What is Laura Horsfall's strike rate?

Laura Horsfall has won 20 of 249 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Who rides most for Laura Horsfall?

Kevin Brogan, with 70 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (8.6%).

Is Laura Horsfall in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Laura Horsfall's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 249 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Laura Horsfall

249 runners in the last 5 seasons · 42 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 8 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

20–249

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=249

61 (25%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=249 · 0.93 incl. margin

−11.67

£1 level stake

n=249 at SP · −4.7%

£185k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.08). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 10% off breaks of two months or more (51 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 249 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 9.8% Kevin Brogan: 8.6% from 70

The read

Kevin Brogan rides 28% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.6%, A/E 1.04) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The market has also underrated the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 1.19 across 56 runners (10.7% strike, +19.50 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 1.5% over 65 runners, 6.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.49 across 57 runners (3.5% strike, −34.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Jalisco Star (IRE) — 5 wins from 22 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

9.8%+1.8

n=51 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +22.83

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−8.0

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Debutants · first career start

4.2%−3.8

n=24 · A/E 0.91 · £1 +5.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.7%−1.3

n=15 · A/E 3.12 · £1 +26.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

33.3%+25.3

n=6 · A/E 3.79 · £1 +10.33

When favourite

22.2%

n=9 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −3.50

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.4%−1.6

n=94 · A/E 0.90 · £1 +16.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.0

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 1.5% vs 8% · n=65

Off a 31-60-day break 3.5% vs 8% · n=57

Over 2m5f – 3m 10.7% vs 8% · n=56

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 170 16 9.4% −20.42

NH Flat 31 2 6.5% +39.00

Flat 30 2 6.7% −12.25

Chase 18 0 0% −18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 102 9 8.8% +4.33

Good to Soft 57 4 7% +13.75

Soft 51 4 7.8% −11.00

Standard (AW) 21 1 4.8% −18.25

Heavy 13 2 15.4% +4.50

Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Huntingdon 23 3 13% +7.00

Fontwell 18 1 5.6% −12.50

Southwell 15 0 0% −15.00

Worcester 12 1 8.3% +17.00

Warwick 12 2 16.7% +4.50

Fakenham 12 0 0% −12.00

Stratford 12 1 8.3% −1.00

Uttoxeter 10 1 10% +2.00

Ffos Las 10 3 30% +19.83

Chepstow 9 1 11.1% −6.00

Hereford 8 1 12.5% −4.00

Bangor-on-Dee 7 1 14.3% +5.00

Wetherby 7 1 14.3% +34.00

Sedgefield 6 0 0% −6.00

Kelso 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 111 8 7.2% −10.75

Class 5 106 9 8.5% +10.33

Class 6 15 2 13.3% +2.75

Class 3 12 1 8.3% −9.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 12 2 16.7% 0.69 −6.50

2nd–3rd fav 45 7 15.6% 0.93 −13.17

4th–6th fav 97 7 7.2% 1.20 −5.00

7th+ in betting 95 4 4.2% 1.73 +13.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

82.4% completed · 188 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 18 50% 2 1 5 0 1

Hurdle 170 85.9% 1 2 20 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Jack The Savage (GB) 36 4 9 27 Aug 26

Jalisco Star (IRE)from Thomas Gallagher 22 5 10 11 Oct 26

City Roller (IRE) 16 0 4 17 Jul 24

Bobalot (GB)from Ben Clarke 13 1 6 2 Apr 26

Lexie's Moon (GB) 12 2 6 24 Jan 26

Beaming Light (GB)then David Loughnane 12 0 0 16 Nov 24

Much Too Dear (IRE) 11 0 3 24 Apr 24

Flighttothestars (IRE) 10 0 1 5 Apr 25

Escort'kheops (FR) 9 1 6 31 Mar 26

Jazz Talking (GB) 7 0 0 29 Oct 25

Slemish (IRE) 7 0 1 23 Oct 25

Camacho Man (IRE)from Tony Carroll 7 2 4 21 Dec 24

All 42 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 42 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Philip Hobbs (2) and Thomas Gallagher (2); 27 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard, most often for Evan Williams (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

06161017157001048

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderKevin Brogan

28% of all rides
8.6% SR · A/E 1.04

RiderRWSR£1

Kevin Brogan 70 6 8.6% −18.92

Charlie Price 31 2 6.5% +29.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

Archived wins

£205k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 8 wins

Jalisco Star (IRE) — CopyBet Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Ascot · Nov 2024 · Class 4

£8,265

Jalisco Star (IRE) — fairplaybet.co.uk Bet 10 Get 10 Mares' Handicap Hurdle Chepstow · Feb 2026 · Class 3

£5,868

Sky Grove (IRE) — Mike Mohan's 60th Birthday 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Warwick · May 2026 · Class 4

£5,446

Notable horses

Jalisco Star (IRE) Jack The Savage (GB) Lexie's Moon (GB) Camacho Man (IRE) Long Symphony (IRE) Just A Whim (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Passing Glance (GB) 10.8% · 4–37

Progeny have won 12.4% of 3,531 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.8% from 221. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.3% from 289. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 110. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.8% from 171.

Mahler (GB) 26.9% · 7–26

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Scorpion (IRE) 0% · 0–22

Progeny have won 9.2% of 6,313 runs since 2008 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 141.

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 0% · 0–16

Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,813 runs since 2008 (678 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,914 runs since 2008 (1,026 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.

Camelot (GB) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 11.7% of 7,680 runs since 2008 (752 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 324 · newest first

The latest 50 of 324 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 May 2016 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Oct 26 Southwell Madethempay (GB)J: Benjamin Macey Case Ih Dealer Network Top Class Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 25/1

11 Oct 26 Chepstow Jalisco Star (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Dragonbet Cefnogi Rasio Ceffylau Cymreig Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 10/1

28 Aug 26 Fontwell Short SymphonyJ: Bryan Carver Download The At The Races App Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 50/1

27 Aug 26 Newton Abbot Jack The Savage (GB)J: Sean Bowen Compwiz Ltd - It Solutions For Business Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 26.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 7/2

16 Jul 26 Worcester Witheros Hill (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Copybet Support Safer Gambling Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23f · Good · 5 ran 4th 50/1

07 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Naiad (IRE)J: Gavin Sheehan CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 10/3

05 Jul 26 Market Rasen Jack The Savage (GB)J: Sean Bowen Stay At The Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Park Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 12 ran 4th 9/1

10 Jun 26 Fontwell Jack The Savage (GB)J: Sean Bowen Cathedral Wealth Ahead Of The Field Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26f · Good · 5 ran 1st 9/2

09 May 26 Warwick Sky Grove (IRE)J: Bryan Carver Mike Mohan's 60th Birthday 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 1st 12/1

21 Apr 26 Ffos Las Lancier Des Obeaux (FR)J: Kevin Brogan SWRSL - Dan Ward Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 6th 22/1

19 Apr 26 Stratford Kampari (FR)J: Kevin Brogan Green 4 Motor Company 30th Anniversary Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 13/2

16 Apr 26 Hereford Sky Grove (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Wye Valley Metals Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 11/1

06 Apr 26 Fakenham Crescendo Lady (GB)J: Freddie Gingell Every Race Live On Racing TV Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 5th 25/1

02 Apr 26 Chepstow Bobalot (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder UB40 Live After Racing 24th July Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 11/2

31 Mar 26 Bangor-on-Dee Escort'kheops (FR)J: Kevin Brogan Xenon Workplace Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 11/4

27 Mar 26 Wetherby Jalisco Star (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 5th 5/1

26 Mar 26 Warwick Kampari (FR)J: Kevin Brogan JCB Mini-Excavator Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 1st 5/2

24 Mar 26 Southwell Jack The Savage (GB)J: Isabelle Ryder Free Bets On attheraces.com Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 4/1

19 Mar 26 Sedgefield Kampari (FR)J: Kevin Brogan Paxtons No1 CaseIH Dealer In UK&Ireland Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 7th 33/1

16 Mar 26 Plumpton Escort'kheops (FR)J: Kevin Brogan More Radio Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 7/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Laura Horsfall's strike rate?: Laura Horsfall has won 20 of 249 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for Laura Horsfall?: Kevin Brogan, with 70 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (8.6%).
Is Laura Horsfall in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Laura Horsfall's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 249 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.