What is Bryan Carver's strike rate?

Bryan Carver has won 197 of 1,523 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Bryan Carver do best at?

Plumpton by strike rate: 11 wins from 53 rides (20.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Bryan Carver ride most for?

Harry Fry, with 242 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 46 (19%).

Is Bryan Carver in form?

In the last 14 days: 21 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 4.8%. That is below the baseline of 12.9% since 2008.

What is Bryan Carver's Fair A/E?

1.15, from 1,518 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Bryan Carver

1,523 rides in the lifetime window · 582 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Won yesterday Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

197–1,523

Wins / Runs

12.9%

Strike rate

n=1,523

480 (32%)

Placed

1.15

Fair A/E

n=1,518 · 0.98 incl. margin

−352.39

£1 level stake

n=1,523 at SP · −23.1%

£2.24m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

15%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 80 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.15). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 27% (189 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,523 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Jul 44.5% when favourite Harry Fry: 19% from 242 LTO winners: 27% Claiming: 14.5% Rides the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Plumpton (20.8%, n=53) and Exeter (18.9%, n=159) — all clear of the rider's 12.9% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 27% (n=189, Fair A/E 1.38), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 3.5% (n=57, Fair A/E 0.47). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 5.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.80 and −155.12 to a £1 stake over 246 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 1 from 21 rides in the last 14 days (4.8%, 8.1pts below the 12.9% baseline). Harry Fry supplies 16% of the rides and beats the rider's average (19% vs 12.9%, A/E 1.23) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 2.9% over 70 rides, 10pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the William Hill Formby Novices' Hurdle at Aintree (Dec 2025, £56,950). The standout partner of the record: Time To Bite (IRE) — 10 wins from 36 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.9%−4.0

n=582 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −285.15

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

27%+14.1

n=189 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +0.70

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.2%−4.7

n=401 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −234.11

When favourite

44.5%

n=164 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +31.64

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

14.5%+1.6

n=463 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −33.17

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.7%−7.2

n=246 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −155.12

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.5%−9.4

n=57 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −44.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 27% vs 12.9% · n=189

In Class 1 2.9% vs 12.9% · n=70

In Group / Graded races 3.5% vs 12.9% · n=57

With Harry Fry 19% vs 12.9% · n=242

At Plumpton 20.8% vs 12.9% · n=53

At Exeter 18.9% vs 12.9% · n=159

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 875 103 11.8% −289.06

Chase 505 80 15.8% −31.46

NH Flat 138 14 10.1% −26.87

Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 647 91 14.1% −61.14

Good to Soft 368 42 11.4% −127.66

Soft 301 39 13% −63.07

Heavy 148 15 10.1% −90.35

Good to Firm 49 10 20.4% −0.17

Standard (AW) 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Exeter 159 30 18.9% +47.02

Wincanton 124 12 9.7% −32.57

Taunton 123 11 8.9% −71.71

Chepstow 102 10 9.8% −58.43

Newton Abbot 97 17 17.5% +12.23

Fontwell 81 13 16% −14.71

Uttoxeter 81 14 17.3% −14.26

Worcester 65 7 10.8% −25.04

Warwick 58 11 19% +46.00

Plumpton 53 11 20.8% −7.51

Stratford 52 5 9.6% −32.40

Southwell 42 4 9.5% −16.00

Cheltenham 38 2 5.3% −29.92

Huntingdon 36 2 5.6% −2.50

Ffos Las 35 4 11.4% −16.17

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 639 98 15.3% −112.01

Class 5 505 53 10.5% −121.99

Class 3 174 26 14.9% −17.05

Class 2 121 15 12.4% −42.34

Class 1 70 2 2.9% −57.50

Class 6 9 3 33.3% +3.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 193 82 42.5% 1.39 +37.85

2nd–3rd fav 356 66 18.5% 1.14 −23.74

4th–6th fav 499 42 8.4% 1.05 −84.50

7th+ in betting 475 7 1.5% 0.51 −282.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.6% completed · 1,380 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 505 77.2% 12 11 91 1 0

Hurdle 875 84.1% 11 10 115 0 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Time To Bite (IRE) 36 10 22 13 Nov 26

Opening Bid (GB) 23 7 12 3 May 25

Ez Tiger (IRE) 20 6 11 19 Oct 26

Mayhem Mya (GB) 18 4 7 14 Mar 25

Shortcross Storm (IRE) 17 3 5 5 Jun 24

John W Creasy (IRE) 14 2 3 20 May 26

Man Oh Man (IRE) 13 0 4 10 Sep 26

Grumpy Charley (GB) 13 4 6 18 Feb 23

Troed Y Melin (IRE) 12 2 4 12 Oct 23

Tikkinthebox (IRE) 12 2 6 25 Sep 23

Tile Tapper (GB) 12 3 8 20 Feb 23

Jet Smart (IRE) 11 3 6 14 Nov 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 582 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 21 4.8% · −8.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days4.8%

Lifetime base12.9%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1215141720161641214712

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardHarry Fry

16% of all rides
19% SR · A/E 1.23

TrainerRWSR£1

Harry Fry 242 46 19% −32.32

Chris Honour 214 28 13.1% −23.39

Alex Hales 135 22 16.3% +7.33

Chris Down 111 16 14.4% −42.75

Robert Walford 93 12 12.9% +3.53

Jeremy Scott 83 10 12% −29.25

D Summersby 69 6 8.7% −16.79

Neil Mulholland 49 4 8.2% −25.67

Paul Nicholls 47 7 14.9% −18.96

Ben Case 46 7 15.2% +9.08

Gary Hanmer 37 5 13.5% −17.18

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

197

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.24m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 32 wins

Idaho Sun (IRE) — William Hill Formby Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Aintree · Dec 2025 · Grade 1

£56,950

Gidleigh Park (GB) — Fitzdares Lightning Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Windsor · Jan 2025 · Grade 2

£42,713

Trustintimes (GB) — Lavazza Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race) Ascot · Oct 2026 · Class 2

£32,676

Notable horses

Time To Bite (IRE) Opening Bid (GB) Ez Tiger (IRE) Altobelli (IRE) Trustintimes (GB) Idaho Sun (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Getaway (GER) 20.7% · 12–58

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,049 runs since 2016 (1,035 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Scorpion (IRE) 22.4% · 13–58

Progeny have won 9.1% of 6,330 runs since 2011 (609 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.1% from 142.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 16.1% · 5–31

Progeny have won 13.4% of 7,107 runs since 2011 (713 horses).

Sholokhov (IRE) 24.1% · 7–29

Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,287 runs since 2008 (424 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.

Mahler (GB) 3.6% · 1–28

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,902 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Malinas (GER) 14.3% · 4–28

Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,968 runs since 2010 (420 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,523 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,523 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 May 2017 to 14 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Nov 26 Windsor By Your Leave (GB)T: Alex Hales Download The Fitzdares App "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 5th 12/1

14 Nov 26 Windsor Jet Smart (IRE)T: Dean Summersby Join Fitzdares For A Personal Service Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 22f · Good · 6 ran 1st 4/1

14 Nov 26 Windsor Morissette (IRE)T: Dean Summersby Listen Live To Track Radio Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 16/1

13 Nov 26 Cheltenham Time To Bite (IRE)T: Chris Honour Jilly Cooper Veterans' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 2 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 5th 18/1

12 Nov 26 Hereford Robin Blue Breast (IRE)T: Joe Ponting Paul Fergusons Jumpers To Follow EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 8th 50/1

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee Sky Grove (IRE)T: Laura Horsfall Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 7/2

09 Nov 26 Stratford Best Women (IRE)T: Alex Hales Get A Free Trial Of Racing TV Now Mares' Handicap Steeple Chase (Challenger Mares' Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 12/1

08 Nov 26 Sandown Just Billy (IRE)T: Harry Fry Bet At Oddschecker Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 13/2

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Alabama Way (IRE)T: Harry Fry Download The Matchbook App Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 10/1

07 Nov 26 Uttoxeter Valadon (IRE)T: Harry Fry Follow Matchbook On X Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran PU 17/2

05 Nov 26 Newbury Itsallfrenchtome (IRE)T: Harry Fry British Horse Society Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 7th 3/1

05 Nov 26 Newbury King Of The Lake (GB)T: Jeremy Scott Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 15th 25/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Ramblingamblinman (GB)T: Chris Honour Dunraven Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 33/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Moorefields (IRE)T: Chris Honour Floyds Turfcare & Weed Solutions Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran PU 40/1

04 Nov 26 Chepstow Timmie Two (IRE)T: I Chanin LSL Racing 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 100/1

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Gone In Sixty (GB)T: Alex Hales attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 6/1

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Away For The Night (IRE)T: Alex Hales Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/2J

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Soul Limbo (IRE)T: Harry Fry Southern Access Platforms Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 7/2

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Walk On High (GB)T: Harry Fry Southern Cranes Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran 4th 16/1

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Hiero Sport (FR)T: Alex Hales Southern Contract Novices' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 4th 100/30

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 11 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 7 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 6 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · to 13 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Bryan Carver's strike rate?: Bryan Carver has won 197 of 1,523 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Bryan Carver do best at?: Plumpton by strike rate: 11 wins from 53 rides (20.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Bryan Carver ride most for?: Harry Fry, with 242 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 46 (19%).
Is Bryan Carver in form?: In the last 14 days: 21 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 4.8%. That is below the baseline of 12.9% since 2008.
What is Bryan Carver's Fair A/E?: 1.15, from 1,518 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.