What is Lee Edwards's strike rate?

Lee Edwards has won 239 of 2,946 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Lee Edwards do best at?

Doncaster by strike rate: 10 wins from 64 rides (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Lee Edwards ride most for?

Tony Carroll, with 865 rides since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 88 (10.2%).

Is Lee Edwards in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 11 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Lee Edwards's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 2,940 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Lee Edwards

2,946 rides in the lifetime window · 781 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride yesterday 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

239–2,946

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=2,946

676 (23%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=2,940 · 0.92 incl. margin

−726.59

£1 level stake

n=2,946 at SP · −24.7%

£1.94m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 160 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (228 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,946 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jul 36.9% when favourite Tony Carroll: 10.2% from 865 LTO winners: 18.9% Claiming: 10.9% Rides the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Doncaster (15.6%, n=64), clear of the rider's 8.1% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.9% (n=228, Fair A/E 1.19), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.1% (n=412, Fair A/E 1.01). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.79 and −384.09 to a £1 stake over 771 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Tony Carroll supplies 29% of the rides and edges the rider's average (10.2% vs 8.1%, A/E 1.20) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (15.2%, n=105). The record reads poorly in Class 6 — 0% over 54 rides, 8.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in NH Flat races: Fair A/E 0.47 across 198 rides (2% strike, −146.90 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the EBF/Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Mares' Novices' Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Apr 2018, £22,780). The standout partner of the record: G'day Aussie (GB) — 6 wins from 30 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.3%−3.8

n=771 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −384.09

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

18.9%+10.8

n=228 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −19.04

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.1%−3.0

n=609 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −244.65

When favourite

36.9%

n=103 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +3.26

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10.9%+2.8

n=617 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −35.08

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.1%−4.0

n=412 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −163.20

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

4.8%−3.3

n=21 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −16.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 18.9% vs 8.1% · n=228

Off a 0-7-day break 15.2% vs 8.1% · n=105

In Class 6 0% vs 8.1% · n=54

In NH Flat races 2% vs 8.1% · n=198

With debutants 1.6% vs 8.1% · n=127

At Doncaster 15.6% vs 8.1% · n=64

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,900 144 7.6% −466.01

Chase 843 91 10.8% −108.68

NH Flat 198 4 2% −146.90

Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 1,291 106 8.2% −278.87

Good to Soft 633 46 7.3% −256.87

Soft 548 40 7.3% −204.39

Heavy 246 24 9.8% +10.15

Good to Firm 203 22 10.8% +17.39

Standard (AW) 17 0 0% −17.00

Firm 8 1 12.5% +3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 311 24 7.7% −120.34

Worcester 246 14 5.7% −78.25

Ludlow 208 9 4.3% −101.40

Bangor-on-Dee 205 20 9.8% −31.68

Stratford 178 14 7.9% −29.92

Hereford 140 9 6.4% −95.26

Huntingdon 137 11 8% −76.67

Leicester 129 15 11.6% +26.50

Market Rasen 126 17 13.5% +51.58

Southwell 123 11 8.9% −21.92

Chepstow 111 11 9.9% −2.75

Warwick 111 10 9% −40.67

Towcester 94 9 9.6% −14.24

Ffos Las 66 5 7.6% −7.00

Doncaster 64 10 15.6% +56.48

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,302 98 7.5% −408.63

Class 5 1,171 110 9.4% −127.08

Class 3 326 28 8.6% −63.38

Class 2 65 2 3.1% −50.00

Class 6 54 0 0% −54.00

Class 1 26 1 3.8% −21.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 133 45 33.8% 1.20 +2.76

2nd–3rd fav 490 78 15.9% 0.99 −71.85

4th–6th fav 1,037 86 8.3% 1.18 −7.00

7th+ in betting 1,286 30 2.3% 0.84 −650.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 1,284 100 7.8% −337.04

2m1f – 2m4f 896 71 7.9% −155.21

2m5f – 3m 657 56 8.5% −204.54

Over 3m 103 12 11.7% −23.80

1m2f – 1m4f 6 0 0% −6.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 74 3 4.1% −55.50

2009 78 4 5.1% −14.00

2010 153 21 13.7% +28.00

2011 183 19 10.4% +12.95

2012 210 22 10.5% −68.70

2013 153 7 4.6% −82.25

2014 145 9 6.2% −69.50

2015 128 11 8.6% −15.70

2016 142 3 2.1% −120.67

2017 139 10 7.2% −35.38

2018 155 19 12.3% −11.42

2019 196 18 9.2% −23.24

2020 192 8 4.2% −132.58

2021 193 13 6.7% −31.90

2022 160 15 9.4% +6.33

2023 171 13 7.6% −44.87

2024 165 17 10.3% −28.28

2025 158 17 10.8% +16.79

2026 151 10 6.6% −56.67

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,956 200 10.2% −195.76

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 1,005 79 7.9% −201.92

5-7 runners 726 75 10.3% −180.17

11-13 runners 707 47 6.6% −198.15

14-16 runners 342 16 4.7% −114.20

2-4 runners 96 21 21.9% +16.85

17+ runners 70 1 1.4% −49.00

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86% completed · 2,743 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 843 80.2% 38 34 91 2 2

Hurdle 1,900 88.6% 40 18 152 3 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Prairie Town (IRE) 34 4 8 17 Feb 22

Share Option (GB) 32 4 6 21 May 13

Stamina Chope (FR) 31 4 8 6 Nov 26

G'day Aussie (GB) 30 6 14 18 Oct 25

That's The Deal (IRE) 25 2 13 11 Jan 19

Mr Mafia (IRE) 25 2 10 28 Dec 17

Man Of The North (GB) 24 3 5 29 Oct 24

Racing Spirit (GB) 24 1 10 23 Jul 23

Heurtevent (FR) 24 1 1 21 May 18

Mujamead (GB) 24 4 11 1 Dec 12

Smart Catch (IRE) 23 3 5 14 May 17

Highland River (GB) 23 2 7 11 Jun 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 781 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 11

Only 11 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

98119991254667

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardTony Carroll

29% of all rides
10.2% SR · A/E 1.20

TrainerRWSR£1

Tony Carroll 865 88 10.2% −156.91

Dave Roberts 408 29 7.1% −124.59

John Groucott 240 19 7.9% −94.84

Adam West 176 22 12.5% +73.83

Alastair Ralph 157 14 8.9% −2.55

Henry Oliver 151 15 9.9% −42.12

Aytach Sadik 96 4 4.2% −61.38

Dr Richard Newland 77 3 3.9% −62.08

Belinda Clarke 74 7 9.5% +13.75

Tom Gretton 70 5 7.1% −28.12

Kevin Frost 59 3 5.1% −7.50

John Cornwall 50 2 4% −24.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

246

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.99m

Prize money

2012

Best season · 22 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Midnight Target (GB) — EBF/Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Mares' Novices' Handicap Chase (Listed) Cheltenham · Apr 2018 · Listed

£22,780

Busy Being Busy (IRE) — Phoenix Cycles Remember Ray Prior Handicap Hurdle Plumpton · Apr 2025 · Class 3

£15,843

Cut The Corner (IRE) — Racing Partnership Trp Handicap Chase Newton Abbot · May 2018 · Class 2

£14,076

Notable horses

G'day Aussie (GB) Can't Beat History (IRE) Jolly Roger (IRE) Noahthirtytwored (IRE) Prairie Town (IRE) Share Option (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Mahler (GB) 4.3% · 2–46

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,898 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 2.4% · 1–41

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,689 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.

Shirocco (GER) 0% · 0–39

Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,208 runs since 2010 (927 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

High Chaparral (IRE) 10.5% · 4–38

Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.

King's Theatre (IRE) 14.3% · 5–35

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Gentlewave (IRE) 14.7% · 5–34

Progeny have won 13% of 1,664 runs since 2010 (220 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.2% from 434.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,094 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,094 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 13 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Nov 26 Cheltenham Mahons Glory (IRE)T: Dylan Cunha Jilly Cooper Veterans' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 2 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 7/1

11 Nov 26 Bangor-on-Dee Whiteoak Duffy (GB)T: Simon Edwards Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 7 ran 7th 250/1

10 Nov 26 Huntingdon Assured (GB)T: Tom Gretton PricedUp Now With Best Odds Guaranteed Mares' Novices' Hurdle Race (Herring Queen Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 6th 150/1

09 Nov 26 Stratford Bath Taverness (GB)T: David Evans Stratford Extra Raceday 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 40/1

08 Nov 26 Ffos Las Billy Butcher (IRE)T: Dave Roberts Golwg Gwendraeth Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran F 12/1

06 Nov 26 Fontwell Stamina Chope (FR)T: Dave Roberts My Laces Cost More Than Your Shoes Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 26f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 9/1

03 Nov 26 Warwick Georgie Simmons (IRE)T: Simon Edwards Alder Demain & Akers Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 6 ran 5th 250/1

02 Nov 26 Southwell Footage Detectives (GB)T: Henry Oliver Christmas Jumper Day Sunday 13th December Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran 5th 80/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Quick Of The Night (GB)T: Dave Roberts Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 8 ran 4th 5/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Kenny's Jewel (IRE)T: Dylan Cunha Copybet Bog Now For Racing Tomorrow Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 8/1

01 Nov 26 Huntingdon Shallow River (IRE)T: Dave Roberts CopyBet Support Safer Gambling Claiming Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 5 ran 1st 3/1

30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Inishnabro (IRE)T: Henry Oliver Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 16/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Lady Loki (GB)T: Gihan Arnolda Charlotte Cole And Becky Rowland Memorial Fillies' "Junior" National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 8/1

29 Oct 26 Stratford Whiteoak Duffy (GB)T: Simon Edwards EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Race (Qualifier) (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 300/1

27 Oct 26 Bangor-on-Dee On The Platform (IRE)T: Belinda Clarke Overton Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 24f · Good To Soft · 13 ran PU 22/1

22 Oct 26 Ffos Las Shallow River (IRE)T: Dave Roberts bettingsites.co.uk Same Day Payouts Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 24f · Soft · 8 ran 7th 20/1

21 Oct 26 Worcester Get In Order (IRE)T: Henry Oliver CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 11/1

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Stamina Chope (FR)T: Dave Roberts Aldaniti Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 25f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 11/4

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Daaris (IRE)T: Kevin & Lauren Frost Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 10/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Troy Story (GB)T: Dave Roberts Pertemps Network Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 5 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 6 runs (won 1) · to 13 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Lee Edwards's strike rate?: Lee Edwards has won 239 of 2,946 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lee Edwards do best at?: Doncaster by strike rate: 10 wins from 64 rides (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Lee Edwards ride most for?: Tony Carroll, with 865 rides since 2008 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 88 (10.2%).
Is Lee Edwards in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 11 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Lee Edwards's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 2,940 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.