What is Ian Burns's strike rate?

Ian Burns has won 21 of 307 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ian Burns do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 37 rides (10.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ian Burns ride most for?

Michael Bell, with 58 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (13.8%).

What is Ian Burns's Fair A/E?

0.84, from 305 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ian Burns

307 rides in the lifetime window · 198 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Nov 2013 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

21–307

Wins / Runs

6.8%

Strike rate

n=307

72 (24%)

Placed

0.84

Fair A/E

n=305 · 0.72 incl. margin

−160.88

£1 level stake

n=307 at SP · −52.4%

£88,580

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.84). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 10% (30 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 307 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7% Michael Bell: 13.8% from 58 First rides: 8.6% LTO winners: 10%

The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (10.8%, n=37), clear of the rider's 6.8% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 10% (n=30, Fair A/E 0.61). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 6.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −153.88 to a £1 stake over 272 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Michael Bell supplied 19% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13.8% vs 6.8%, A/E 1.15) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 8-14-day break (11.6%, n=86) and in Class 5 (9.8%, n=112). The record read poorly on Good to Firm going — 2.9% over 68 rides, 3.9pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.6%+1.8

n=198 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −67.62

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

10%+3.2

n=30 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −13.88

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7%+0.2

n=43 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −24.38

When favourite

20%

n=15 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −6.88

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

6.6%−0.2

n=272 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −153.88

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.3%−2.5

n=47 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −26.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Michael Bell 13.8% vs 6.8% · n=58

With C&D winners 13.3% vs 6.8% · n=45

Off a 8-14-day break 11.6% vs 6.8% · n=86

On Good to Firm going 2.9% vs 6.8% · n=68

At Lingfield (AW) 10.8% vs 6.8% · n=37

In Class 5 9.8% vs 6.8% · n=112

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 119 10 8.4% −48.38

Good to Firm 68 2 2.9% −52.00

Good 53 3 5.7% −25.00

Good to Soft 29 1 3.4% −23.50

Soft 26 3 11.5% −11.62

Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Heavy 6 2 33.3% +5.62

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 40 3 7.5% −19.50

Lingfield (AW) 37 4 10.8% −8.88

Kempton (AW) 30 1 3.3% −22.50

Yarmouth 28 1 3.6% −17.00

Brighton 16 0 0% −16.00

Newmarket 14 0 0% −14.00

Salisbury 14 1 7.1% −2.00

Southwell (AW) 12 2 16.7% +2.50

Leicester 12 1 8.3% −3.50

Nottingham 11 1 9.1% −2.00

Lingfield 9 1 11.1% −2.00

Bath 8 0 0% −8.00

Chepstow 7 1 14.3% −1.50

Windsor 6 0 0% −6.00

Doncaster 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 149 8 5.4% −89.88

Class 5 112 11 9.8% −35.12

Class 4 27 2 7.4% −16.88

Class 3 10 0 0% −10.00

Class 2 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 7 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 18 4 22.2% 0.84 −5.38

2nd–3rd fav 59 10 16.9% 1.22 +7.50

4th–6th fav 87 5 5.7% 0.71 −43.00

7th+ in betting 143 2 1.4% 0.41 −120.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Holden Eagle (GB) 9 2 6 28 Dec 12

Twinkled (GB) 9 3 5 30 Mar 12

Saskia's Dream (GB) 6 0 0 25 Sep 13

Planchette (GB) 5 0 1 18 Sep 13

Bull Bay (GB) 5 0 2 6 Mar 13

Gallantry (GB) 5 0 0 14 Jan 13

Tommy's Secret (GB) 4 1 1 17 Aug 13

Cawett Cove (IRE) 4 0 1 17 Jun 13

Big Kahuna (GB) 4 0 0 8 May 13

One Kool Dude (GB) 4 0 1 23 Jun 12

Bedibyes (GB) 4 0 0 26 Apr 12

Excellent Jem (GB) 3 1 1 1 Nov 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 198 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0171006671274130

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMichael Bell

19% of all rides
13.8% SR · A/E 1.15

TrainerRWSR£1

Michael Bell 58 8 13.8% −14.38

Jane Chapple-Hyam 53 2 3.8% −36.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

Archived wins

£88,580

Prize money

2012

Best season · 14 wins

Shrewd (GB) — Shares In Downright Dizzie At chrisbeekracing.com Conditions Stakes (Str) Newbury · Jul 2012 · Class 4

£4,669

Poppy's Rose (GB) — Yorkshire Post Competition Winner 'hands And Heels' Apprentice Series Handicap Thirsk · Jul 2010 · Class 5

£3,691

Tommy's Secret (GB) — 32Red Nursery Kempton (AW) · Nov 2012 · Class 4

£3,429

Notable horses

Twinkled (GB) Holden Eagle (GB) Shrewd (GB) Tommy's Secret (GB) Excellent Jem (GB) History Repeating (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 20% · 3–15

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Oasis Dream (GB) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,040 runs since 2008 (1,511 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 484. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 792.

Catcher In The Rye (IRE) 22.2% · 2–9

Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,570 runs since 2008 (239 horses).

Iceman (GB) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 8.1% of 2,215 runs since 2010 (119 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 206. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.4% from 137.

Kyllachy (GB) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 9.9% of 13,847 runs since 2008 (800 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 468.

Hawk Wing (USA) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,330 runs since 2008 (330 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 307 · newest first

The latest 50 of 307 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 March 2010 to 1 November 2013.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Nov 13 Newmarket Excellent Jem (GB)T: Jane Chapple-Hyam Yachties Caribbean & Fireside Bars Apprentice Jockeys' Training Series Final HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 16/1

31 Oct 13 Lingfield (AW) Chevise (IRE)T: Steve Woodman Ladbrokes Mobile Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 10/1

30 Oct 13 Nottingham Ace Master (GB)T: Roy Bowring 32 Bonus At 32Red.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 5f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 9/2

19 Oct 13 Catterick Berkeley Street (USA)T: Jane Chapple-Hyam Collect totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Apprentice Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 14f · Heavy · 12 ran 10th 9/1

16 Oct 13 Nottingham Ace Master (GB)T: Roy Bowring Fortinet Bronze Partner HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Heavy · 15 ran 1st 8/1

12 Oct 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Red Bay (GB)T: Jane Chapple-Hyam 32 Bonus At 32Red.com HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 25/1

11 Oct 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Excellent Jem (GB)T: Jane Chapple-Hyam Betfred Racing's Biggest Supporter Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 5/1

10 Oct 13 Ayr Royal Duchess (GB)T: Lucy Normile GBI Racing Service Live In Israel Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 50/1

08 Oct 13 Leicester Maakirr (IRE)T: Roy Bowring Leveret Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 8th 16/1

07 Oct 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Euroquip Boy (IRE)T: Michael Scudamore Betfred Mobile Sports HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 5/1

01 Oct 13 Ayr Remember Rocky (GB)T: Lucy Normile Talk To Victor Racing Excellence Apprentice Training Series HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 9/1

30 Sep 13 Hamilton Lucy Bee (GB)T: R Mike Smith William Hill Free Bets At freebets.co.uk Apprentice Handicap (Hamilton Park Apprentice Series Final)Class 6 · 9f · Good · 13 ran 10th 40/1

27 Sep 13 Haydock Berkeley Street (USA)T: Jane Chapple-Hyam Peter & Olly Hughes Golden Wedding Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 12f · Good · 11 ran 11th 9/1

25 Sep 13 Goodwood Princess Cammie (IRE)T: John Bridger Merbury Catering Consultants Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 12th 50/1

25 Sep 13 Goodwood Saskia's Dream (GB)T: Jane Chapple-Hyam 3663 Inspired By You HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 13th 25/1

21 Sep 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Excellent Jem (GB)T: Jane Chapple-Hyam Tony Shrive Memorial Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 1st 8/1

20 Sep 13 Wolverhampton (AW) Vogarth (GB)T: Michael Chapman Freya Felton Promise Dreams Classified Claiming StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 9th 100/1

19 Sep 13 Yarmouth Rockwood (GB)T: Jane Chapple-Hyam British Stallion Studs/greene King E.b.f. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 8 ran 6th 33/1

18 Sep 13 Beverley Planchette (GB)T: Jane Chapple-Hyam Follow totepool On Facebook And Twitter Apprentice Training Series Classified StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Good · 17 ran 12th 33/1

16 Sep 13 Brighton Frosty Secret (GB)T: Jane Chapple-Hyam Sis Apprentice Selling HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ian Burns's strike rate?: Ian Burns has won 21 of 307 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ian Burns do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 37 rides (10.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ian Burns ride most for?: Michael Bell, with 58 rides since 2008 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (13.8%).
What is Ian Burns's Fair A/E?: 0.84, from 305 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.