What is Deborah Faulkner's strike rate?

Deborah Faulkner has won 16 of 255 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Deborah Faulkner do best at?

Chepstow by strike rate: 8 wins from 68 runners (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Deborah Faulkner's Fair A/E?

0.74, from 250 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Deborah Faulkner

255 runners in the last 5 seasons · 48 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jul 2024

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2022

16–255

Wins / Runs

6.3%

Strike rate

n=255

61 (24%)

Placed

0.74

Fair A/E

n=250 · 0.65 incl. margin

−79.55

£1 level stake

n=255 at SP · −31.2%

£196k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

4.2%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.74).

Deterministic profile computed from 255 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.6% Claiming riders: 6.8%

The read

The record is strongest at Chepstow (11.8%, n=68), clear of the yard's 6.3% baseline. The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −17.09 to a £1 stake over 118 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (11.6%, n=43). The record reads poorly in Class 5 — 1.4% over 72 runners, 4.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a 15-30-day break: Fair A/E 0.18 across 72 runners (2.8% strike, −61.09 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.6%+0.3

n=61 · A/E 1.77 · £1 +46.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.9%−0.4

n=34 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +10.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.3

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−6.3

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

20%+13.7

n=10 · A/E 3.39 · £1 +6.50

When favourite

23.5%

n=17 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −8.05

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

6.8%+0.5

n=118 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −17.09

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Chepstow 11.8% vs 6.3% · n=68

In Class 5 1.4% vs 6.3% · n=72

At trips under 6f 11.6% vs 6.3% · n=43

Off a 8-14-day break 1.8% vs 6.3% · n=55

In Hurdle races 2.2% vs 6.3% · n=45

Off a 15-30-day break 2.8% vs 6.3% · n=72

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 199 15 7.5% −57.55

Hurdle 45 1 2.2% −11.00

Chase 7 0 0% −7.00

NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 109 6 5.5% −52.34

Good 52 3 5.8% −1.50

Good to Soft 40 1 2.5% −34.50

Good to Firm 28 3 10.7% +21.38

Soft 22 2 9.1% −13.59

Heavy 4 1 25% +1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 69 3 4.3% −53.25

Chepstow 68 8 11.8% +11.79

Kempton (AW) 15 2 13.3% +24.00

Bath 14 0 0% −14.00

Hereford 13 1 7.7% +21.00

Ffos Las 12 0 0% −12.00

Southwell (AW) 9 0 0% −9.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 7 0 0% −7.00

Lingfield (AW) 5 1 20% −3.09

Worcester 5 0 0% −5.00

Brighton 5 0 0% −5.00

Windsor 4 1 25% +1.00

Uttoxeter 4 0 0% −4.00

Taunton 4 0 0% −4.00

Stratford 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 143 13 9.1% −17.05

Class 5 72 1 1.4% −66.50

Class 4 36 1 2.8% −2.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 3 1 1 100% +9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 19 4 21.1% 0.61 −10.05

2nd–3rd fav 46 4 8.7% 0.58 −25.50

4th–6th fav 76 4 5.3% 0.75 −40.00

7th+ in betting 114 4 3.5% 1.32 −4.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Prince Ali (GB)from Phillip Makin · then Thomas Faulkner 26 1 9 17 Jul 24

Fossos (IRE)from Tim Easterby · then Thomas Faulkner 26 4 9 16 Sep 23

Louis Treize (IRE)from James Evans · then Thomas Faulkner 20 2 6 17 Jul 24

Baileys Warrior (GB)from Mark Johnston · then Thomas Faulkner 16 1 7 10 Jul 24

Flagman (GB)then Thomas Faulkner 13 1 2 23 Sep 23

Brave Display (IRE)from Phil McEntee · then Thomas Faulkner 12 0 5 10 Feb 24

Howzak (GB)from Robyn Brisland · then Liam Bailey 9 1 5 18 Jul 24

Gerrots (FR)from John Wainwright 9 1 2 9 May 24

Gleneaglet (GB)from Charlie Fellowes 8 0 0 25 Oct 22

Home And Dry (IRE)from Mark Johnston · then Thomas Faulkner 7 0 1 26 Jun 24

Ocean Ridge (GB)from Seamus Durack · then Thomas Faulkner 7 1 4 5 Jun 24

Porterinthejungle (IRE)from Robyn Brisland · then Thomas Faulkner 6 1 1 18 Jul 24

All 48 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 48 horses listed, 41 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Bernard Llewellyn (3) and Robyn Brisland (3); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

27 have since run for another yard, most often for Thomas Faulkner (22) and Adrian Wintle (2); 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

061501076817606

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Dougie Costello 26 1 3.8% −21.00

Gina Mangan 24 2 8.3% −8.00

Laura Coughlan 20 3 15% +50.50

Miss Zoe Lewis 14 0 0% −14.00

Archie Young 10 1 10% −6.50

Oisin Murphy 9 1 11.1% +1.00

James Best 8 0 0% −8.00

William Cox 8 0 0% −8.00

Rob Hornby 7 2 28.6% +8.38

Joe Leavy 7 0 0% −7.00

Taylor Fisher 6 1 16.7% −4.09

Jamie Moore 6 1 16.7% +28.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

Archived wins

£240k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 8 wins

Golden Rules (GB) — Read Nicky Henderson's Cheltenham Blog At UnibetRacing Handicap Kempton (AW) · Mar 2023 · Class 3

£7,731

Mickydee (GB) — Boo La Croux Miss Drag UK Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Hereford · Mar 2022 · Class 4

£6,045

Baileys Warrior (GB) — Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Feb 2024 · Class 6

£4,527

Notable horses

Fossos (IRE) Beallandendall (IRE) Louis Treize (IRE) Prince Ali (GB) Baileys Warrior (GB) Courtinthemiddle (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Twilight Son (GB) 6.5% · 2–31

Progeny have won 9.6% of 3,643 runs since 2008 (281 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.6% from 613.

Dandy Man (IRE) 14.3% · 4–28

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,927 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Slade Power (IRE) 10% · 2–20

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,938 runs since 2008 (208 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.4% from 125.

Kingman (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,474 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 959. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.

The Gurkha (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,022 runs since 2008 (127 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 183. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.9% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 111.

Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,541 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 369 · newest first

The latest 50 of 369 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 17 August 2016 to 18 July 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Jul 24 Chepstow Micks Dream (GB)J: Gina Mangan Peter Villars Sport Ground Maintenance HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 13 ran 8th 25/1

18 Jul 24 Chepstow Howzak (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Johns Electrics Stakes 2024 HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 5/2F

18 Jul 24 Chepstow Porterinthejungle (IRE)J: Saffie Osborne Blackmores Building Contractors HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 5/1

17 Jul 24 Ffos Las Prince Ali (GB)J: Connor Brace Bet 20 Get 20 With DragonBet 'Confined' HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 33/1

17 Jul 24 Ffos Las Louis Treize (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Best Odds Guaranteed dragonbet.co.uk Classified StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 3rd 4/1

13 Jul 24 Chester V Power (GB)J: Ethan Jones Soul Sunset Racing Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 12.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 20/1

12 Jul 24 Chepstow Indication Court (IRE)J: Taylor Fisher PTL HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 6/1

12 Jul 24 Chepstow Porterinthejungle (IRE)J: William Cox Cruise Control HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 6th 50/1

12 Jul 24 Chepstow Howzak (GB)J: William Cox Cruises Chase HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 6/4F

10 Jul 24 Kempton (AW) Bella Veneta (GB)J: Robert Havlin Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 4th 25/1

10 Jul 24 Ffos Las Baileys Warrior (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Welsh Cottage Cakes HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 11/4F

08 Jul 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Big Impact (GB)J: Rob Hornby Download The Raceday Ready App Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 11/1

08 Jul 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Barneys Gift (FR)J: Rob Hornby Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 25/1

02 Jul 24 Brighton Porterinthejungle (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Gateley: Ambitious For Success HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 11/1

02 Jul 24 Brighton Micks Dream (GB)J: Rob Hornby Download The Raceday Ready App HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 5th 7/1

01 Jul 24 Wolverhampton (AW) Baileys Warrior (GB)J: Robert Havlin Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 9/2

29 Jun 24 Windsor Louis Treize (IRE)J: John Fahy Aitch Sea Jays Memorial HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 10/1

29 Jun 24 Newcastle (AW) Golden Flame (IRE)J: Duran Fentiman JenningsBet Northumberland Plate Handicap (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 16.5f · Standard To Slow · 20 ran 14th 100/1

26 Jun 24 Kempton (AW) Home And Dry (IRE)J: Oisin Murphy Kempton Park Supporting Racing Staff Week HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 6th 5/2F

24 Jun 24 Chepstow Louis Treize (IRE)J: Zoe Lewis Gamble Responsibly With Yeeehaaa.Bet HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 5/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Deborah Faulkner's strike rate?: Deborah Faulkner has won 16 of 255 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Deborah Faulkner do best at?: Chepstow by strike rate: 8 wins from 68 runners (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Deborah Faulkner's Fair A/E?: 0.74, from 250 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.