Jonathan Fisher
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85). Rides mostly for Scott Dixon — 47% of rides in the window.
The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (11.9%, n=67), clear of the rider's 6.1% baseline. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 5.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −119.75 to a £1 stake over 270 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Scott Dixon supplies 47% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7.2%, A/E 0.86). The rider also reads well off a 15-30-day break (9.2%, n=76). The record reads poorly on Good going — 0% over 34 rides, 6.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 5: Fair A/E 0.65 across 76 rides (3.9% strike, −39.25 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 718 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 718 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 14 September 2015 to 25 June 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jonathan Fisher's strike rate?
- Jonathan Fisher has won 18 of 294 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jonathan Fisher do best at?
- Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 67 rides (11.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jonathan Fisher ride most for?
- Scott Dixon, with 139 rides since 2022 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (7.2%).
- What is Jonathan Fisher's Fair A/E?
- 0.85, from 291 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.