What is Jonny Peate's strike rate?

Jonny Peate has won 133 of 1,712 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jonny Peate do best at?

Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 34 wins from 289 rides (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jonny Peate ride most for?

Roger Fell, with 243 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (9.1%).

Is Jonny Peate in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Jonny Peate's Fair A/E?

0.91, from 1,698 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jonny Peate

1,712 rides in the lifetime window · 749 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 11 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

133–1,712

Wins / Runs

7.8%

Strike rate

n=1,712

417 (24%)

Placed

0.91

Fair A/E

n=1,698 · 0.78 incl. margin

−648.29

£1 level stake

n=1,712 at SP · −37.9%

£1.50m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (141 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,712 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 32.4% when favourite Roger Fell: 9.1% from 243 LTO winners: 13.5% Claiming: 9.1% Rides the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ripon (16.7%, n=30), clear of the rider's 7.8% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.5% (n=141, Fair A/E 0.84), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.3% (n=153, Fair A/E 0.68). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −109.00 to a £1 stake over 223 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Roger Fell supplies 14% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.1%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (12.7%, n=126). Seasonally, the rider fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.2%−0.6

n=749 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −288.88

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.5%+5.7

n=141 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −54.99

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4%−3.8

n=223 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −109.00

When favourite

32.4%

n=108 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −11.43

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

9.1%+1.3

n=945 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −231.37

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.3%−4.5

n=153 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −91.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.8

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Stella Barclay 16.3% vs 7.8% · n=43

At Ripon 16.7% vs 7.8% · n=30

On last-time-out winners 13.5% vs 7.8% · n=141

With first-time headgear 1.5% vs 7.8% · n=66

With Linda Perratt 14.6% vs 7.8% · n=41

Off a 0-7-day break 12.7% vs 7.8% · n=126

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 895 77 8.6% −301.29

Good to Firm 258 18 7% −126.42

Good 251 17 6.8% −93.91

Good to Soft 132 8 6.1% −50.75

Soft 121 9 7.4% −49.42

Heavy 48 4 8.3% −19.50

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 289 34 11.8% +3.25

Wolverhampton (AW) 209 20 9.6% −94.94

Southwell (AW) 205 11 5.4% −137.68

Chelmsford City (AW) 69 5 7.2% −34.42

Doncaster 68 5 7.4% −17.17

Kempton (AW) 63 4 6.3% −10.50

Redcar 63 4 6.3% −31.00

Lingfield (AW) 60 3 5% −27.00

Thirsk 57 3 5.3% −20.00

Catterick 45 1 2.2% −42.38

Yarmouth 44 1 2.3% −38.50

Beverley 39 3 7.7% +16.50

York 37 3 8.1% −23.17

Hamilton 36 4 11.1% −20.12

Nottingham 36 3 8.3% −23.37

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 720 56 7.8% −208.65

Class 5 503 41 8.2% −225.29

Class 4 315 25 7.9% −154.18

Class 3 91 8 8.8% −15.17

Class 2 79 3 3.8% −41.00

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 123 38 30.9% 1.10 −14.52

2nd–3rd fav 274 36 13.1% 0.85 −85.77

4th–6th fav 595 38 6.4% 0.80 −232.50

7th+ in betting 720 21 2.9% 0.94 −315.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Iron Sheriff (IRE) 21 4 7 26 Sep 23

Never Dark (GB) 19 2 7 17 Oct 25

Lotus Rose (GB) 19 2 6 11 Sep 24

Dandys Gold (IRE) 19 3 6 3 May 24

Ustath (GB) 19 2 4 10 Apr 24

Dandy Spirit (IRE) 17 3 4 18 May 24

Cusack (GB) 16 4 9 20 Apr 26

Glorious Rio (IRE) 16 4 6 3 Apr 23

Tilsworth Max (GB) 14 1 6 29 Oct 26

Dr Ali (IRE) 14 2 5 24 Oct 26

Prefer The Sister (IRE) 14 1 3 21 Feb 26

The Caltonian (GB) 13 3 8 20 Feb 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 749 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

131145810769676

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardRoger Fell

14% of all rides
9.1% SR · A/E 1.02

TrainerRWSR£1

Roger Fell 243 22 9.1% −32.05

Roger Fell & Sean Murray 232 17 7.3% −47.99

J R Jenkins 93 3 3.2% −61.75

Jane Chapple-Hyam 91 10 11% −43.12

James Ferguson 65 6 9.2% −33.68

Jack Jones 53 4 7.5% −19.38

Mark Loughnane 48 1 2.1% −43.50

Stella Barclay 43 7 16.3% −14.35

Linda Perratt 41 6 14.6% −11.36

Oli Rix 40 4 10% −13.50

Ivan Furtado 35 1 2.9% −30.67

Matt Crawley 35 1 2.9% −16.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

133

Archived wins

£1.50m

Prize money

2023

Best season · 38 wins

Harswell Duke (IRE) — Pertemps Network Spring Mile Handicap (Str) Doncaster · Apr 2023 · Class 2

£38,655

Dosman (GB) — SBK: Dont Settle For Less Handicap Southwell (AW) · Feb 2026 · Class 3

£28,787

La Trinidad (GB) — William Hill Summer Cup Handicap Thirsk · Aug 2024 · Class 2

£15,702

Notable horses

Iron Sheriff (IRE) Glorious Rio (IRE) Cusack (GB) Dandys Gold (IRE) Dandy Spirit (IRE) The Caltonian (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dandy Man (IRE) 8.1% · 6–74

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (929 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 8.3% · 3–36

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,038 runs since 2008 (1,160 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,193.

Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–36

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,605 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Showcasing (GB) 8.3% · 3–36

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,666 runs since 2014 (999 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 6.7% · 2–30

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,874 runs since 2008 (1,572 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.9% from 845.

Cotai Glory (GB) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 11.5% of 3,971 runs since 2021 (390 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.7% from 1,433. Weakest on Soft going: 7% from 429.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,712 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,712 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 29 January 2021 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Emerald Spirit (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Try Unibet's Smartview Racecards Handicap StakesClass 6 · 12f · Standard / Slow · 14 ran 11th 50/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Graceful Gracie (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 125/1

31 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) King Of Speed (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane Arc All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 50/1

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Xochipilli (GB)T: Mark Loughnane Awc Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 3rd 7/2

29 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Tilsworth Max (GB)T: J. R. Jenkins AWC Season 14 Has Begun Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 25/1

28 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Roccobear (IRE)T: J. R. Jenkins Unibet's New Var Goal Guarantee Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 6 ran 3rd 6/1

27 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Nil Satis Supreme (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane AWC Season 14 Has Begun Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 250/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Whazzimo (GB)T: Robert Cowell Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 33/1

26 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Mr Keble (GB)T: Oli Rix Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 17/2

24 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Dr Ali (IRE)T: J. R. Jenkins Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 18/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) It's A Love Thing (GB)T: Sam England Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Selling Handicap StakesClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 100/30J

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Wishful Thinker (GB)T: Oli Rix All Weather Championship Is Back Ebf Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 2/1

23 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Asian Journey (IRE)T: Sam England AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd January 2027 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 8/1

22 Oct 26 Newmarket Rebetiko (FR)T: Oli Rix CopyBet For Europa League Profit Boosts EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 7/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Tilsworth Ony Ta (GB)T: J. R. Jenkins Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 9 ran 7th 80/1

14 Oct 26 Nottingham Emerald Spirit (IRE)T: Mark Loughnane EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 8th 200/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Exquisite Skye (GB)T: Michael Keady Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 50/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Mr Keble (GB)T: Oli Rix Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 12/1

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Volenti (IRE)T: Sam England Carlsberg Danish Pilsner 1847 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 11/2

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Enacting (IRE)T: James Fanshawe Download The At The Races App Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 2 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 28 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Jonny Peate's strike rate?: Jonny Peate has won 133 of 1,712 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.8% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jonny Peate do best at?: Newcastle (AW) by strike rate: 34 wins from 289 rides (11.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jonny Peate ride most for?: Roger Fell, with 243 rides since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 22 (9.1%).
Is Jonny Peate in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 2 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Jonny Peate's Fair A/E?: 0.91, from 1,698 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.