No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.17). Debutants are a strength: 17% on first career starts (30 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 188 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 14.7%
The read
The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (30%, n=30), clear of the yard's 13.3% baseline. Debutants strike at 16.7% (n=30, Fair A/E 1.79). The yard also read well in Class 4 (22.9%, n=35) and off a 8-14-day break (22.5%, n=40). The record read poorly on Good going — 0% over 33 runners, 13.3pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
14.7%+1.4
n=34 · A/E 1.40 · £1 −6.67
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−13.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
16.7%+3.4
n=30 · A/E 1.79 · £1 +28.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−13.3
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−13.3
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
When favourite
27.3%
n=22 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −5.84
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
20%+6.7
n=5 · A/E 2.12 · £1 +16.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−13.3
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
At Lingfield (AW)30% vs 13.3% · n=30
On Good going0% vs 13.3% · n=33
Off a 31-60-day break0% vs 13.3% · n=30
In Class 422.9% vs 13.3% · n=35
Off a 8-14-day break22.5% vs 13.3% · n=40
Over 1m2f – 1m4f6.4% vs 13.3% · n=47
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat1872513.4%−4.01
Hurdle100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)851315.3%−18.26
Good to Firm35617.1%+8.75
Good3300%−33.00
Soft17317.6%+6.50
Good to Soft1218.3%+1.00
Firm5240%+31.00
Heavy100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW)30930%+9.91
Kempton (AW)2613.8%−21.00
Wolverhampton (AW)2229.1%−7.17
Newbury11327.3%+14.00
Newmarket800%−8.00
Windsor700%−7.00
Bath600%−6.00
Ascot600%−6.00
Newmarket600%−6.00
Sandown5120%+3.50
Southwell (AW)4125%+3.00
Haydock4125%+11.00
Doncaster4250%+7.50
Chester400%−4.00
York400%−4.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 580911.3%−24.42
Class 435822.9%+24.58
Class 628621.4%+22.83
Class 22229.1%−5.00
Class 11400%−14.00
Class 3900%−9.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite22627.3%0.90−5.84
2nd–3rd fav46919.6%1.28+0.33
4th–6th fav69913%1.66+36.50
7th+ in betting5112%0.46−36.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f631015.9%−7.92
1m – 1m1f571017.5%+24.41
1m2f – 1m4f4736.4%−28.00
Under 6f16212.5%+11.50
1m5f – 2m400%−4.00
2m1f – 2m4f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200843716.3%−11.34
200935720%+37.83
201032412.5%−4.00
201132412.5%−4.25
20124636.5%−23.25
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps981313.3%−10.42
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners801620%+31.91
8-10 runners5159.8%−17.75
14-16 runners2428.3%+4.00
5-7 runners1715.9%−9.00
17+ runners1300%−13.00
2-4 runners3133.3%−1.17
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 36 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 36 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 35 had their first archived run for this yard.
15 have since run for another yard, most often for Jo Hughes (4); 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
145014251013139181000
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
39
Archived wins
£351k
Prize money
2009
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Smart Enough (GB) — Addleshaw Goddard Handicap York · Aug 2006 · Class 2
£25,908
Smart Enough (GB) — Racing Post Bloodstock Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2006 · Class 3
£11,659
Silver Rock (IRE) — Dubai Duty Free Full Of Surprises E.B.F. Fillies' Conditions Stakes (Str) Newbury · Sep 2009 · Class 2
Progeny have won 12.2% of 691 runs since 2008 (46 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 16.5% from 212. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 16.2% from 198.
Danehill Dancer (IRE)15.8% · 3–19
Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.
Cadeaux Genereux (GB)6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,919 runs since 2008 (203 horses).
Giant's Causeway (USA)13.3% · 2–15
Progeny have won 11.6% of 3,018 runs since 2008 (320 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.1% from 394. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8.3% from 422.
Dynaformer (USA)0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 14.6% of 1,776 runs since 2008 (154 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 20.6% from 199. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.3% from 169.
Lemon Drop Kid (USA)12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 12.8% of 1,419 runs since 2008 (122 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 9.6% from 198.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 297 · newest first
The latest 50 of 297 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2005 to 28 November 2012.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mikael Magnusson's strike rate?
Mikael Magnusson has won 25 of 188 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mikael Magnusson do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 30 runners (30%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Mikael Magnusson's Fair A/E?
1.17, from 187 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mikael Magnusson·SR 13.3%·A/E 1.17
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