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Trainer profile

Derek Haydn Jones

810 runners in the lifetime window · 54 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2015 100% of runners on the flat
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
57–810
Wins / Runs
7%
Strike rate
n=810
191 (24%)
Placed
0.93
n=808 · 0.81 incl. margin
−163.80
£1 level stake
n=810 at SP · −20.2%
£415k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
14.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 100 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 810 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Jul–Aug 20.6% when favourite Dane O'Neill: 10.4% from 134 Claiming riders: 8.1% Sent off the favourite in 4% of races
The read

Debutants struggle at 0% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.53 and −28.00 to a £1 stake over 100 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Dane O'Neill rode 17% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.4% vs 7%, A/E 1.35) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (13.7%, n=51) and off a 8-14-day break (11.8%, n=170). The record read poorly off a 31-60-day break — 2.7% over 149 runners, 4.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfred Quebec Stakes at Lingfield (AW) (Dec 2011, £17,013). The stable star of the record was Tinshu (IRE) — 10 wins from 84 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jul–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3%−4.0
n=100 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −28.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.0
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.0
n=32 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −32.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10.3%+3.3
n=29 · A/E 2.22 · £1 +40.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
8.3%+1.3
n=24 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −14.50
When favourite
20.6%
n=34 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −7.88
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.1%+1.1
n=99 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −38.88
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
4.5%−2.5
n=22 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Hayley Turner 15.2% vs 7% · n=33
Off a 0-7-day break 13.7% vs 7% · n=51
Off a 8-14-day break 11.8% vs 7% · n=170
With debutants 0% vs 7% · n=32
With C&D winners 11.5% vs 7% · n=148
Off a 31-60-day break 2.7% vs 7% · n=149
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 423 29 6.9% −69.67
Good to Firm 135 6 4.4% −50.00
Good 132 9 6.8% −57.25
Soft 48 6 12.5% +16.75
Good to Soft 45 3 6.7% −5.50
Firm 18 3 16.7% −6.13
Heavy 9 1 11.1% +8.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 188 13 6.9% −43.25
Southwell (AW) 84 9 10.7% +43.58
Kempton (AW) 78 2 2.6% −53.00
Lingfield 73 5 6.8% −17.00
Windsor 60 5 8.3% −1.00
Chepstow 47 4 8.5% −18.00
Bath 43 3 7% −31.13
Ffos Las 35 1 2.9% −12.00
Sandown 34 4 11.8% +7.50
Newbury 26 2 7.7% +8.00
Leicester 26 1 3.8% −9.00
Nottingham 20 1 5% −13.00
Lingfield 15 3 20% +18.00
Haydock 14 0 0% −14.00
Ascot 12 1 8.3% −8.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 291 17 5.8% −64.92
Class 6 252 15 6% −111.63
Class 4 163 18 11% +18.75
Class 3 53 4 7.5% +5.00
Class 2 24 2 8.3% −1.00
Class 1 22 1 4.5% −5.00
Class 7 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 41 8 19.5% 0.82 −11.38
2nd–3rd fav 129 16 12.4% 0.86 −46.92
4th–6th fav 245 16 6.5% 0.82 −6.50
7th+ in betting 395 17 4.3% 1.27 −99.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tinshu (IRE) 84 10 26 20 Dec 14
First Post (IRE)then Adrian McGuinness 67 9 24 29 Oct 14
Gwilym (GER)then Tony Newcombe 51 4 12 29 Jun 11
Tenbridge (GB) 41 4 16 5 Sep 14
Molly Jones (GB)then Matthew Salaman 37 4 11 21 Aug 14
Schottische (GB)then Alan Bailey 30 3 9 27 Jan 15
Westwood (GB) 30 3 10 7 Jul 11
Monty Fay (IRE) 27 0 5 27 Sep 14
All Right Now (GB)from Sylvester Kirk · then Tony Newcombe 24 1 6 16 Oct 12
Dimaire (GB) 24 0 10 15 Dec 11
Catflap (IRE) 21 1 3 30 Jan 14
All 54 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 54 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive; 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Alan Bailey (2) and Matthew Salaman (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1336465121226102
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDane O'Neill
17% of all rides
10.4% SR · A/E 1.35
RiderRWSR£1
Dane O'Neill 134 14 10.4% +63.25
Andrea Atzeni 66 7 10.6% +20.83
Frankie McDonald 60 2 3.3% −25.50
William Carson 49 2 4.1% −36.50
Rosie Jessop 33 3 9.1% −19.25
Hayley Turner 33 5 15.2% +11.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
83
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£588k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 12 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Tinshu (IRE) — Betfred Quebec Stakes (Listed) Lingfield (AW) · Dec 2011 · Listed
£17,013
Pass The Port (GB) — totesport.Com Musselburgh Gold Cup Handicap Musselburgh · Mar 2008 · Class 4
£12,464
Tinshu (IRE) — Bet In Play At ladbrokes.com Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Nov 2011 · Class 2
£10,350

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fantastic Light (USA) 11.2% · 11–98
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,570 runs since 2008 (223 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.8% from 377.
Celtic Swing (GB) 13.4% · 9–67
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,248 runs since 2008 (160 horses).
Captain Rio (GB) 6.7% · 4–60
Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Agnes World (USA) 7.8% · 4–51
Progeny have won 10.7% of 336 runs since 2008 (18 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 16.7% from 126.
Three Valleys (USA) 9.1% · 4–44
Progeny have won 8.1% of 1,284 runs since 2008 (128 horses).
Avonbridge (GB) 9.8% · 4–41
Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,930 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.6% from 795.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,221 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,221 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 27 January 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
27 Jan 15 Southwell (AW) Schottische (GB)J: Joe Fanning Ladbrokes Claiming StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 7/2
22 Jan 15 Southwell (AW) Schottische (GB)J: Joe Fanning Ladbrokes Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 1st 7/1
15 Jan 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Jessy Mae (GB)J: Jimmy Quinn Ladbrokes HandicapClass 7 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 40/1
13 Jan 15 Southwell (AW) Llyrical (GB)J: Jimmy Quinn Ladbrokes Mobile HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 20/1
19 Dec 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Lady Vellyn (GB)J: Liam Keniry 32Red.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 100/1
31 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Llyrical (GB)J: Liam Keniry Coral HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Derek Haydn Jones's strike rate?
Derek Haydn Jones has won 57 of 810 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Derek Haydn Jones do best at?
Sandown by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 runners (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Derek Haydn Jones?
Dane O'Neill, with 134 runners since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (10.4%).
What is Derek Haydn Jones's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 808 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).