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Trainer profile

Robert Stephens

452 runners in the last 5 seasons · 47 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 10 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
from 1 Jan 2022
40–452
Wins / Runs
8.8%
Strike rate
n=452
111 (25%)
Placed
1.07
Fair A/E
n=451 · 0.91 incl. margin
−65.13
£1 level stake
n=452 at SP · −14.4%
£340k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
13.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07).

Deterministic profile computed from 452 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb Sean Houlihan: 6.6% from 61
The read

The record is strongest at Kempton (AW) (15.9%, n=44), clear of the yard's 8.8% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.4% (n=74, Fair A/E 1.03). Sean Houlihan rides 13% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (6.6% vs 8.8%, A/E 0.88). The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (12.8%, n=149) and on Standard (AW) going (12.2%, n=181). The record reads poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 3.2% over 31 runners, 5.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.59 across 65 runners (4.6% strike, −45.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sedgefielders Salute Rubstic Durham National Handicap Chase at Sedgefield (Oct 2019, £18,768). The stable star of the record: Port Noir (GB) — 12 wins from 98 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.4%−3.4
n=74 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −13.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.7%−1.1
n=26 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −9.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.8
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
16.7%+7.9
n=12 · A/E 2.71 · £1 +3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
15.8%
n=19 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −9.12
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.3%−0.5
n=72 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −21.67
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 20.5% vs 8.8% · n=39
At Kempton (AW) 15.9% vs 8.8% · n=44
Over 1m5f – 2m 12.8% vs 8.8% · n=149
Over 2m5f – 3m 3.2% vs 8.8% · n=31
On Standard (AW) going 12.2% vs 8.8% · n=181
Over 6f – 7f 4.6% vs 8.8% · n=65
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 280 28 10% +6.99
Hurdle 125 10 8% −34.50
NH Flat 29 2 6.9% −19.62
Chase 18 0 0% −18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 181 22 12.2% +31.49
Good 111 6 5.4% −46.25
Good to Soft 52 3 5.8% −26.00
Good to Firm 49 5 10.2% +14.38
Soft 40 2 5% −29.25
Heavy 14 2 14.3% −4.50
Firm 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 94 11 11.7% +1.50
Chepstow 52 4 7.7% −28.25
Kempton (AW) 44 7 15.9% +50.33
Ffos Las 27 2 7.4% −10.00
Lingfield (AW) 23 3 13% −6.34
Worcester 21 1 4.8% −14.00
Bath 20 0 0% −20.00
Exeter 19 1 5.3% −4.00
Newton Abbot 13 0 0% −13.00
Newbury 11 0 0% −11.00
Hereford 10 0 0% −10.00
Stratford 10 2 20% −4.37
Southwell (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00
Windsor 9 1 11.1% +32.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 9 1 11.1% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 175 19 10.9% +48.33
Class 5 145 11 7.6% −45.79
Class 4 100 7 7% −51.42
Class 3 24 2 8.3% −16.75
Class 2 5 1 20% +3.50
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 23 4 17.4% 0.61 −8.79
2nd–3rd fav 86 16 18.6% 1.18 −8.84
4th–6th fav 166 15 9% 1.24 −7.50
7th+ in betting 177 5 2.8% 0.97 −40.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Port Noir (GB)from Grace Harris 86 9 30 29 Sep 26
Sneaky Blinder (FR)from Tom Ward 30 5 8 12 Oct 26
Breccia (GB)from William Haggas 25 3 6 26 Jun 25
Wot You Wearing (IRE)then Fergal O'Brien 25 3 8 13 Apr 25
Knight Templar (GB)from Sir Mark Prescott Bt 20 7 10 9 Oct 26
Sao Timothy (IRE) 15 0 1 4 Jun 24
Edna E Mode (IRE)from Stuart Edmunds 13 0 3 13 Jun 26
Melakaz (IRE) 13 5 6 6 Sep 25
Turpin Gold (GB)then Tom Lacey 12 1 4 24 Oct 23
Becoming (IRE)from Harry & Roger Charlton 11 0 1 18 Jan 23
Katana (FR)from Nicky Henderson 10 0 2 5 Oct 26
Waleyfa (GB)from Owen Burrows · then Alice Haynes 10 0 1 7 Jan 23
All 47 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 47 horses listed, 31 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from William Haggas (3) and Ed Walker (2); 16 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Adrian Wintle (2) and Robbie Llewellyn (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
1110888788101079
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderSean Houlihan
13% of all rides
6.6% SR · A/E 0.88
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Houlihan 61 4 6.6% −10.75
Ciaran Gethings 48 3 6.3% −23.62
Darragh Keenan 39 3 7.7% +16.00
David Probert 31 4 12.9% +8.33
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
120
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£1.01m
Prize money
2016
Best season · 12 wins
The Caller (GB) — Sedgefielders Salute Rubstic Durham National Handicap Chase Sedgefield · Oct 2019 · Class 2
£18,768
Beltor (GB) — BetBright Cheltenham Festival Fund Adonis Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Kempton · Feb 2015 · Grade 2
£17,085
Knight Templar (GB) — Ladbrokes Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing 'Introductory' Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) Kempton · Dec 2024 · Class 2
£15,609
Notable horses
Port Noir (GB) Knight Templar (GB) Espresso Freddo (IRE) Tudors Treasure (GB) Sneaky Blinder (FR) Beltor (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Harbour Watch (IRE) 10.5% · 9–86
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,551 runs since 2008 (236 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.5% from 321. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.6% from 463.
Fast Company (IRE) 0% · 0–39
Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,591 runs since 2008 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 557. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.
Magna Grecia (IRE) 16.7% · 5–30
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,473 runs since 2008 (170 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.4% from 169.
Arakan (USA) 12% · 3–25
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,467 runs since 2008 (266 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.5% from 134.
Intello (GER) 12% · 3–25
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,478 runs since 2008 (390 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.7% from 231. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.4% from 184.
Gleneagles (IRE) 0% · 0–24
Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,551 runs since 2008 (444 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.2% from 279.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,449 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,449 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 June 2013 to 12 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Sneaky Blinder (FR)J: William Carson Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier)Class 6 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 4th 22/1
11 Oct 26 Chepstow No Ordinary Joe (IRE)J: Jack Stenhouse Dragonbet Born In Wales Seniors' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 16f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 22/1
11 Oct 26 Chepstow Bound For Glory (GB)J: Miss Imogen Mathias Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 4/1
11 Oct 26 Chepstow One Cool Dreamer (IRE)J: Robert Dunne Dragonbet Daily Extra Place Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 10th 50/1
09 Oct 26 Chepstow Knight Templar (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Dragonbet Daily Dragonboosts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 1st 10/1
05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Katana (FR)J: William Carson Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 7th 250/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Barachiel (IRE)J: Darragh Keenan attheraces.com/marketmovers Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 125/1
29 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Port Noir (GB)J: Luke Morris Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 50/1
29 Sep 26 Bath One Cool Dreamer (IRE)J: William Carson Mj Church Handicap StakesClass 5 · 13f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 12th 80/1
27 Sep 26 Ffos Las No Ordinary Joe (IRE)J: Finley Marsh Happy Birthday Alex, From The Bridge Handicap StakesClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 11/1
12 Sep 26 Bath No Ordinary Joe (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Andersons Commercial & Domestic Drainage Specialists Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Good · 5 ran 4th 22/1
09 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Barachiel (IRE)J: Luke Morris Unibet/breeders Backing Racing Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 6th 150/1
04 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) Into Battle (IRE)J: Mason Paetel Industry Leading In-play Markets At Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Qualifier)Class 5 · 16f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 8th 6/1
04 Sep 26 Worcester Bound For Glory (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings Copybet Bog Now For Saturday's Racing Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 9/1
02 Sep 26 Kempton (AW) No Ordinary Joe (IRE)J: David Probert Unibet/ebf Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 6 ran 4th 150/1
30 Aug 26 Goodwood Knight Templar (GB)J: David Probert City Of Chichester Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 28/1
27 Aug 26 Ffos Las Sneaky Blinder (FR)J: Rossa Ryan Roly Poly Events Race Of Hope Handicap StakesClass 6 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 7th 14/1
26 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) One Cool Dreamer (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave Attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Bath Summer Stayers Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 20/1
19 Aug 26 Worcester Bound For Glory (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings Copybet Follow Us On X Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 4/1
18 Aug 26 Chepstow Sneaky Blinder (FR)J: Billy Loughnane Community Engagement Programme Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 2 ran 2nd 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Robert Stephens's strike rate?
Robert Stephens has won 40 of 452 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Robert Stephens do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 44 runners (15.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Robert Stephens?
Sean Houlihan, with 61 runners since 2022 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.6%).
Is Robert Stephens in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Robert Stephens's Fair A/E?
1.07, from 451 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).