What is Kevin Frost's strike rate?

Kevin Frost has won 107 of 1,250 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Kevin Frost do best at?

Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 60 runners (15%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Kevin Frost?

Jack Mitchell, with 137 runners since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (15.3%).

What is Kevin Frost's Fair A/E?

0.94, from 1,245 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Kevin Frost

1,250 runners in the last 5 seasons · 117 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 114 days ago 95% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)

from 1 Jan 2022

107–1,250

Wins / Runs

8.6%

Strike rate

n=1,250

325 (26%)

Placed

0.94

Fair A/E

n=1,245 · 0.79 incl. margin

−279.97

£1 level stake

n=1,250 at SP · −22.4%

£1.03m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 250 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.94). New recruits from other yards win at 11% first time out (66 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,250 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 25.3% when favourite Jack Mitchell: 15.3% from 137 New recruits: 10.6% Sends off the favourite in 8% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chelmsford City (AW) (15%, n=60) and Wolverhampton (AW) (12.9%, n=232) — all clear of the yard's 8.6% baseline. Debutants struggle at 2.5% (n=40, Fair A/E 1.35). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −54.75 to a £1 stake over 191 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Jack Mitchell rides 11% of the entries and beats the yard's average (15.3% vs 8.6%, A/E 1.37) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Betfred Red Rum Handicap Chase at Aintree (Apr 2015, £45,016). The stable star of the record: Documenting (GB) — 12 wins from 73 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.2%−4.4

n=191 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −54.75

New recruits · first run for the yard

10.6%+2.0

n=66 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +25.00

Debutants · first career start

2.5%−6.1

n=40 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +41.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

2.8%−5.8

n=36 · A/E 0.55 · £1 −24.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.1%−1.5

n=70 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −36.25

When favourite

25.3%

n=95 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −15.46

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.6%−1.0

n=433 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −145.17

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.6

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Rossa Ryan 22.6% vs 8.6% · n=62

On last-time-out winners 18.4% vs 8.6% · n=103

With Jack Mitchell 15.3% vs 8.6% · n=137

With Trevor Whelan 0% vs 8.6% · n=30

At Chelmsford City (AW) 15% vs 8.6% · n=60

At Wolverhampton (AW) 12.9% vs 8.6% · n=232

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,183 103 8.7% −269.47

Hurdle 48 3 6.3% +4.50

Chase 10 0 0% −10.00

NH Flat 9 1 11.1% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 673 58 8.6% −218.71

Good 233 22 9.4% −13.34

Good to Firm 147 11 7.5% −13.75

Good to Soft 94 4 4.3% −14.25

Soft 77 6 7.8% −50.17

Heavy 24 5 20.8% +19.25

Firm 2 1 50% +11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 232 30 12.9% −6.96

Southwell (AW) 206 12 5.8% −113.50

Newcastle (AW) 108 4 3.7% −70.25

Doncaster 79 5 6.3% +63.50

Nottingham 66 4 6.1% −42.25

Chelmsford City (AW) 60 9 15% +7.25

Lingfield (AW) 40 3 7.5% −8.25

Pontefract 34 4 11.8% +17.33

York 34 1 2.9% −30.00

Leicester 30 4 13.3% −1.00

Yarmouth 29 3 10.3% −0.50

Kempton (AW) 27 0 0% −27.00

Haydock 24 3 12.5% −10.75

Thirsk 24 0 0% −24.00

Chester 20 1 5% −13.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 593 59 9.9% −172.71

Class 5 366 29 7.9% −84.84

Class 4 196 13 6.6% +8.08

Class 2 49 3 6.1% −25.75

Class 3 45 3 6.7% −3.75

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 112 28 25% 0.96 −15.88

2nd–3rd fav 245 37 15.1% 0.96 −38.59

4th–6th fav 380 27 7.1% 0.89 −96.50

7th+ in betting 513 15 2.9% 0.96 −129.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

My Boy Jack (GB)from Kevin Philippart De Foy · then Kevin & Lauren Frost 58 2 23 24 Feb 26

Corsican Caper (IRE)from Kevin Philippart De Foy · then Kevin & Lauren Frost 52 6 14 24 May 26

Papa Don't Preach (IRE)from Charles Hills · then Kevin & Lauren Frost 49 3 16 9 May 26

Al Baahy (GB)from Sir Michael Stoute · then Kevin & Lauren Frost 47 3 13 16 May 26

Daaris (IRE)then Kevin & Lauren Frost 47 4 22 11 May 26

Amaysmont (GB)from Richard Fahey · then Kevin & Lauren Frost 40 4 12 21 May 26

Documenting (GB)from D Smaga · then Kevin & Lauren Frost 39 4 10 23 May 26

Master Of Combat (IRE) 38 5 14 26 Jul 25

Siam Fox (IRE)from Richard Hannon · then Kevin & Lauren Frost 30 3 6 13 May 26

Bristol Hill (IRE)from Ivan Furtado · then Linda Perratt 28 3 7 19 Jul 24

Harry's Halo (IRE)then Kevin & Lauren Frost 27 4 14 29 Mar 26

Piperstown (IRE)then Kevin & Lauren Frost 26 7 11 18 Apr 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 117 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 40 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Charles Hills (4) and Richard Hannon (4); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

28 have since run for another yard, most often for Kevin & Lauren Frost (22) and Lawrence Mullaney (2); 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

947108118879119

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJack Mitchell

11% of all rides
15.3% SR · A/E 1.37

RiderRWSR£1

Jack Mitchell 137 21 15.3% +72.16

Alec Voikhansky 118 12 10.2% −39.75

Ben Sanderson 64 2 3.1% −47.75

Rossa Ryan 62 14 22.6% +24.46

William Pyle 49 2 4.1% +40.00

Andrea Pinna 46 5 10.9% −17.75

Cam Hardie 45 2 4.4% −21.00

Lee Edwards 42 3 7.1% +9.50

Lewis Edmunds 41 2 4.9% −23.50

Miss Lauren Frost 39 3 7.7% −14.50

David Nolan 35 1 2.9% −31.25

Trevor Whelan 30 0 0% −30.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→

197

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.82m

Prize money

2024

Best season · 29 wins

Surf And Turf (IRE) — Betfred Red Rum Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Aintree · Apr 2015 · Grade 3

£45,016

Documenting (GB) — Porsche Handicap Ascot · Sep 2020 · Class 2

£21,788

Documenting (GB) — Each Way Extra At bet365 Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Apr 2024 · Class 3

£18,842

Notable horses

Documenting (GB) Piperstown (IRE) Corsican Caper (IRE) The Throstles (GB) Infiniti (IRE) Master Of Combat (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

No Nay Never (USA) 9.5% · 9–95

Progeny have won 12.1% of 6,354 runs since 2008 (708 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.1% from 618. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.6% from 185.

Mayson (GB) 6.2% · 4–65

Progeny have won 10.7% of 7,384 runs since 2008 (442 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.7% from 1,731. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 106.

Kodiac (GB) 7.1% · 4–56

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,582 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Fast Company (IRE) 11.5% · 6–52

Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,598 runs since 2008 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 558. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.

Harry Angel (IRE) 12% · 6–50

Progeny have won 12.6% of 2,786 runs since 2008 (264 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.3% from 339.

Dawn Approach (IRE) 8.3% · 4–48

Progeny have won 8.1% of 3,576 runs since 2008 (359 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 179.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,350 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,350 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 October 2013 to 10 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Jul 26 Ascot Paladin (IRE)J: Jack Nicholls Tide Construction Apprentice Handicap (Str)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 10/1

24 May 26 Uttoxeter Corsican Caper (IRE)J: Harry Skelton Wrights Great British Bake Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 4/1

23 May 26 York Documenting (GB)J: Cam Hardie William Hill Boosts Every Day HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good · 22 ran 20th 50/1

23 May 26 York Paladin (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers William Hill Boosts Every Day HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good · 22 ran 18th 33/1

22 May 26 Bath He's An Angel (GB)J: Sean D Bowen Blackmore Building Contractors Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 8th 8/1

22 May 26 Bath Vault Of Heaven (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Blackmore Building Contractors Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran PU 13/2

21 May 26 Southwell (AW) Amaysmont (GB)J: Ray Dawson Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 5/1

21 May 26 Catterick Beyond Borders (IRE)J: Sam James catterickbridge.co.uk HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 6th 25/1

20 May 26 Yarmouth Saratoga Gold (GB)J: Callum Hutchinson Get Raceday Ready HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 8/1

19 May 26 Nottingham Pretty Spirited (GB)J: Alec Voikhansky Conferences And Events At Nottingham Racecourse Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 11/1

16 May 26 Doncaster Piddie's Pearl (GB)J: William Pyle Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 10th 28/1

16 May 26 Doncaster Al Baahy (GB)J: William Pyle Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 20/1

16 May 26 Doncaster New Objective (GB)J: William Pyle Follow AtTheRaces On X Handicap (Rnd)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 40/1

16 May 26 Doncaster Flight Control (IRE)J: William Pyle Racing Welfare Supporting Racing's Workforce Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 7/4

16 May 26 Newmarket Phone Tag (GB)J: Dougie Costello Daily Profit Boosts At BetMGM HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 11th 40/1

15 May 26 York Celtic Chariot (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers Darley EBF 'Confined' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 2 · 8f · Good · 7 ran 6th 150/1

15 May 26 York Stratocracy (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Yorkshire Equine Practice HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good · 22 ran 6th 20/1

13 May 26 Yarmouth Siam Fox (IRE)J: Alec Voikhansky Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 6th 22/1

11 May 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Daaris (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Advance Price Monday Racing For 13 HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 14/1

09 May 26 Nottingham Papa Don't Preach (IRE)J: Alec Voikhansky Spin The Betano Lucky Dip HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 17/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin Frost's strike rate?: Kevin Frost has won 107 of 1,250 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Kevin Frost do best at?: Chelmsford City (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 60 runners (15%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Kevin Frost?: Jack Mitchell, with 137 runners since 2022 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (15.3%).
What is Kevin Frost's Fair A/E?: 0.94, from 1,245 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.