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Trainer profile

Lucy Normile

1,115 runners in the lifetime window · 95 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jun 2020
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
67–1,115
Wins / Runs
6%
Strike rate
n=1,115
226 (20%)
Placed
0.94
Fair A/E
n=1,113 · 0.82 incl. margin
−281.92
£1 level stake
n=1,115 at SP · −25.3%
£430k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 90 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.94).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,115 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Aug 23.3% when favourite Alexander Voy: 5.3% from 225 Sent off the favourite in 3% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Carlisle (11.6%, n=69) and Ayr (10.1%, n=198) — all clear of the yard's 6% baseline. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −156.50 to a £1 stake over 300 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Alexander Voy rode 20% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.3%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well off a 8-14-day break (12.8%, n=117). The stable star of the record was Strobe (GB) — 9 wins from 78 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jun–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.7%−2.3
n=300 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −156.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
3%−3.0
n=33 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.0
n=45 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −45.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
13%+7.0
n=23 · A/E 2.61 · £1 +7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.0
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
When favourite
23.3%
n=30 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −6.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.6%−0.4
n=676 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −231.38
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 8-14-day break 12.8% vs 6% · n=117
With Dougie Costello 12.1% vs 6% · n=66
With C&D winners 10.7% vs 6% · n=159
At Carlisle 11.6% vs 6% · n=69
With debutants 0% vs 6% · n=45
At Ayr 10.1% vs 6% · n=198
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 596 28 4.7% −268.04
Flat 233 18 7.7% −34.13
Chase 199 18 9% +4.25
NH Flat 87 3 3.4% +16.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 402 29 7.2% −52.05
Soft 239 15 6.3% +58.38
Good to Soft 217 7 3.2% −152.75
Good to Firm 145 8 5.5% −94.50
Heavy 101 7 6.9% −36.50
Standard (AW) 11 1 9.1% −4.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Perth 276 14 5.1% −142.25
Ayr 198 20 10.1% +54.75
Kelso 116 4 3.4% −9.00
Musselburgh 114 2 1.8% −63.00
Hexham 85 7 8.2% +0.00
Newcastle 80 1 1.3% −77.25
Carlisle 69 8 11.6% +14.50
Sedgefield 54 1 1.9% −33.00
Hamilton 37 2 5.4% −28.00
Catterick 19 1 5.3% −13.50
Wetherby 11 0 0% −11.00
Newcastle (AW) 10 1 10% −3.50
Market Rasen 8 3 37.5% +26.33
Bangor-on-Dee 6 2 33.3% +24.00
Cartmel 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 531 33 6.2% −102.62
Class 5 354 18 5.1% −87.00
Class 6 157 11 7% −79.63
Class 3 64 4 6.3% −20.67
Class 2 8 1 12.5% +9.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 41 7 17.1% 0.74 −17.75
2nd–3rd fav 132 20 15.2% 0.98 −27.17
4th–6th fav 334 17 5.1% 0.70 −173.00
7th+ in betting 608 23 3.8% 1.36 −64.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
78.7% completed · 795 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 199 72.9% 6 7 40 1 0
Hurdle 596 80.7% 14 6 94 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Strobe (GB)from Jamie Osborne 75 9 15 8 Oct 16
Remember Rocky (GB)from Steve Gollings 55 6 26 9 Oct 19
Agricultural (GB) 46 1 8 2 Aug 17
Cadore (IRE)from Lucinda Russell 44 2 5 7 May 19
Royal Duchess (GB) 43 5 17 10 Aug 19
Karingo (GB) 34 2 6 31 Jul 19
Cruachan (IRE)from Ian Semple 34 2 7 14 Nov 18
Royal Regent (GB)then R Mike Smith 31 4 11 6 Jun 20
Frith (IRE)from B W Hills 31 2 8 1 Oct 13
Silverton (GB) 29 1 8 14 Mar 19
Primrose Time (GB) 29 4 8 29 Apr 13
Dickie Henderhoop (IRE)from John Long 26 1 8 8 Apr 14
The 60 most-raced of 95 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 26 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Lucinda Russell (4) and Richard Guest (2); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for Sandy Thomson (4) and R Mike Smith (3); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
67314131096663
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAlexander Voy
20% of all rides
5.3% SR · A/E 1.10
RiderRWSR£1
Alexander Voy 225 12 5.3% −50.25
Grant Cockburn 186 10 5.4% −77.50
Jimmy McCarthy 73 4 5.5% −41.17
Dougie Costello 66 8 12.1% +19.00
Adrian Lane 50 2 4% −24.50
Ryan Mania 49 2 4.1% −19.00
Adam Nicol 42 2 4.8% −6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
78
Archived wins
£514k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 8 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
English City (IRE) — Toteswinger Handicap Hurdle Market Rasen · Jul 2009 · Class 2
£10,408
Trisons Star (IRE) — NH Novices' Hurdle Perth · Apr 2005 · Class 2
£8,050
Strobe (GB) — Daily Record/Garry Owen Handicap Hurdle Musselburgh · Feb 2009 · Class 3
£7,806
Notable horses
Strobe (GB) Remember Rocky (GB) Royal Duchess (GB) Flaming Heck (GB) English City (IRE) Royal Regent (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Silver Patriarch (IRE) 5.6% · 5–90
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.
Fantastic Light (USA) 12% · 9–75
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,570 runs since 2008 (223 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.8% from 377.
Haafhd (GB) 10.9% · 6–55
Progeny have won 11% of 4,748 runs since 2008 (305 horses).
Daylami (IRE) 2.2% · 1–46
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,508 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 109.
Hurricane Run (IRE) 4.5% · 2–44
Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,152 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 104.
Dutch Art (GB) 11.6% · 5–43
Progeny have won 12.2% of 8,106 runs since 2008 (600 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 18.2% from 699. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9% from 365.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,478 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,478 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 6 June 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
06 Jun 20 Newcastle (AW) Granite City Doc (GB)J: Andrew Mullen Betway Live Casino Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 16/1
06 Jun 20 Newcastle (AW) Royal Regent (GB)J: Jamie Gormley Betway Live Casino Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 66/1
26 Feb 20 Musselburgh Son Of Feyan (IRE)J: Danny McMenamin Meetings That Matter On RacingTV Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 25/1
18 Feb 20 Musselburgh Doyen Breed (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Racing Post GoNorth Weekend 20-22 March Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 12 ran 3rd 9/1
03 Feb 20 Carlisle Curramore (IRE)J: Grant Cockburn Newbiggin Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 7/1
03 Feb 20 Carlisle Son Of Feyan (IRE)J: Stephen Mulqueen Introducing Racing Tv Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24.5f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 100/1
28 Jan 20 Newcastle Storm Nelson (IRE)J: Mr Tommie M O'Brien Equine Products Amateur Riders' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 22f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 17/2
27 Jan 20 Kelso Doyen Breed (IRE)J: James Bowen Try Racing Tv For Free Now Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 4th 12/1
17 Jan 20 Musselburgh Curramore (IRE)J: Grant Cockburn Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 13/2
02 Jan 20 Ayr Doyen Breed (IRE)J: James Bowen Galbraith Pritchards Chartered Accountants Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 13 ran 3rd 12/1
02 Jan 20 Ayr Storm Nelson (IRE)J: Grant Cockburn Book For The Ayrshire Wedding Show Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 24.5f · Soft · 12 ran PU 18/1
02 Jan 20 Ayr Son Of Feyan (IRE)J: Grant Cockburn Book For Coral Scottish Grand National Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 80/1
14 Dec 19 Doncaster Curramore (IRE)J: Grant Cockburn Bet365 Handicap HurdleClass 2 · 16.5f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 4/1
12 Dec 19 Newcastle Doyen Breed (IRE)J: Ryan Mania Sky Sports Racing On Sky Channel 415 Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 25/1
11 Nov 19 Carlisle Curramore (IRE)J: Grant Cockburn Watch Racing Tv Now Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 13/2
06 Nov 19 Musselburgh Zamarkhan (FR)J: Grant Cockburn Congratulations Gerry - Back To Back Champion Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 80/1
26 Oct 19 Kelso Zamarkhan (FR)J: Grant Cockburn Watch On Racing TV 'National Hunt' Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 40/1
18 Oct 19 Newcastle (AW) Granite City Doc (GB)J: Paula Muir JPS Ltd HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 13 ran 4th 13/2
09 Oct 19 Newcastle (AW) Remember Rocky (GB)J: Paula Muir Ramside Hall Hotel, Golf & Spa HandicapClass 6 · 12.5f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 33/1
29 Sep 19 Musselburgh Royal Countess (GB)J: Paula Muir LG Pharmacy Lynn's Last Gallop Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 12.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lucy Normile's strike rate?
Lucy Normile has won 67 of 1,115 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lucy Normile do best at?
Carlisle by strike rate: 8 wins from 69 runners (11.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Lucy Normile?
Alexander Voy, with 225 runners since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (5.3%).
What is Lucy Normile's Fair A/E?
0.94, from 1,113 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).