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Trainer profile

M F De Kock

109 runners in the lifetime window · 47 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2015 100% of runners on the flat
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
16–109
Wins / Runs
14.7%
Strike rate
n=109
29 (27%)
Placed
1.26
Fair A/E
n=107 · 1.08 incl. margin
−7.30
£1 level stake
n=108 at SP · −6.8%
£676k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.26). Debutants are a strength: 19% on first career starts (31 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 109 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Pat Cosgrave: 9.3% from 54
The read

Debutants strike at 19.4% (n=31, Fair A/E 1.49). Pat Cosgrave rode 50% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (9.3% vs 14.7%, A/E 0.86). 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Plymouth Gin Summer Mile Stakes at Ascot (Jul 2008, £56,770).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
14.3%−0.4
n=21 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +14.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
25%+10.3
n=16 · A/E 2.91 · £1 +24.00
Debutants · first career start
19.4%+4.7
n=31 · A/E 1.49 · £1 +3.45
First-time headgear · true-first definition
14.3%−0.4
n=7 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
50%+35.3
n=2 · A/E 12.58 · £1 +15.00
When favourite
30.8%
n=13 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −3.55
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−14.7
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
12.7%−2.0
n=55 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −10.31

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Pat Cosgrave 9.3% vs 14.7% · n=54
With a new jockey booking 19.4% vs 14.7% · n=67
With debutants 19.4% vs 14.7% · n=31
On Good to Firm going 17.6% vs 14.7% · n=34
On Good going 12.1% vs 14.7% · n=33
In Class 1 12.7% vs 14.7% · n=55
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm 34 6 17.6% −6.31
Good 33 4 12.1% −10.37
Standard (AW) 17 4 23.5% +18.50
Good to Soft 13 1 7.7% +0.00
Soft 10 0 0% −10.00
Firm 1 1 100% +1.88
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newmarket 21 3 14.3% −8.38
Newmarket 17 3 17.6% +3.25
Ascot 14 1 7.1% −2.00
Kempton (AW) 11 2 18.2% +12.00
York 7 0 0% −7.00
Newbury 6 0 0% −6.00
Sandown 5 0 0% −5.00
Chelmsford (AW) 5 1 20% +2.00
Haydock 4 1 25% +4.50
Windsor 3 2 66.7% +3.57
Yarmouth 3 1 33.3% −0.62
Salisbury 2 0 0% −2.00
Lingfield 2 1 50% +0.88
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Chester 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 55 7 12.7% −10.31
Class 5 18 5 27.8% +1.01
Class 2 13 2 15.4% +11.00
Class 4 12 2 16.7% +2.00
Class 3 10 0 0% −10.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 4 30.8% 1.11 −3.55
2nd–3rd fav 34 9 26.5% 1.71 +19.25
4th–6th fav 37 2 5.4% 0.72 −16.00
7th+ in betting 24 1 4.2% 0.94 −7.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Tannaaf (IRE) 5 1 1 30 May 15
Moonfaarid (GB)then Jane Chapple-Hyam 5 0 3 8 Oct 14
Shea Shea (SAF) 5 0 2 22 Aug 14
Olympic City (BRZ) 5 0 1 22 Oct 08
Baroot (GB) 4 0 1 18 Jul 15
Rerouted (USA)from B W Hills 4 0 0 19 Sep 14
Soft Falling Rain (SAF) 4 1 2 17 Jun 14
King of Rome (IRE)from A P O'Brien 4 0 0 31 Oct 09
Headquarters (IRE)from A P O'Brien 3 0 1 19 Sep 15
Marigold Hotel (IRE) 3 0 0 4 Aug 15
Burning Desire (IRE)then Richard Hughes 3 0 0 15 Jul 15
All 47 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 47 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A P O'Brien (11); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard, most often for Jane Chapple-Hyam (2); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
···0018523171220·
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderPat Cosgrave
50% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 0.86
RiderRWSR£1
Pat Cosgrave 54 5 9.3% −33.49
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
16
Archived wins
7
Pattern / graded wins
£768k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 5 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Archipenko (USA) — Plymouth Gin Summer Mile Stakes (Group 2) Ascot · Jul 2008 · Group 2
£56,770
Soft Falling Rain (SAF) — Nayef Joel Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 2) Newmarket · Sep 2013 · Group 2
£51,039
Eagle Mountain (GB) — Nayef Joel Stakes (Group 3) Newmarket · Oct 2008 · Group 3
£36,901

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Galileo (IRE) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,187 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 888.
Dubawi (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 18.4% of 12,918 runs since 2008 (1,517 horses). Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.8% from 429.
JET MASTER (SAF) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 5% of 20 runs since 2008 (7 horses). A small sample.
High Chaparral (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.
Montjeu (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.
National Emblem (SAF) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 0% of 6 runs since 2008 (2 horses). A small sample.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 128 · newest first

The latest 50 of 128 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 May 2007 to 19 September 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Sep 15 Newmarket Headquarters (IRE)J: Pat Dobbs Martin Collins' Polytrack HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 8/1
18 Jul 15 Newmarket Baroot (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Greenall's Gin Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 2nd 7/2
15 Jul 15 Lingfield Burning Desire (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave Heart FM Maiden StakesClass 5 · 11.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 5th 4/1
02 Jul 15 Newbury Burning Desire (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave Equis Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 18/1
27 Jun 15 Doncaster Baroot (GB)J: Chad Schofield Beaver84 Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 6/1
30 May 15 Newmarket Tannaaf (IRE)J: Ryan Moore winner.co.uk Fairway Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 6/1
07 May 15 Chester Tannaaf (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave MBNA Chester Vase (Group 3)Class 1 · 12.5f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 11/2
15 Oct 14 Nottingham Burning Desire (IRE)J: Chris Catlin 32Red Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 14/1
04 Oct 14 Newmarket Tannaaf (IRE)J: Pat Cosgrave 500,000 Tattersalls Millions 2YO TrophyClass 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 7th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M F De Kock's strike rate?
M F De Kock has won 16 of 109 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.7% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Who rides most for M F De Kock?
Pat Cosgrave, with 54 runners since 2008 — 50% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (9.3%).
What is M F De Kock's Fair A/E?
1.26, from 107 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).