 10% · 7–70

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,968 runs since 2020 (192 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6% from 499.

Kodiac (GB) 5% · 3–60

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,605 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Born To Sea (IRE) 9.3% · 5–54

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,297 runs since 2016 (309 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.5% from 869. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 725.

Camacho (GB) 1.9% · 1–54

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,327 runs since 2009 (596 horses).

Profitable (IRE) 9.6% · 5–52

Progeny have won 9.5% of 4,452 runs since 2021 (358 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,301 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,301 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 28 March 2016 to 20 August 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Aug 26 Newcastle (AW) Miss Veronika (GB)T: Brian Ellison Trusted Betting Site Reviews Gambling.com Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 66/1

15 Aug 26 Ripon War And Love (GB)T: Brian Ellison Harrogate Comedy Festival Coming This Autumn Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 13 ran F 40/1

15 Aug 26 Ripon Tolstoy (IRE)T: Brian Ellison William Hill Supporting MND Silver Cup Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 20 ran 17th 40/1

15 Aug 26 Ripon Taj Mahal Palace (GB)T: Brian Ellison Racing For Tamara Ripon Hornblower EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 6f · Good · 5 ran 5th 20/1

14 Aug 26 Thirsk Bloodsweatandtyres (GB)T: Brian Ellison Malton Marquees Racing Through The Summer Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 15 ran 12th 33/1

13 Aug 26 Beverley Amantha (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Hornsea Ladies At The Races Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 9/2

13 Aug 26 Beverley Concert Pitch (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Welcome Racing TV Club Members Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 1st 8/15F

12 Aug 26 Beverley Qila (GB)T: Brian Ellison Nation Radio Yorkshire Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 9/2C

12 Aug 26 Beverley Homestrait (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Jill Willows Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 14/1

12 Aug 26 Beverley Taj Mahal Palace (GB)T: Brian Ellison Macan At Porsche Centre Hull EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 18/1

11 Aug 26 Carlisle Only Dream Big (GB)T: Tim Easterby Racing Again Wednesday 19th August Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 9/4

11 Aug 26 Carlisle Maldevious (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Christmas Community Raceday 13th Dec Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 5th 6/1

11 Aug 26 Carlisle Concert Pitch (IRE)T: Brian Ellison Colin Parker Raceday 1st Nov Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 9/4

09 Aug 26 Leicester Evening Blues (IRE)T: Stephen Hanlon ADS Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 3/1

08 Aug 26 Redcar War And Love (GB)T: Brian Ellison Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 3rd 10/1

07 Aug 26 Thirsk Qila (GB)T: Brian Ellison Ladies' Day Saturday 5th September - Book Now Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 12/1

01 Aug 26 Thirsk Maldevious (IRE)T: Brian Ellison John Joseph Robson Memorial Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 1st 15/2

01 Aug 26 Thirsk Obelix (GB)T: Julie Camacho William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good · 15 ran 13th 18/1

01 Aug 26 Thirsk Castan (GB)T: Bryan Smart Jordan Foy Memorial Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 6th 40/1

01 Aug 26 Thirsk Suenicora Star (GB)T: Brian Ellison John & Paula 25th Wedding Anniversary Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ben Robinson's strike rate?: Ben Robinson has won 286 of 3,301 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.7% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ben Robinson do best at?: Hamilton by strike rate: 12 wins from 91 rides (13.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ben Robinson ride most for?: Brian Ellison, with 1,720 rides since 2008 — 52% of the total. That pairing has won 171 (9.9%).
What is Ben Robinson's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 3,280 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.