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Trainer profile

J A Nash

361 runners in the last 5 seasons · 38 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 5 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
11–361
Wins / Runs
3%
Strike rate
n=361
41 (11%)
Placed
0.64
Fair A/E
n=361 · 0.53 incl. margin
−255.09
£1 level stake
n=361 at SP · −70.7%
£190k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.64).

Deterministic profile computed from 361 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 3.2% Gavin Brouder: 2.8% from 141
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 2.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.53 and −189.92 to a £1 stake over 221 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Gavin Brouder rides 39% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (2.8%, A/E 0.53). The yard also reads well in Chase races (10%, n=30). The record reads poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 56 runners, 3pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase at Listowel (Sep 2014, £96,350). The stable star of the record: My Manekineko (GB) — 8 wins from 95 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.2%+0.2
n=63 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −46.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.0
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.0
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.0
n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=6 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +1.70
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.7%−0.3
n=221 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −189.92
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10%+7.0
n=10 · A/E 3.73 · £1 −4.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 10% vs 3% · n=30
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 3% · n=56
On Heavy going 5.6% vs 3% · n=54
With a new jockey booking 1.3% vs 3% · n=157 · A/E 0.34
Over 1m2f – 1m4f 5.3% vs 3% · n=38
With horses switching code 1.8% vs 3% · n=110 · A/E 0.39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 213 5 2.3% −183.79
Flat 110 3 2.7% −59.50
Chase 30 3 10% −3.80
NH Flat 8 0 0% −8.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 122 5 4.1% −49.12
Good 106 3 2.8% −87.30
Good to Soft 56 0 0% −56.00
Heavy 54 3 5.6% −39.67
Standard (AW) 21 0 0% −21.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 26 2 7.7% −17.62
Punchestown 26 0 0% −26.00
Fairyhouse 26 0 0% −26.00
Naas 24 0 0% −24.00
Dundalk (AW) 21 0 0% −21.00
Tramore 18 0 0% −18.00
Kilbeggan 15 0 0% −15.00
Ballinrobe 15 0 0% −15.00
Navan 15 2 13.3% +9.00
Curragh 14 0 0% −14.00
Down Royal 14 2 14.3% +2.50
Clonmel 13 0 0% −13.00
Gowran Park 13 0 0% −13.00
Sligo 12 1 8.3% −7.00
Bellewstown 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 12 1 8.3% −6.50
Class 4 10 1 10% −5.50
Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 3 4 1 25% −1.80

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.28 +1.70
2nd–3rd fav 30 6 20% 1.35 +2.21
4th–6th fav 88 1 1.1% 0.18 −76.00
7th+ in betting 237 2 0.8% 0.37 −183.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.6% completed · 243 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 30 80% 1 2 3 0 0
Hurdle 213 86.4% 4 4 21 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Your Honor (IRE) 41 4 7 14 Jan 26
Circus Act (IRE)then J P Dempsey 37 2 7 14 May 26
Arthur's Victory (IRE)from Joseph Parr 32 0 3 18 Oct 25
Astrophysicist (GB)from Gearoid Patrick Brouder 26 0 3 25 Jul 24
Snapius (IRE)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien · then James Owen 18 1 3 26 Jul 24
Couldntmakeitup (IRE) 16 0 4 18 Apr 26
Rene Artois (IRE)from M D O'Callaghan 16 0 0 21 May 25
Folk Warrior (IRE) 14 0 0 28 Sep 26
Hobart (IRE) 14 0 2 3 May 26
Black Barrel (IRE) 12 0 0 14 Dec 23
Scheu Time (IRE) 12 0 0 3 Mar 23
My Manekineko (GB)from J R Jenkins · then Gearoid Patrick Brouder 10 1 5 23 Aug 22
All 38 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 38 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Joseph Patrick O'Brien (2) and W P Mullins (2); 28 had their first archived run for this yard.

6 have since run for another yard; 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 3
Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0713300033304
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderGavin Brouder
39% of all rides
2.8% SR · A/E 0.53
RiderRWSR£1
Gavin Brouder 141 4 2.8% −125.92
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
98
Archived wins
4
Pattern / graded wins
£1.71m
Prize money
2014
Best season · 11 wins
Your Busy (IRE) — Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase (grade A) Listowel · Sep 2014 · Grade A
£96,350
Luisant (GB) — Bar One Racing Mourne Handicap (Premier Handicap) Dundalk (AW) · Aug 2009
£27,668
Luisant (GB) — www.thetote.com Knockaire Stakes (Listed) Leopardstown · Oct 2010 · Listed
£27,625
Notable horses
My Manekineko (GB) Your Busy (IRE) Massini's Trap (IRE) Our Manekineko (GB) Star Of Aragon (IRE) Alohamora (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Buratino (IRE) 3.4% · 3–87
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,878 runs since 2008 (118 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.2% from 118.
Lawman (FR) 9.8% · 4–41
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,418 runs since 2008 (730 horses).
Showcasing (GB) 0% · 0–26
Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,577 runs since 2008 (996 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.
Fascinating Rock (IRE) 0% · 0–19
Progeny have won 9.5% of 1,110 runs since 2008 (101 horses).
Court Cave (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,928 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Dark Angel (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,876 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,919 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,919 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 December 2008 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Arizona Storm (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden6f · Soft · 12 ran 10th 300/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Caption This (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Roscommon Racecourse (C & G) Maiden7.5f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 250/1
12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Mr Mercury (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Roscommon Racecourse (C & G) Maiden7.5f · Soft · 11 ran 8th 250/1
30 Sep 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Mr Mercury (IRE)J: R. P. Whelan Gilna's Of Laytown Optional Claiming Maiden8f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 8th 200/1
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Folk Warrior (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Pravha Handicap (Div II)11f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 13/2
28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Caption This (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Madrí Excepcional Maiden7f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 9th 300/1
19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Go Sioux Me (IRE)J: Ben Coen Racing Again October 2nd & 3rd Race7f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 8th 80/1
17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Arizona Storm (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden6f · Yielding · 12 ran 11th 300/1
09 Sep 26 Cork (IRE) Caption This (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Follow Us On Social Media Maiden8f · Good · 18 ran 17th 250/1
01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Mr Mercury (IRE)J: Leigh Roche Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Yielding · 14 ran 14th 300/1
27 Aug 26 Navan (IRE) Folk Warrior (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Racing Next At Navan On Saturday September 5th Handicap14f · Good · 22 ran 6th 22/1
25 Aug 26 Bellewstown (IRE) Caption This (IRE)J: Robbie Colgan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden8f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 10th 80/1
13 Aug 26 Tramore (IRE) Folk Warrior (IRE)J: Daniel King McDonald & Son Builders Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 5th 7/2
08 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Folk Warrior (IRE)J: Daniel King Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 8th 16/1
12 Jul 26 Dundalk (AW) Folk Warrior (IRE)J: Julian Pietropaolo Fairways Hotel Dundalk Apprentice Handicap12f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 7/2F
12 Jul 26 Dundalk (AW) Mr Mercury (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan Anglo Printers - Award Winning Print And Packaging Maiden8f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 100/1
09 Jul 26 Leopardstown Folk Warrior (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Mervue Equine Handicap (0-60)9f · Good · 22 ran 7th 12/1
20 Jun 26 Down Royal Folk Warrior (IRE)J: Declan McDonogh Mongey Communications Handicap (0-60)10.5f · Soft · 12 ran 4th 9/1
26 May 26 Dundalk (AW) Folk Warrior (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Family Fun Day Saturday 15th August Handicap (0-60)12f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 25/1
14 May 26 Clonmel Circus Act (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Aisling Kennedy Memorial Claiming Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 7th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J A Nash's strike rate?
J A Nash has won 11 of 361 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 3% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for J A Nash?
Gavin Brouder, with 141 runners since 2022 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (2.8%).
Is J A Nash in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is J A Nash's Fair A/E?
0.64, from 361 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).