What is George Downing's strike rate?

George Downing has won 205 of 2,858 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does George Downing do best at?

Brighton by strike rate: 15 wins from 136 rides (11%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does George Downing ride most for?

Tony Carroll, with 1,067 rides since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 80 (7.5%).

Is George Downing in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is George Downing's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 2,838 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

George Downing

2,858 rides in the lifetime window · 1,145 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 11 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

205–2,858

Wins / Runs

7.2%

Strike rate

n=2,858

647 (23%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=2,838 · 0.76 incl. margin

−1,137.49

£1 level stake

n=2,858 at SP · −39.8%

£1.68m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 150 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (202 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,858 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 28.4% when favourite Tony Carroll: 7.5% from 1,067 LTO winners: 12.9% Claiming: 9.4% Rides the favourite in 5% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 12.9% (n=202, Fair A/E 0.82), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.3% (n=426, Fair A/E 0.51). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −192.00 to a £1 stake over 294 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Tony Carroll supplies 37% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 0.94). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (17.6%, n=170) and in Class 7 (13%, n=46). The standout partner of the record: Poetic Force (IRE) — 5 wins from 23 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.4%−1.8

n=1,145 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −572.93

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

12.9%+5.7

n=202 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −76.70

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.3%−3.9

n=426 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −192.17

When favourite

28.4%

n=148 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −22.94

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.4%+2.2

n=919 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −263.79

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.7%−3.5

n=294 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −192.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.2

n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 17.6% vs 7.2% · n=170

On last-time-out winners 12.9% vs 7.2% · n=202

With Eve Johnson Houghton 12.5% vs 7.2% · n=192

With new recruits 1.8% vs 7.2% · n=111

With debutants 2.5% vs 7.2% · n=197

In Class 7 13% vs 7.2% · n=46

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,393 104 7.5% −433.09

Good to Firm 515 27 5.2% −304.03

Good 457 33 7.2% −168.61

Good to Soft 238 17 7.1% −145.97

Soft 188 17 9% −64.47

Heavy 38 3 7.9% −20.32

Firm 29 4 13.8% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 449 36 8% −157.05

Kempton (AW) 381 17 4.5% −253.80

Lingfield (AW) 260 25 9.6% −33.74

Chelmsford (AW) 144 13 9% −13.75

Brighton 136 15 11% −24.12

Salisbury 121 9 7.4% −23.38

Windsor 120 5 4.2% −64.50

Chepstow 119 7 5.9% −52.50

Bath 116 10 8.6% −22.75

Southwell (AW) 112 7 6.3% +34.50

Leicester 94 7 7.4% −43.17

Nottingham 89 5 5.6% −54.10

Lingfield 66 4 6.1% −48.78

Newbury 65 2 3.1% −57.67

Doncaster 60 5 8.3% −37.06

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 1,058 82 7.8% −323.29

Class 5 986 79 8% −363.90

Class 4 544 25 4.6% −317.04

Class 3 145 10 6.9% −74.76

Class 2 65 3 4.6% −45.00

Class 7 46 6 13% +0.50

Class 1 14 0 0% −14.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 192 52 27.1% 0.99 −24.94

2nd–3rd fav 444 66 14.9% 0.94 −83.55

4th–6th fav 907 63 6.9% 0.92 −219.00

7th+ in betting 1,315 24 1.8% 0.58 −810.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 1,060 71 6.7% −466.41

1m – 1m1f 607 37 6.1% −275.54

1m2f – 1m4f 594 49 8.2% −227.66

Under 6f 362 32 8.8% −41.54

1m5f – 2m 227 16 7% −118.34

2m1f – 2m4f 6 0 0% −6.00

2m5f – 3m 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2009 8 0 0% −8.00

2010 25 0 0% −25.00

2011 79 6 7.6% −48.92

2012 101 17 16.8% +16.53

2013 94 6 6.4% −49.00

2014 140 9 6.4% −90.50

2015 199 20 10.1% −53.78

2016 319 33 10.3% −17.87

2017 376 15 4% −258.25

2018 247 13 5.3% −129.84

2019 127 7 5.5% −13.75

2020 177 9 5.1% −25.50

2021 141 3 2.1% −123.25

2022 255 20 7.8% −75.75

2023 107 14 13.1% +8.38

2024 156 11 7.1% −85.54

2025 170 11 6.5% −105.39

2026 137 11 8% −52.06

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 2,117 168 7.9% −771.62

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,067 72 6.7% −411.22

11-13 runners 917 48 5.2% −388.39

5-7 runners 537 63 11.7% −149.99

14-16 runners 245 10 4.1% −149.50

17+ runners 49 1 2% −42.50

2-4 runners 43 11 25.6% +4.11

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Grey Boy (GER) 31 3 10 20 May 11

Pour La Victoire (IRE) 30 3 13 18 May 21

Nouvelle Ere (GB) 27 3 6 8 Aug 18

Laughing Jack (GB) 27 4 7 13 Sep 15

Zafranagar (IRE) 24 3 7 18 Oct 14

Poetic Force (IRE) 23 5 12 6 Jun 20

Spiritoftomintoul (GB) 22 1 4 14 Jun 18

De Vegas Kid (IRE) 21 2 8 1 Dec 21

Queen Aggie (IRE) 20 5 9 23 Jul 16

Valmina (GB) 20 3 9 13 Aug 15

Compton Poppy (GB) 19 2 5 14 Oct 19

Papa Delta (GB) 18 4 7 15 Oct 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,145 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

88981010556638

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardTony Carroll

37% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 0.94

TrainerRWSR£1

Tony Carroll 1,067 80 7.5% −374.51

Ed Walker 240 21 8.8% −109.40

Ian Williams 228 16 7% −147.29

David Evans 196 17 8.7% −51.75

Eve Johnson Houghton 192 24 12.5% −17.54

Dean Ivory 171 8 4.7% −34.50

Seamus Mullins 96 5 5.2% −34.50

Daniel Kubler 93 6 6.5% −47.00

Mick Channon 64 3 4.7% −44.50

Robert Cowell 54 3 5.6% −37.25

Jim Goldie 41 5 12.2% +21.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

205

Archived wins

£1.68m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 33 wins

Jack Dexter (GB) — Qipco Future Stars Apprentice Handicap Ascot · Oct 2012 · Class 2

£32,345

High Point (IRE) — British EBF Ruby Anniversary Nursery Newmarket · Oct 2023 · Class 2

£21,600

Democracy Dilemma (IRE) — British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Chester · May 2022 · Class 2

£12,885

Notable horses

Poetic Force (IRE) Queen Aggie (IRE) Change Sings (IRE) Laughing Jack (GB) Papa Delta (GB) King Olav (UAE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lope De Vega (IRE) 15.2% · 10–66

Progeny have won 13.7% of 12,244 runs since 2014 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 962.

Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–47

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Assertive (GB) 5% · 2–40

Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,569 runs since 2012 (84 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.3% from 159.

Medicean (GB) 2.7% · 1–37

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Compton Place (GB) 11.1% · 4–36

Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 5.7% · 2–35

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,874 runs since 2008 (1,572 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.9% from 845.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,858 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,858 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 October 2009 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Salvezza (GB)T: Ed Walker Conference And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II) (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 16/1

04 Nov 26 Nottingham Debutante (GB)T: Ed Walker EBF Desert Crown Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Soft · 4 ran 3rd 25/1

31 Oct 26 Newmarket Gorgonzola (GB)T: Ed Walker Cologne's 65 Preis Von Europa British Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 80/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Fanciulla Del West (GB)T: Ed Walker Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 10/1

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Crystal Jet (FR)T: Toby Bulgin Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap StakesClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 33/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester West Byfleet (GB)T: Jack Channon Hamish's Birthday Countdown Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 40/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester Trackman (GB)T: Simon Pearce Fireworks Festival Here Saturday 7th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 16 ran 14th 50/1

26 Oct 26 Leicester Secret Rival (IRE)T: Ed Walker Christmas Parties At Leicester Racecourse - Book Now Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 14/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Mollstar (GB)T: Ed Walker CopyBet Proudly Backs UK Horse Racing Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 6th 40/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Vera Lemon (GB)T: Seamus Mullins bet365 EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good · 12 ran 11th 300/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Astrazar (IRE)T: Ed Walker Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 9th 18/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Ardangel (GB)T: Ed Walker Brooklyn Ground Works Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 28/1

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Happy Banner (IRE)T: Ed Walker Try Unibet's Superboosts Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)Class 5 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 10th 10/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Brave New World (IRE)T: Ed Walker Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 11th 28/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Oddjob (IRE)T: Ed Walker Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 7th 28/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Saaffya (GB)T: Ed Walker Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 4th 100/1

07 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Palladino (FR)T: Ed Walker Unibet Supports Safer Gambling EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 8th 50/1

06 Oct 26 Brighton Basilette (IRE)T: Seamus Mullins Bet £20 Get £40 In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 1st 7/2

03 Oct 26 Ascot Secret History (IRE)T: Ed Walker Betmgm British Ebf October Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 3rd 28/1

01 Oct 26 Salisbury River Spey (GB)T: Ed Walker Sandown Kia Salisbury Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 29 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is George Downing's strike rate?: George Downing has won 205 of 2,858 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.2% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does George Downing do best at?: Brighton by strike rate: 15 wins from 136 rides (11%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does George Downing ride most for?: Tony Carroll, with 1,067 rides since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 80 (7.5%).
Is George Downing in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is George Downing's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 2,838 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.