What is Finley Marsh's strike rate?

Finley Marsh has won 351 of 3,055 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Finley Marsh do best at?

Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 32 wins from 203 rides (15.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Finley Marsh ride most for?

Richard Hughes, with 1,041 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 164 (15.8%).

Is Finley Marsh in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is below the baseline of 11.5% since 2008.

What is Finley Marsh's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 3,041 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Finley Marsh

3,055 rides in the lifetime window · 1,359 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 8 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

351–3,055

Wins / Runs

11.5%

Strike rate

n=3,055

938 (31%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=3,041 · 0.88 incl. margin

−332.65

£1 level stake

n=3,055 at SP · −10.9%

£3.44m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 160 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (308 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 3,055 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 31% when favourite Richard Hughes: 15.8% from 1,041 LTO winners: 20.8% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

It is weakest at Ascot (2.8% over 36 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.8% (n=308, Fair A/E 1.08), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.6% (n=36, Fair A/E 0.79). Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 1 from 17 rides in the last 14 days (5.9%, 5.6pts below the 11.5% baseline). Richard Hughes supplies 34% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.8% vs 11.5%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Firm going (21.3%, n=94). The record reads poorly in Class 2 — 4.4% over 114 rides, 7.1pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Woodford Reserve Cardinal Conditions Stakes at Chelmsford City (AW) (Apr 2024, £51,540). The standout partner of the record: Blue Hero (CAN) — 7 wins from 28 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.6%−1.9

n=1,359 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −121.65

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

20.8%+9.3

n=308 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −46.15

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

11.5%+0.0

n=392 · A/E 1.14 · £1 +158.84

When favourite

31%

n=313 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −42.40

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.4%−0.1

n=790 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −113.46

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.5%−5.0

n=246 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −63.08

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.6%−5.9

n=36 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 20.8% vs 11.5% · n=308

On Firm going 21.3% vs 11.5% · n=94

With horses switching code 1.7% vs 11.5% · n=59

In Class 2 4.4% vs 11.5% · n=114

With Jim & Suzi Best 3.6% vs 11.5% · n=55

At Ascot 2.8% vs 11.5% · n=36

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,054 351 11.5% −331.65

Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,581 198 12.5% +108.74

Good to Firm 479 50 10.4% −180.44

Good 474 42 8.9% −126.16

Good to Soft 204 20 9.8% −87.17

Soft 182 18 9.9% −11.75

Firm 94 20 21.3% −8.37

Heavy 41 3 7.3% −27.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 581 73 12.6% +101.51

Kempton (AW) 350 36 10.3% +63.85

Bath 271 37 13.7% −19.37

Lingfield (AW) 263 29 11% −79.28

Chelmsford (AW) 203 32 15.8% +11.60

Chepstow 177 21 11.9% −26.74

Southwell (AW) 163 22 13.5% −8.94

Windsor 130 9 6.9% −76.46

Ffos Las 122 12 9.8% −68.31

Brighton 111 10 9% −69.44

Newbury 96 7 7.3% −41.00

Salisbury 66 8 12.1% +4.73

Lingfield 55 3 5.5% −40.75

Goodwood 54 4 7.4% −25.00

Leicester 46 6 13% +2.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,182 150 12.7% +102.80

Class 5 946 105 11.1% −197.13

Class 4 602 61 10.1% −155.83

Class 3 168 28 16.7% +14.63

Class 2 114 5 4.4% −78.12

Class 1 36 2 5.6% −12.00

Class 7 7 0 0% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 367 110 30% 1.01 −45.57

2nd–3rd fav 719 126 17.5% 1.02 −115.58

4th–6th fav 965 86 8.9% 1.10 −77.50

7th+ in betting 1,004 29 2.9% 0.95 −94.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Thames Boatman (GB) 35 6 18 3 Nov 26

Blue Hero (CAN) 28 7 7 13 Sep 26

Diamondsinthesand (IRE) 27 2 12 6 Jun 26

Pessoa (GB) 22 5 13 5 Apr 26

Spirit Lead Me (IRE) 20 5 5 29 Oct 26

Seaforth (IRE) 20 5 6 21 Sep 20

Kenstone (FR) 19 1 9 10 Feb 24

Dappled Light (GB) 18 4 9 29 Sep 26

Road To Wembley (GB) 18 4 8 23 Sep 25

Cinnodin (GB) 18 5 8 22 Jun 25

Knebworth (GB) 17 4 8 7 Nov 26

Thurso (GB) 17 4 7 12 May 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,359 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 17 5.9% · −5.6pts vs baseline

Last 14 days5.9%

Lifetime base11.5%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1213151112914131010711

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRichard Hughes

34% of all rides
15.8% SR · A/E 1.09

TrainerRWSR£1

Richard Hughes 1,041 164 15.8% −94.26

Adrian Wintle 543 64 11.8% −56.81

Mark Loughnane 77 7 9.1% −14.55

Jim & Suzi Best 55 2 3.6% −41.25

Grace Harris 52 5 9.6% +39.50

David Evans 47 7 14.9% +132.16

Rod Millman 31 5 16.1% −0.17

David Pipe 30 3 10% +13.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

351

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.44m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 70 wins

Bracken's Laugh (IRE) — Woodford Reserve Cardinal Conditions Stakes (The Road To The Kentucky Derby) (GBB Race) Chelmsford City (AW) · Apr 2024 · Class 2

£51,540

Fair Angellica (GB) — Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 3) Doncaster · Sep 2025 · Group 3

£48,204

Fair Angellica (GB) — British Stallion Studs EBF Cathedral Stakes (Listed) Salisbury · May 2025 · Listed

£28,355

Notable horses

Blue Hero (CAN) The Thames Boatman (GB) Pessoa (GB) Spirit Lead Me (IRE) Seaforth (IRE) Cinnodin (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 12.6% · 12–95

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (929 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Kodiac (GB) 8.8% · 6–68

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,605 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Havana Grey (GB) 17.9% · 12–67

Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,612 runs since 2022 (418 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 426.

Ardad (IRE) 12.5% · 8–64

Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,548 runs since 2021 (349 horses).

Showcasing (GB) 15% · 9–60

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,666 runs since 2014 (999 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Mehmas (IRE) 15.5% · 9–58

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,236 runs since 2020 (748 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,055 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,055 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 November 2016 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Knebworth (GB)T: Richard Hughes Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 22 ran 14th 66/1

07 Nov 26 Doncaster Circus Of Rome (GB)T: Richard Hughes Virgin Bet November Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 12f · Good To Soft · 23 ran 6th 33/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Jeffs On A Mission (GB)T: Edward Smyth-Osbourne Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 7.5f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 25/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Sea Founder (GB)T: Richard Hughes AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7.5f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 11/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Best Yet (GB)T: Richard Hughes All-Weather Championship Is Back Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 14/1

05 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Echo That (GB)T: Patrick Owens Midnite Built Different Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 125/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Foinix (GB)T: Jim & Suzi Best Try Unibet's Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 10th 40/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Monsieur Patat (GB)T: Adrian Wintle Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 2nd 10/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Independent Expert (IRE)T: Jim & Suzi Best Try Unibet's New Racing Bet Builder Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 7th 125/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) The Thames Boatman (GB)T: Richard Hughes Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 28/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Yellow Mission (IRE)T: Richard Hughes AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 8/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Luna Beaux (IRE)T: Adrian Wintle AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 25/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Liberate (GB)T: Jim & Suzi Best ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 50/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Society Kiss (GB)T: John Mackie AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 20/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Mo Rocko (GB)T: Richard Hughes AWC Season 14 Has Begun EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 22/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Bearly Blue (IRE)T: Richard Hughes AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 25/1

02 Nov 26 Chelmsford (AW) Terry O (GB)T: Jim & Suzi Best All-Weather Championship Is Back EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 10/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Golden Circet (IRE)T: Jim & Suzi Best German G1 Racecourses Thank World Pool Handicap StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 25/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Storm Eclipse (IRE)T: Jamie Moore & Josh Moore Westminster-137 Grosser Preis Von Berlin Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 14/1

30 Oct 26 Newmarket Pints In Peace (IRE)T: Jim & Suzi Best Munich's Grosser Dallmayr-preis Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 12 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 6 runs (won 2) · to 2 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Finley Marsh's strike rate?: Finley Marsh has won 351 of 3,055 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Finley Marsh do best at?: Chelmsford (AW) by strike rate: 32 wins from 203 rides (15.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Finley Marsh ride most for?: Richard Hughes, with 1,041 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 164 (15.8%).
Is Finley Marsh in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is below the baseline of 11.5% since 2008.
What is Finley Marsh's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 3,041 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.