K Shea
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.50).
It is weakest at Newmarket (10% over 30 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. The record read poorly on Good to Firm going — 7.3% over 41 rides, 5.8pts below the baseline. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Plymouth Gin Summer Mile Stakes at Ascot (Jul 2008, £56,770).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.1% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2008→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 107 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 107 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 May 2008 to 14 August 2010.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is K Shea's strike rate?
- K Shea has won 14 of 107 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 13.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does K Shea do best at?
- Newmarket by strike rate: 3 wins from 30 rides (10%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is K Shea's Fair A/E?
- 1.50, from 107 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.